Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004)

Semenov, M. A. and Welham, S. J. 2004. Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004). Climate Research. 28 (1), pp. 83-84. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028083

Authors	Semenov, M. A. and Welham, S. J.
Year of Publication	2004
Journal	Climate Research
Journal citation	28 (1), pp. 83-84
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028083
Open access	Published as bronze (free) open access
Funder	Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
Funder project or code	513
	Application of non-linear mathematics and stochastic modelling to biological systems
Publisher's version	c028p083.pdf Copyright license Publisher copyright
Output status	Published
Publication dates
Online	31 Dec 2004
Publisher	Inter-Research
ISSN	0936-577X

Related outputs

A dataset of CMIP6-based climate scenarios for climate change impact assessment in Great Britain

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Coleman, K. and Collins, A. L. 2024. A dataset of CMIP6-based climate scenarios for climate change impact assessment in Great Britain. Data in Brief. 55 (4 July), p. 110709. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2024.110709

Effects of changes in climatic means, variability, and agro-technologies on future wheat and maize yields at 10 sites across the globe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bracho-Mujica, G., Rotter, R. P., Haakana, M., Palosuo, T., Fronzek, S., Asseng, S., Yi, C., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Kassie, B., Paff, K., Rezaei, E. E., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Srivastava, A. K., Stratonovitch, P., Tao, F. and Semenov, M. A. 2024. Effects of changes in climatic means, variability, and agro-technologies on future wheat and maize yields at 10 sites across the globe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 364 (March), p. 109887. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109887

Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mozny, M., Trnka, M., Vlach, V., Zalud, Z., Cejka, T., Hajkova, L., Potopova, V., Semenov, M. A., Semeradova, D. and Buntgen, U. 2023. Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures. Nature Communications. 14, p. 6028. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-41474-5

Climate-induced severe water scarcity events as harbinger of global grain price

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Meitner, J., Balek, J., Feng, S., Arbelaez-Gaviria, J., Fischer, M., Boere. E., Havlík, P., Kersebaum, K., Nendel, C., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semeradova, D., Semenov, M. A., Podebradska, M., Esper, J., Buentgen, U., Brzezina, J., Zalud, Z., Katul, G. and Jorgen, O. 2023. Climate-induced severe water scarcity events as harbinger of global grain price. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3293805/v1

A high-yielding traits experiment for modeling potential production of wheat: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Guarin, J. R., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Dueri, S., Calderini, D., Reynolds, M., Molero, G., Miralles, D., Slafer, G. A., Giunta, F., Pequano, D. N. L., Stella, T., Ahmed, M., Alerman, P. D., Basso, B., Berger, A. G., Bindi, M., Bracho-Mujica, G., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. .E, Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Gaiser, T., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hochman, Z., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Pullens, J. W. M., Rodriguez ,A., Rotter, R. P., Ruiz Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Siebert,S., Srivastava, A. K., Stockle, C., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Wang, E., Weber, T. K. D., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, C., Zhao, J., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2023. A high-yielding traits experiment for modeling potential production of wheat: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 9, pp. 26-33. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v9i0.18573

AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations on climate change impact and adaptation for global wheat, SDATA-20-01059

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Cao, W., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M., Rezaei, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise,. R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler ,A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli. S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Olesen, J.E ., Palosuo, T., Porter, J.R., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2023. AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations on climate change impact and adaptation for global wheat, SDATA-20-01059. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 9, pp. 10-25. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v9i0.18092

Exploring future changes in synchrony between grapevine (Vitis vinifera) and its major insect pest, Lobesia botrana

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Castex, V., De Cortazar-Atauri, I. G., Beniston, M., Moreau, J., Semenov, M. A., Stoffel, M. and Calanca, P. 2023. Exploring future changes in synchrony between grapevine (Vitis vinifera) and its major insect pest, Lobesia botrana. OENO One. 57 (1), pp. 161-174. https://doi.org/10.20870/oeno-one.2023.57.1.7250

Towards stability of food production and farm income in a variable climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Harkness, C., Areal, F. J., Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Shield, I. F. and Bishop, J. 2023. Towards stability of food production and farm income in a variable climate. Ecological Economics. 204 (Part A), p. 107676. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107676

Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Guarin, J. R., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Dueri, S., Calderini, D., Reynolds, M., Molero, G., Miralles, D., Garcia, G., Slafer, G., Giunta, F., Pequeno, D. N. L., Stella, T., Ahmed, M., Alderman, P. D., Basso, B., Berger, A. G., Bindi, M., Bracho-Mujica, G., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Rezae, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Gaiser, T., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hochman, Z., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Pullens, J. W. M., Rodríguez, A., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Siebert, S., Srivastava, A. K., Stöckle, C., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Wang, E., Weber, T. K. D., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, C., Zhao, J., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2022. Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential. Environmental Research Letters. 17, p. 124045. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c

A heteroskedastic model of park grass spring hay yields in response to weather suggests continuing yield decline with climate change in future decades

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Addy, J. W. G., Ellis, R. H., MacLaren, C., Macdonald, A. J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2022. A heteroskedastic model of park grass spring hay yields in response to weather suggests continuing yield decline with climate change in future decades. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 19 (193), p. 20220361. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2022.0361

Simulation of winter wheat response to variable sowing dates and densities in a high-yielding environment

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Dueri, S., Brown, H., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Webber, H., George, M., Craigie, R., Guarin, J. R., Pequeno, D. N. L., Stella, T., Ahmed, M., Alderman, P. D., Basso, B., Berger, A. G., Mujica, G. B., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Gaiser, T., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hochman, Z., Hoogenboom, G., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Padovan, G., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Pullens, J. W. M., Rodríguez, A., Rotter, R. P., Ramos, M. R., Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Siebert, S., Srivastava, A. K., Stockle, C., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Wang, E., Weber, T. K. D., Xiao, L., Zhao, C., Zhao, J., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Martre, P. 2022. Simulation of winter wheat response to variable sowing dates and densities in a high-yielding environment. Journal of Experimental Botany. 73 (16), pp. 5715-5729. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erac221

Modelling Heteroskedasticity, Overdispersion and the Impacts of Climate Change for Long-Term Hay Yield Data

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Addy, J., Mead, A., Macdonald, A. J., Semenov, M. A. and Ellis, R. H. 2022. Modelling Heteroskedasticity, Overdispersion and the Impacts of Climate Change for Long-Term Hay Yield Data. 31st International Biometric Conference. Riga, Latvia 10 Jul 2022

Diffuse water pollution during recent extreme wet-weather in the UK: Environmental damage costs and insight into the future?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhang, Y., Granger, S. J., Semenov, M. A., Upadhayay, H. and Collins, A. L. 2022. Diffuse water pollution during recent extreme wet-weather in the UK: Environmental damage costs and insight into the future? Journal of Cleaner Production. 338, p. 130633. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130633

Global wheat production could benefit from closing the genetic yield gap

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Semenov, M. A., Halford, N. G., Hawkesford, M. J., Asseng, S., Cooper, M., Ewert, F., Ittersum, M. K. V., Martre, P., Olesen, J. E., Reynolds, M., Rotter, R. P. and Webber, H. 2022. Global wheat production could benefit from closing the genetic yield gap. Nature Food. 3 (July), pp. 532-541. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00540-9

Sirius crop model

M - Agricultural models

Semenov, M. A. 2021. Sirius crop model. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4572624

LARS-WG stochastic weather generator

M - Agricultural models

Semenov, M. A. 2021. LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4572752

Effectiveness of using representative subsets of global climate models in future crop yield projections.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qian, B., Jing, Q., Cannon, A. J., Smith, W., Grant, B., Semenov, M. A., Xu, Y. and Ma, D. 2021. Effectiveness of using representative subsets of global climate models in future crop yield projections. Scientific Reports. 11, p. 20565. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99378-7

Remote sensing, modelling-based hazard and risk assessment, and management of agro-forested ecosystems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Rizzi, J., Tarquis, A. M., Gobin, A., Semenov, M. A., Zhao, W and Tarolli, P. 2021. Remote sensing, modelling-based hazard and risk assessment, and management of agro-forested ecosystems. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 21 (12), p. 3873–3877. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3873-2021

Methodology to assess the changing risk of yield failure due to heat and drought stress under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stella, T., Webber, H., Olesen, J. E., Ruane, A. C., Fronzek, S., Bregaglio, S., Mamidanna, S., Bindi, M., Collins, B., Faye, B., Ferrise, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldon-Leal, C., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorite, I. J., Manceau, L., Martre, P., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P. and Ewert, F. 2021. Methodology to assess the changing risk of yield failure due to heat and drought stress under climate change. Environmental Research Letters. 16 (10), p. 104033. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2196

Changes in agricultural climate in South-Eastern England from 1892 to 2016 and differences in cereal and permanent grassland yield

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Addy, J., Ellis, R. H., Macdonald, A. J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2021. Changes in agricultural climate in South-Eastern England from 1892 to 2016 and differences in cereal and permanent grassland yield. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 308-309, p. 108560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108560

Using ensemble-mean climate scenarios for future crop yield projections: a stochastic weather generator

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ma, D., Jing, Q., Xu, Y.-P., Cannon, A. J., Dong, T., Semenov, M. A. and Qian, B. 2021. Using ensemble-mean climate scenarios for future crop yield projections: a stochastic weather generator . Climate Research. 83, pp. 161-171. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01646

Dynamic simulation of management events for assessing impacts of climate change on pre-alpine grassland productivity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Petersen, K., Kraus, D., Calanca, P., Semenov, M. A., Butterbach-Bahl, K. and Kiese, R. 2021. Dynamic simulation of management events for assessing impacts of climate change on pre-alpine grassland productivity. European Journal of Agronomy. 128, p. 126306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2021.126306

Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Putelat, T., Whitmore, A. P., Senapati, N. and Semenov, M. A. 2021. Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain. Royal Society Open Science. 8 (6), p. 201669. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201669

Assessing future drought risks and wheat yield losses in England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Clarke, D., Hess, T. M., Haro-Monteagudo, D., Semenov, M. A. and Knox, J. W 2021. Assessing future drought risks and wheat yield losses in England. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 297, p. 108248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108248

Vulnerability of European wheat to extreme heat and drought around flowering under future climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Halford, N. G. and Semenov, M. A. 2021. Vulnerability of European wheat to extreme heat and drought around flowering under future climate. Environmental Research Letters. 16 (2), p. 024052. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abdcf3

Reproducing analysis of Sirius model simulations of wheat yields, 1892-2016

J - Computer programs

Addy, J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2021. Reproducing analysis of Sirius model simulations of wheat yields, 1892-2016.

Simulated wheat yields from Sirius, 1892-2016

N - Datasets

Addy, J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2021. Simulated wheat yields from Sirius, 1892-2016.

The potential for soybean to diversify the production of plant-based protein in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Coleman, K., Whitmore, A. P., Hassall, K. L., Shield, I. F., Semenov, M. A., Dobermann, A., Bourhis, Y., Eskandary, A. and Milne, A. E. 2021. The potential for soybean to diversify the production of plant-based protein in the UK. Science of the Total Environment. 767, p. 144903. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144903

Stability of farm income: The role of agricultural diversity and agri-environment scheme payments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Harkness, C., Areal, F. J., Semenov, M. A., Senapati, N., Shield, I. F. and Bishop, J. 2021. Stability of farm income: The role of agricultural diversity and agri-environment scheme payments. Agricultural Systems. 187, p. 103009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.103009

The impact of weather and increased atmospheric CO2 from 1892 to 2016 on simulated yields of UK wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Addy, J. W. G., Ellis, R.H., Macdonald, A. J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2021. The impact of weather and increased atmospheric CO2 from 1892 to 2016 on simulated yields of UK wheat. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 18 (179), p. 20210250. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0250

Pan-European multi- crop model ensemble projections of climate change impact on wheat and grain maize

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H., Cooke, D., Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Martre, P., Collins, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldon-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorite, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P. and Trombi, G. 2020. Pan-European multi- crop model ensemble projections of climate change impact on wheat and grain maize . Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 6, pp. 21-27. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v6i0.16326

Future agroclimatic conditions and implications for European grasslands.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Balek, J., Semenov, M. A., Semeradova, D., Belinova, M., Hlavinka, P., Olesen, J. E., Eitzinger, J., Schaumberger, A., Zahradnicek, P., Kopecky, D. and Zalud, Z. 2020. Future agroclimatic conditions and implications for European grasslands. Biologia Plantarum. 64, pp. 865-880. https://doi.org/10.32615/bp.2021.005

Understanding effects of genotype × environment × sowing window interactions for durum wheat in the Mediterranean basin

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Padovan, G., Martre, P., Semenov, M. A., Masoni, A., Bregaglio, S., Ventrella, D., Lorite, I. J., Santos, C., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R. and Dibari, C. 2020. Understanding effects of genotype × environment × sowing window interactions for durum wheat in the Mediterranean basin. Field Crops Research. 259, p. 107969. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2020.107969

Substantial increase in yield predicted by wheat ideotypes for Europe under future climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Griffiths, S, Hawkesford, M. J., Shewry, P. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2020. Substantial increase in yield predicted by wheat ideotypes for Europe under future climate. Climate Research. 80 (3), p. 189–201. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01602

Electrophysiologically and behaviourally active semiochemicals identified from bed bug refuge substrate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Birkett, M. A., Weeks, E. N. I., Logan, J. G., Caulfield, J. C., Gazan, S. A., Welham, S. J., Brugman, V. A., Pickett, J. A. and Cameron, M. M. 2020. Electrophysiologically and behaviourally active semiochemicals identified from bed bug refuge substrate. Scientific Reports. (10), p. article 4590. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-61368-6

Why do crop models diverge substantially in climate impact projections? A comprehensive analysis based on eight barley crop models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Tao, F., Palosuo, T., Rotter, R. P., Hernandez Diaz-Ambrona, C. G., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Cammarano, D., Specka, X., Nendel, C., Srivastava, A. K., Ewert, F., Padovan, G., Ferrise, R., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Dibari, C. and Schulman, A. H. 2020. Why do crop models diverge substantially in climate impact projections? A comprehensive analysis based on eight barley crop models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 281, p. 107851. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107851

Investigating the effects of inter-annual weather variation (1968-2016) on the functional response of cereal grain yield to applied nitrogen, using data from the Rothamsted Long-Term Experiments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Addy, J., Ellis, R. H., Macdonald, A. J., Semenov, M. A. and Mead, A. 2020. Investigating the effects of inter-annual weather variation (1968-2016) on the functional response of cereal grain yield to applied nitrogen, using data from the Rothamsted Long-Term Experiments. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 284, p. 107898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107898

Adverse weather conditions for UK wheat production under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Harkness, C., Semenov, M. A., Areal, F., Senapati, N., Trnka, M., Balek, J. and Bishop, J. 2020. Adverse weather conditions for UK wheat production under climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 282-283, p. 107862. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107862

Large genetic yield potential and genetic yield gap estimated for wheat in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Senapati, N. 2020. Large genetic yield potential and genetic yield gap estimated for wheat in Europe. Global Food Security. 24, p. 100340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2019.100340

Mitigation efforts will not fully alleviate the increase in water scarcity occurrence probability in wheat-producing areas

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Feng, S., Semenov, M. A., Olesen, J. E., Kersebaum, K. C., Rotter, R. P., Semeradova, D., Klem, K., Huang, W., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Hlavinka, P, Meitner, J., Balek, J., Havlik P. and Buntgen, U. 2019. Mitigation efforts will not fully alleviate the increase in water scarcity occurrence probability in wheat-producing areas . Science Advances. 5 (9), p. eaau2406. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau2406

New modelling technique for improving crop model performance - Application to the GLAM model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Droutsas, I., Challinor, A. J., Swiderski, M. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. New modelling technique for improving crop model performance - Application to the GLAM model. Environmental Modelling and Software. 118, pp. 187-200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.05.005

Risk factors for European winter oilseed rape production under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pullens, J. W. M., Sharif, B., Trnka, M., Balek, J., Semenov, M. A. and Olesen, J. E. 2019. Risk factors for European winter oilseed rape production under climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 272-273, pp. 30-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.03.023

Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Porter, J. R., Challinor, A. J., Muller, C., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovič, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M, Rezaei, E. E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, A., Montesino San Martin, M., Kumar, S.N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Paluoso, T., Priesack, E., Riposhe, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhue, Y. and Asseng, S. 2019. Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming. Global Change Biology. 25 (4), pp. 1428-1444. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14542

Drought tolerance during reproductive development is important for increasing wheat yield potential under climate change in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Stratonovitch, P., Paul, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Drought tolerance during reproductive development is important for increasing wheat yield potential under climate change in Europe. Journal of Experimental Botany. 70 (9), pp. 2549-2560. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/ery226

Assessing yield gap in high productive countries by designing wheat ideotypes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Assessing yield gap in high productive countries by designing wheat ideotypes. Scientific Reports. 9 (1), p. 5516. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40981-0

Raising genetic yield potential in high productive countries: Designing wheat ideotypes under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Brown, H. E. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Raising genetic yield potential in high productive countries: Designing wheat ideotypes under climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 271, pp. 33-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.02.025

Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Palosuo, T., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Lorite, I. J., Ferrise, R., Pirttioja, N., Bindi, M., Baronowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka, F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R, Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., de Wit, A. and Rotter, R. P. 2019. Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 264, pp. 351-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018

Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rotter, R. P., O'Leary, G. J., Fitzgerald, G. J., Girousse, C., Motzo, R., Giunta, F., Babar, M. A., Reynolds, M. P., Kheir, A. M. S., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K, Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, D., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoggenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K-C., Klein, C., Koehler, A-K., Liu, B., Minoli, S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Porter, J., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Ewert, F. 2019. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Global Change Biology. 25 (1), pp. 155-173. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14481

The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Maiorano, A., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jablou, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A.- K., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Liu, B., Lobell, D. B., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E,, Rezaei, E. E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P, Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Z. 2018. The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 4, pp. 28-34. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/M9ZT0F

Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wallach, D., Martre, P., Liu, B., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Thorburn, P. J., Van Ittersum, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Fitzgerald, G. J., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Girousse, C., Hoogenboom, G., Horan, H., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, S., Muller,C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Wolf, J. and Zhang, Z 2018. Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions. Global Change Biology. 24 (11), pp. 5072-5083. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14411

Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parent, B., Leclere, M., Lacube, S., Semenov, M. A., Welcker, C., Martre, P. and Tardieu, F. 2018. Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (42), pp. 10642-10647. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1720716115

Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H, Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Müller, C., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Bourgault, M., Martre, P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Finger, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldón-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorie, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Siebert, S., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P., Trombi, G. and Wallach, D. 2018. Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe. Nature Communications. 9 (4249). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2

Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ruiz-Ramos, M., Ferrise, R, Rodriguez, A., Lorite, I. J., Bindi, M., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Palosuo, T., Pirttioja, N., Baranowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R., Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., De Wit, A. and Potter, R. P. 2018. Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment. Agricultural Systems. 159 (January), pp. 260-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009

Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Tao, F., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Specka, X.., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambrevill, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D. and Schulman, A.H. 2018. Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 1291-1307. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14019

Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Fronzek, S., Pirttioja, N., Carter, T. R., Bindi, M., Hoffman, H., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Tao, F., Trnka, M., Acutis, M., Asseng, S., Baranowski, P., Basso, B., Bodin, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Deligios, P., Destain, M-F., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Ferrise, R., Francois, L., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Jacquemin, I., Kersebaum, K. C., Kollas, C., Krzyszczak, J., Loriet, I. J., Minet, J., Minguez, M. I., Montesino, M., Moriondo, M., Muller, M., Nendel, C., Ozturk, I., Perego, A., Rodriguez, A., Ruane, A. C., Ruget, F., Sanna, M., Semenov, M. A., Slawinski, C., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wu, L., Zhao, Z. and Rotter, R. P. 2018. Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 209-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004

Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Maiorano, A., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Muller, C., Rotter, R. P., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Wang, E. L., Alderman, P. D., Kassie, B. T., Biernath, C., Basso, B., Cammaran, D., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Gayler, S., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Liu, B., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Priesack, E., Reynolds, M., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Thorburn, P. J., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Zhao, Z. G. and Zhu, Y. 2017. Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles. Field Crops Research. 202, pp. 5-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.05.001

The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wang, E., Martre, P., Zhao, Z., Ewert, F., Maiorano, A., Rötter, R. P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Reynolds, M. P., Alderman, P. D., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A. K., Liu, L., Müller, C., Naresh Kumar, S., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Ripoche, D., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wallach, D., Wang, Z., Wolf, J., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2017. The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions. Nature Plants. 3, p. 17102. https://doi.org/10.1038/nplants.2017.102

Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Slater, R., Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Semenov, M. A. and Denholm, I. 2017. Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies. Pest Management Science. 73 (7), pp. 1364-1372. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.4456

Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Kimball, B. A., White, J., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Grant, R., Kassie, B., Maiorano, A., Olesen, J. E., Ripoche, D., Rezaei, E. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P. and Ewert, F. 2017. Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison. Field Crops Research. 202 (15 February), pp. 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2015.10.009

Meteorological and landscape influences on pollen beetle immigration into oilseed rape crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Skellern, M., Welham, S. J., Watts, N. P. and Cook, S. M. 2017. Meteorological and landscape influences on pollen beetle immigration into oilseed rape crops. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 241 (1 April), pp. 150-159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2017.03.008

Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barber, H. M., Lukac, M., Simmonds, J., Semenov, M. A. and Gooding, M. J. 2017. Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature. Frontiers in Plant Science. 8 (51), p. 9p. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2017.00051

Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Tao, F. L., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Cammarano, D., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambreville, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M. and Schulman, A. H. 2017. Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble. European Journal of Agronomy. 82, pp. 144-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2016.10.012

Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lake, I. R, Jones, N. R., Agnew, M., Goodess, C. M., Giorgi, F., Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Semenov, M. A., Solmon, F., Storkey, J., Vautard, R. and Epstein, M. M. 2017. Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe. Environmental Health Perspectives. 125, pp. 385-391. https://doi.org/10.1289/ehp173

Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H., White, J. W., Kimball, B. A., Ewert, F., Asseng, S., Rezaei, E. E., Pinter, P. J., Hatfield, J., Reynolds, M. P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M, Doltra, J., Ferrise, R., Kage, Henning, Kassie, B.T., Kersebaum, K.-C., Luig, A., Olesen, J. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Ratjen, A. M., LaMorte, R. L., Leavitt, S. W., Hunsaker, D. J., Wall, G. W. and Martre, P. 2017. Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions. Field Crops Research. 216, pp. 75-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.11.005

How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hoffmann, M. P., Haakana, M., Asseng, S., Hohn, J. G., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Fronzek, S., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Kassie, B. T., Paff, K., Razaei, E. E., Rodriguez, A., Semenov, M. A., Srivastava, A. K., Stratonovitch, P., Tao, F., Chen, Y. and Rotter, R. P. 2017. How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 199-208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.03.012

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D. B., Martre, P., Ruane, A. C., Wallach, D., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P. K., Alderman, P. D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Fereres, E., Folberth, C., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Palosuo, T., Prasad, P. V. V., Priesack, E., Pugh, T. A. M., Reynolds, M., Rezaei, E. E., Rötter, R. P., Schmid, E., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stehfest, E., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., Wang, E., White, J. W., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Y. 2016. Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change. 6 (12), pp. 1130-1138. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3115

Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Cammarano, D., Rötter, R. P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Wallach, D., Martre, P., Hatfield, J. L., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Kersebaum, K. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, K., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2. Field Crops Research. 198, pp. 80-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.08.015

Identification of environmentally stable QTL for resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans in oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Huang, Y. J., Jestin, C., Welham, S. J., King, G. J., Manzanares-Dauleux, M. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Delourme, R. 2016. Identification of environmentally stable QTL for resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans in oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Theoretical and Applied Genetics. 129 (1), pp. 169-180. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-015-2620-z

Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Clare, F. C., Halder, J. B., Daniel, O., Bielby, J., Semenov, M. A., Jombart, T., Loyau, A., Schmeller, D. S., Cunningham, A. A., Rowcliffe, M., Garner, T. W. J., Bosch, J. and Fisher, M. C. 2016. Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 371 (1709). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2015.0454

Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ruane, A. C., Hudson, N. L., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Martre, P., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grant, R. F., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Kersebaum, K. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F. L., Travasso, M., Waha, K., Wallach, D., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability. Environmental Modelling and Software. 81, pp. 86-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.008

Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bindi, M., Palosuo, T., Trnka, M. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction. Climate Research. 65, pp. 3-5. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01342

Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pirttioja, N., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces. Climate Research. 65, pp. 87-105. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01322

In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., He, J., Le Gouis, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66, pp. 3581-3598. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv049

Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Bassu, S., Durand, J., Martre, P., Adam, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Baron, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Boogard, H., Boote, K. J., Brisson, N., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Conijn, S., Corbeels, M., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grassini, P., Hatfield, J. L., Heng, L., Hoek, S., Hooker, J., Hunt, T., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Jongschaap, R., Jones, J., Kersebaum, K. C., Kim, S., Lizaso, J., Müller, C., Kumar, N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olsen, J., Osborne, T., Palosuo, T., Pravia, M., Priesack, E., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects. in: Hillel, D. and Rosenzweig, C. (ed.) Handbook of climate change and agroecosystems: the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Imperial College Press, London. pp. 279-295

Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ewert, F., Rotter, R. P., Bindi, M., Webber, H., Trnka, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Van Ittersum, M. K., Janssen, S., Rivington, M., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Porter, J. R., Stewart, D., Verhagen, J., Gaiser, T., Palosuo, T., Tao, F., Nendel, C., Roggero, P. P., Bartosova, L. and Asseng, S. 2015. Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software. 72, pp. 287-303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.12.003

Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Martre, P., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Rötter, R. P., Cammarano, D., Brisson, N., Basso, B., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research. 1, pp. 1-5. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v1i1

Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ferrise, R., Toscano, P., Pasqui, M., Moriondo, M., Primicerio, J., Semenov, M. A. and Bindi, M. 2015. Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin. Climate Research. 65, pp. 7-21. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01325

Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Hlavinka, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 12 (112), p. 20150721. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721

A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 214-215, pp. 483-493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013

Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections. Climate Research. 65, pp. 123-139. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01297

Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66 (12), pp. 3599-3609. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv070

Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Vautard, R., Liu, L., Solmon, F., Viovy, N., Khvorosthyanov, D., Essl, F., Chuine, I., Colette, A., Semenov, M. A., Schaffhauser, A., Storkey, J., Thibaudon, M. and Epstein, M. M. 2015. Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 766-771. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2652

Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 143-147. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470

Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one. Global Change Biology. 21 (2), pp. 911-925. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12768

Statistical methods in biology: design and analysis of experiments and regression

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Welham, S. J., Gezan, S. A., Clark, S. J. and Mead, A. 2015. Statistical methods in biology: design and analysis of experiments and regression. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.

An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Denholm, I., Slater, R. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e115631. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115631

Genetical and comparative genomics of Brassica under altered Ca supply identifies Arabidopsis Ca-transporter orthologs

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Graham, N. S., Hammond, J. P., Lysenko, A., Mayes, S., O Lochlainn, S., Blasco, B., Bowen, H. C., Rawlings, C. J., Rios, J. J., Welham, S. J., Carion, P. W. C., Dupuy, L. X., King, G. J., White, P. J. and Broadley, M. R. 2014. Genetical and comparative genomics of Brassica under altered Ca supply identifies Arabidopsis Ca-transporter orthologs. The Plant Cell. 26, pp. 2818-2830. https://doi.org/10.1105/tpc.114.128603

Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Vanuytracht, E., Raes, D., Willems, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 195-196, pp. 12-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.04.017

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Zalud, Z. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change. Nature Climate Change. 4, pp. 637-643. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242

Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M. J. 2014. Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science. 59 (3), pp. 245-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcs.2014.01.006

A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Storkey, J., Stratonovitch, P., Chapman, D. S., Vidotto, F. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e88156. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0088156

An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Crout, N. M. J., Craigon, J., Cox, G. M., Jao, Y., Tarsitano, D., Wood, A. T. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 189-190, pp. 211-219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.01.010

Hydroxamic acids in Aegilops species and effects on Rhopalosiphum padi behaviour and fecundity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Elek, H., Smart, L. E., Martin, J. L., Ahmad, S., Gordon-Weeks, R., Anda, A., Welham, S. J., Werner, P. and Pickett, J. A. 2013. Hydroxamic acids in Aegilops species and effects on Rhopalosiphum padi behaviour and fecundity. Bulletin of Insectology. 66, pp. 213-220.

Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate. Food and Energy Security. 2 (3), pp. 185-196. https://doi.org/10.1002/fes3.34

Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change. 3, pp. 827-832. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1916

A review of the effects of crop agronomy on the management of Alopecurus myosuroides

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lutman, P. J. W., Moss, S. R., Cook, S. and Welham, S. J. 2013. A review of the effects of crop agronomy on the management of Alopecurus myosuroides. Weed Research. 53 (5), pp. 299-313. https://doi.org/10.1111/wre.12024

Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Pilkington-Bennett, S. and Calanca, P. 2013. Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set. Climate Research. 57, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01164

The potential of hydroxamic acids in tetraploid and hexaploid wheat varieties as resistance factors against the bird-cherry oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Elek, H., Smart, L. E., Martin, J. L., Ahmad, S., Gordon-Weeks, R., Welham, S. J., Nadasy, M., Pickett, J. A. and Werner, C. P. 2013. The potential of hydroxamic acids in tetraploid and hexaploid wheat varieties as resistance factors against the bird-cherry oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 162 (1), pp. 100-109. https://doi.org/10.1111/aab.12005

Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P. M., Semenov, M. A., Stenseth, N. C. and Boddy, L. 2013. Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 110, p. E335. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1221131110

Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hoglind, M., Thorsen, S. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 170 (15 March), pp. 103-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.010

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Calanca, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database. Theoretical And Applied Climatology. 113, pp. 445-455. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Development of an integrated pest management strategy for control of pollen beetles in winter oilseed rape (HGCA Project Report No 504)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Cook, S. M., Doring, T. F., Ferguson, A. W., Martin, J. L., Skellern, M. P., Smart, L. E., Watts, N. P., Welham, S. J., Woodcock, C. M., Pickett, J. A., Bardsley, E., Bowman, J., Burns, S., Clarke, M., Davies, J., Gibbard, C., Johnen, A., Jennaway, R., Meredith, R., Murray, D., Nightingale, M., Padbury, N., Patrick, C., Von Richthofen, J-S., Taylor, P., Tait, M. and Werner, P. 2013. Development of an integrated pest management strategy for control of pollen beetles in winter oilseed rape (HGCA Project Report No 504). Kenilworth Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

A hypomethylated population of Brassica rapa for forward and reverse epi-genetics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Amoah, S., Kurup, S., Rodriguez Lopez, C. M., Welham, S. J., Powers, S. J., Hopkins, C. J., Wilkinson, M. J. and King, G. J. 2012. A hypomethylated population of Brassica rapa for forward and reverse epi-genetics. BMC Plant Biology. 12, p. 193 (17pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2229-12-193

Three-point appraisal of genetic linkage maps

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilks, W. R., Welham, S. J., Wang, J., Clark, S. J. and King, G. J. 2012. Three-point appraisal of genetic linkage maps. Theoretical and Applied Genetics. 125, pp. 1393-1402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-012-1920-9

A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P., Storkey, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed. Global Change Biology. 18 (6), pp. 2071-2080. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02650.x

Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Sparks, T., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L. and Stenseth, N. C. 2012. Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 109, pp. 14488-14493. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1200789109

Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Iizumi, T., Takayabu, I., Dairaku, K., Kusaka, H., Nishimori, M., Sakurai, G., Ishizaki, M. N., Adachi, S. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information. Journal of Geophysical Research. 117, p. D11114. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD017197

Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

He, J., Le Gouis, J., Stratonovitch, P., Allard, V., Gaju, O., Heumez, E., Orford, S., Griffiths, S., Snape, J. W., Foulkes, M. J., Semenov, M. A. and Martre, P. 2012. Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 42, pp. 22-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2011.11.002

Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Whitmore, A. P., Hawkesford, M. J., Parry, M. A. J. and Shewry, P. R. 2012. Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions. Nature Climate Change. 2, pp. 380-382. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1511

The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bell, J. R., Taylor, M. S., Shortall, C. R., Welham, S. J. and Harrington, R. 2012. The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 21 (4), pp. 405-415. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00685.x

ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Iizumi, T., Semenov, M. A., Nishimori, M., Ishigooka, Y. and Kuwagata, T. 2012. ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences. 370, pp. 1121-1139. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0305

Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Shewry, P. R. 2011. Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe. Scientific Reports. 1, p. 66. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00066

Regulatory hotspots are associated with plant gene expression under varying soil phosphorus supply in Brassica rapa

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hammond, J. P., Mayes, S., Bowen, H. C., Graham, N. S., Hayden, R. M., Love, C. G., Spracklen, W. P., Wang, J., Welham, S. J., White, P. J., King, G. J. and Broadley, M. R. 2011. Regulatory hotspots are associated with plant gene expression under varying soil phosphorus supply in Brassica rapa. Plant Physiology. 156, pp. 1230-1241. https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.111.175612

Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Luedeling, E., Girvetz, E. H., Semenov, M. A. and Brown, P. H. 2011. Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees. PLOS ONE. 6, p. e20155 (13pp). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0020155

Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 3 (1), pp. 117-120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0105-0

Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madgwick, J. W., West, J. S., Wright, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Townsend, J. A., Turner, J. A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 130 (1), pp. 117-131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-010-9739-1

Effects of environment on stability of QTL for resistance to Leptosphaeria maculans on oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Huang, Y-J., Jestin, C., Welham, S. J., King, G. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Delourme, R. 2010. Effects of environment on stability of QTL for resistance to Leptosphaeria maculans on oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Abstracts 17th Crucifer Genetics Workshop, Saskatoon, 5-8 September 2010 . pp. 124

Estimation of spatial trend and automatic model selection in augmented designs

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kehel, Z., Habash, D. Z., Gezan, S. A., Welham, S. J. and Nachit, M. M. 2010. Estimation of spatial trend and automatic model selection in augmented designs. Agronomy Journal. 102, pp. 1542-1552. https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2010.0175

Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research)

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Tarquis, A. M., Gobin, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2010. Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research). Climate Research. 44, pp. 1-2. https://doi.org/10.3354//cr00942

ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Donatelli, M., Stratonovitch, P., Chatzidaki, E. and Baruth, B. 2010. ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe. Climate Research. 44 (1), pp. 3-15. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00865

Spectral tempering to model non-stationary covariance of nitrous oxide emissions from soil using continuous or categorical explanatory variables at a landscape scale

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Haskard, K. A., Welham, S. J. and Lark, R. M. 2010. Spectral tempering to model non-stationary covariance of nitrous oxide emissions from soil using continuous or categorical explanatory variables at a landscape scale. Geoderma. 159, pp. 358-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2010.08.012

Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnes, A. P., Wreford, A., Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Moran, D., Evans, N. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 148, pp. 683-694. https://doi.org/10.1017/S002185961000064X

Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. 2010. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing. Phytopathology. 100 (10), pp. 1030-1041. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-09-0220

A comparison of analysis methods for late-stage variety evaluation trials

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. J., Smith, A. B., Thompson, R. and Cullis, B. R. 2010. A comparison of analysis methods for late-stage variety evaluation trials. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 52 (2), pp. 125-149. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2010.00570.x

To bite or not to bite! A questionnaire-based survey assessing why some people are bitten more than others by midges

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Logan, J. G., Cook, J. I., Stanczyk, N. M., Weeks, E. N. I., Welham, S. J. and Mordue (Luntz), A. J. 2010. To bite or not to bite! A questionnaire-based survey assessing why some people are bitten more than others by midges. BMC Public Health. 10, p. 275 (8pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-275

A variance shift model for detection of outliers in the linear mixed model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gumedze, F. N., Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. J. and Thompson, R. 2010. A variance shift model for detection of outliers in the linear mixed model. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 54 (9), pp. 2128-2144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2010.03.019

The identification of a virulence factor-enriched micro-region in the Fusarium graminearum genome

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hammond-Kosack, K. E., Antoniw, J. F., Freeman, A., Urban, M., Welham, S. J. and Beacham, A. 2010. The identification of a virulence factor-enriched micro-region in the Fusarium graminearum genome. Abstracts Fusarium Workshop, Amsterdam, 28-29 March 2010 .

Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lazzarotto, P., Calanca, P., Semenov, M. A. and Fuhrer, J. 2010. Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward. Climate Research. 41, pp. 221-232. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00847

The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 2 (2), pp. 143-156. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0058-3

Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L., Halvorsen, R., Stige, L. C., Sparks, T. H., Gange, A. C. and Stenseth, N. C. 2010. Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 277, pp. 1169-1177. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.1537

Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2010. Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts. Climate Research. 41, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00836

North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7, pp. 123-130. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0111

The GAMes aphids play

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bell, J. R., Harrington, R., Welham, S. J., Clark, S. J. and Pickup, J. 2009. The GAMes aphids play. Abstracts 8th International Symposium on Aphids, Catania, 8-12 June 2009 .

North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2009. North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/7/372051

Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. R. 2009. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation. Abstracts 10th International Epidemiological Workshop, Geneva, New York, 8-12 June 2009 .

Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Halford, N. G. 2009. Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate. Journal of Experimental Botany. 60, pp. 2791-2804. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp164

A novel transcriptomic approach to identify candidate genes for grain quality traits in wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wan, Y., Toscano-Underwood, C., Toole, G., Skeggs, P., Zhu, T., Leverington, M., Griffiths, S., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K. J., Gezan, S. A., Welham, S. J., Snape, J., Mills, E. N. C., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Shewry, P. R. 2009. A novel transcriptomic approach to identify candidate genes for grain quality traits in wheat. Plant Biotechnology Journal. 7 (5), pp. 401-410. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7652.2009.00405.x

A note on bimodality in the log-likelihood function for penalized spline mixed models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 2009. A note on bimodality in the log-likelihood function for penalized spline mixed models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 53 (4), pp. 920-931. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.031

Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Martre, P. and Jamieson, P. D. 2009. Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 149 (6-7), pp. 1095-1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2009.01.006

Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2009. Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 6 (33), pp. 343-350. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2008.0285

Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Storkey, J., Semenov, M. A. and Neve, P. 2008. Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 15-21

Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2008. Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 37-38

Controlling for competition in neighbouring field plots in a willow (Salix spp.) trial

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gezan, S. A., Macalpine, W. J., Shield, I. F. and Welham, S. J. 2008. Controlling for competition in neighbouring field plots in a willow (Salix spp.) trial. Aspects of Applied Biology. 90, pp. 181-187.

Improving wheat for nutrition and processing

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Shewry, P. R., Wan, Y., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K. J., Mills, E. N. C., Skeggs, P., Gezan, S., Welham, S. J., Shenton, C., Zhu, T., Phillips, A. L., Jones, H. D., Li, L., Ward, J. L., Freeman, J., Nemeth, C. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2008. Improving wheat for nutrition and processing. Molinacano, J. L. (ed.) Cereal Science and Technology for Feeding Ten Billion People: Genomics Era and Beyond. Proceedings of the Meeting of the Eucarpia Cereal Section, Lleida (Spain), 13-17 November 2006 . Options Mediterraneennes, Series A, No 81. pp. 249-252

Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming.

Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stenseth, N. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2008. Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities. Climate Research. 37 (1), p. 1. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00756

Transcriptome analysis of grain development in hexaploid wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wan, Y., Poole, R. L., Huttly, A. K., Toscano-Underwood, C., Feeney, K., Welham, S. J., Gooding, M. J., Mills, C., Edwards, K. J., Shewry, P. R. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2008. Transcriptome analysis of grain development in hexaploid wheat. BMC Genomics. 9, p. 121 (16pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2164-9-121

Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2008. Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator. Climate Research. 35 (3), pp. 203-212. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00731

Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2008. Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model. Field Crops Research. 106, pp. 138-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.11.004

Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 5, pp. 525-531. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2007.1136

Severity of plant disease increased by global warming

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A. and Gladders, P. 2007. Severity of plant disease increased by global warming. RRA Newsletter. Issue 25, p. 4.

Transcriptome profiling of wheat genotypes differing in bread making quality under different environments

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Wan, Y., Mitchell, R. A. C., Leverington, M., Griffiths, S., Snape, J., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K., Mills, C., Skeggs, P., Gezan, S., Welham, S. J., Shenton, C., Zhu, T. and Shewry, P. R. 2007. Transcriptome profiling of wheat genotypes differing in bread making quality under different environments. Abstracts 4th UK Small Grain Cereals Genetic and Genomics Workshop: From Genes to Traits, Cambridge, 14-16 March 2007 .

The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2007. The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 145 (4), pp. 367-375. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021859607006922

Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Harrington, R., Clark, S. J., Welham, S. J., Verrier, P. J., Denholm, C. H., Hulle, M., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M. D., Cocu, N. and European Union Examine Consortium 2007. Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids. Global Change Biology. 13 (8), pp. 1550-1564. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01394.x

Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. 2007. Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield. Climate Research. 34 (1), pp. 71-81. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr034071

Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D., Brooking, I. R., Semenov, M. A., Mcmaster, G. S., White, J. W. and Porter, J. R. 2007. Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat. Field Crops Research. 103, pp. 36-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.04.009

Drought effects on yield and its components in Indian mustard (Brassica juncea L.)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Chauhan, J. S., Tyagi, M. K., Kumar, A., Nashaat, N. I., Singh, M., Singh, N. B., Jakhar, M. L. and Welham, S. J. 2007. Drought effects on yield and its components in Indian mustard (Brassica juncea L.). Plant Breeding. 126 (4), pp. 399-402. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1439-0523.2007.01394.x

Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2007. Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 144 (1-2), pp. 127-138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.02.003

Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Jamieson, P. D. and Martre, P. 2007. Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study. European Journal of Agronomy. 26, pp. 283-294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.10.009

A comparison of mixed model splines for curve fitting

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Thompson, R. 2007. A comparison of mixed model splines for curve fitting. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 49 (1), pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2006.00454.x

Multivariate spatial statistical analysis of longitudinal data in perennial crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

De Resende, M. D. V., Thompson, R. and Welham, S. J. 2006. Multivariate spatial statistical analysis of longitudinal data in perennial crops. Revista de Matemática e Estatística, São Paulo,. 24 (1), pp. 147-169.

Development and uptake of a scheme for predicting risk of severe light leaf spot on oilseed rape

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2006. Development and uptake of a scheme for predicting risk of severe light leaf spot on oilseed rape. Outlooks on Pest Management. 17 (6), pp. 243-245. https://doi.org/10.1564/17dec02

On spatial prediction of soil properties in the presence of a spatial trend: the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (E-BLUP) with REML

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lark, R. M., Cullis, B. R. and Welham, S. J. 2006. On spatial prediction of soil properties in the presence of a spatial trend: the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (E-BLUP) with REML. European Journal of Soil Science. 57 (6), pp. 787-799. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2389.2005.00768.x

Pasture and sheep responses to lime application in a grazing experiment in a high-rainfall area, south-eastern Australia. I. Pasture production

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Li, G. D., Helyar, K. R., Welham, S. J., Conyers, M. K., Castleman, L. J. C., Fisher, R. P., Evans, C. M., Cullis, B. R. and Cregan, P. D. 2006. Pasture and sheep responses to lime application in a grazing experiment in a high-rainfall area, south-eastern Australia. I. Pasture production. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research. 57, pp. 1045-1055. https://doi.org/10.1071/AR05298

Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y. H., Conrad, K. F. and Semenov, M. A. 2006. Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK. Global Change Biology. 12 (9), pp. 1643-1657. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01201.x

Issues concerning the design and analysis of comparative field experiments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Clark, S. J. 2006. Issues concerning the design and analysis of comparative field experiments. Outlooks on Pest Management. 17, pp. 175-180. https://doi.org/10.1564/17aug10

Estimating the spatial scales of regionalized variables by nested sampling, hierarchical analysis of variance and residual maximum likelihood

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webster, R., Welham, S. J., Potts, J. M. and Oliver, M. A. 2006. Estimating the spatial scales of regionalized variables by nested sampling, hierarchical analysis of variance and residual maximum likelihood. Computers & Geosciences. 32, pp. 1320-1333. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2005.12.002

Using weather generators in crop modelling

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2006. Using weather generators in crop modelling. International Society of Horticultural Science (ISHS).

Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Jamieson, P. D., Semenov, M. A., Zyskowski, R. F., Porter, J. R. and Triboi, E. 2006. Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 25, pp. 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.04.007

The analysis of longitudinal data using mixed model L-splines

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Thompson, R. 2006. The analysis of longitudinal data using mixed model L-splines. Biometrics. 62 (2), pp. 392-401. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00500.x

Major genetic changes in wheat with potential to affect disease tolerance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Foulkes, M. J., Paveley, N. D., Worland, A., Welham, S. J., Thomas, J. and Snape, J. W. 2006. Major genetic changes in wheat with potential to affect disease tolerance. Phytopathology. 96, pp. 680-688. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-96-0680

Light leaf spot risk reduced due to "dry" winter

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2006. Light leaf spot risk reduced due to "dry" winter. RRA Newsletter. No. 21, p. 1.

Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Richter, G. M., Qi, A., Semenov, M. A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations. Soil Use and Management. 22 (1), pp. 39-47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-2743.2006.00018.x

Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Potting, R. P. J., Semenov, M. A. and Glen, D. M. 2006. Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics. Ecological Modelling. 190, pp. 336-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.04.019

Development of ‘RL Plus’: winter wheat variety performance in relation to site characteristics (HGCA Project Report No. 365)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Welham, S. J., Thompson, R. and Sylvester-Bradley, R. 2005. Development of ‘RL Plus’: winter wheat variety performance in relation to site characteristics (HGCA Project Report No. 365). Stoneleigh Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Sylvester-Bradley, R., Semenov, M. A., Lawless, C., Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Foulkes, M. J. 2005. Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909.

Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 135 (1-4), pp. 302-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.01.002

Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Hanley, N., Aftab, A., Black, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002).

Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Baierl, A., Antoniw, J. F., Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A. and Elcock, S. 2005. Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology, Glasgow, 31 October-2 November 2005 . pp. 649-654

Crop responses to climatic variation

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Crop responses to climatic variation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 360 (1463), pp. 2021-2035. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1752

The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Bohan, D. A. and Glen, D. M. 2005. Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241.

Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Richter, G. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks. Agricultural Systems. 84 (1), pp. 77-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2004.06.011

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2005. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. European Journal of Agronomy. 22, pp. 19-32.

Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Exploitation of aphid monitoring systems in Europe to improve observation and prediction of global change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems: EXAMINE. (Final report to the EU on contract EVK2-CT-1999-20001)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Harrington, R., Verrier, P. J., Denholm, C. H., Clarke, S. J., Welham, S. J., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M., Cocu, N., Knight, J. and Hulle, M. 2004. Exploitation of aphid monitoring systems in Europe to improve observation and prediction of global change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems: EXAMINE. (Final report to the EU on contract EVK2-CT-1999-20001).

Modelling protein content and composition in wheat

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Jamieson, P. D., Martre, P., Samoil, V., Porter, J. R., Zyskowski, R., Semenov, M. A. and Triboi, E. 2004. Modelling protein content and composition in wheat. Fischer, T. (ed.) New Directions for a Diverse Planet: Proceedings 4th International Crop Science Congress, Brisbane, 26-September-1 October 2002 . Regional Institute, Gosford. pp. www.cropscience.org.au

A perspective on the measurement of time in plant disease epidemiology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Powers, S. J., Welham, S. J. and Parker, S. R. 2004. A perspective on the measurement of time in plant disease epidemiology. Plant Pathology. 53 (6), pp. 705-712. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.01097.x

Development of the oilseed rape light leaf spot forecast: from model to mobile phone

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Baierl, A., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2004. Development of the oilseed rape light leaf spot forecast: from model to mobile phone. Aspects of Applied Biology. 72, pp. 67-74.

Predicting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in England and Wales, using survey, weather and crop information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Baierl, A. 2004. Predicting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in England and Wales, using survey, weather and crop information. Plant Pathology. 53, pp. 713-724.

Prediction in linear mixed models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Gogel, B., Gilmour, A. and Thompson, R. 2004. Prediction in linear mixed models. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 46 (3), pp. 325-347. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2004.00334.x

Tolerance of septoria leaf blotch in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parker, S. R., Welham, S. J., Paveley, N. D., Foulkes, J. and Scott, R. K. 2004. Tolerance of septoria leaf blotch in winter wheat. Plant Pathology. 53 (1), pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.00951.x

An efficient computing strategy for prediction in mixed linear models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilmour, A., Cullis, B. R., Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. and Thompson, R. 2004. An efficient computing strategy for prediction in mixed linear models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 44 (4), pp. 571-586. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9473(02)00258-X

Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Powers, S. J., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 103, pp. 519-525.

Position of inoculum in the canopy affects the risk of septoria tritici blotch epidemics in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Hunter, T., Welham, S. J. and Nichols, A. R. 2004. Position of inoculum in the canopy affects the risk of septoria tritici blotch epidemics in winter wheat. Plant Pathology. 53 (1), pp. 11-21. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2003.00939.x

Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Hopkins, A., Richter, G. M., Coleman, K., Jaggard, K. W., Glendining, M. J., Semenov, M. A., Qi, A., Audsley, E., Hossell, J. E., Clemence, B., Fuller, M., Winter, D. M. and Butler, A. 2004. Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes.

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Testing the adequacy of measured data for evaluating nitrogen turnover models by the dot-to-dot method

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Smith, J. U., Smith, P., Richter, G. M., Agostini, F. A. and Welham, S. J. 2003. Testing the adequacy of measured data for evaluating nitrogen turnover models by the dot-to-dot method. European Journal of Soil Science. 54 (1), pp. 175-185. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2389.2003.00501.x

Multivariate spatial statistical analysis in perennial crops

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Vilela De Resende, M. D., Thompson, R., Welham, S. J. and Baierl, A. 2003. Multivariate spatial statistical analysis in perennial crops. Abstracts International Biometric Society British Region Conference, Reading, 16-18 September 2003 . pp. 70

Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2003. Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, Chicago, 12-16 July 2003. pp. 260-263

Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Brown, V. K. and Gussin, E. 2003. Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. BCPC Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 171-176

A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Parker, S., Semenov, M. A. and Lawless, C. 2003. A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906.

Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2003. Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology 2003 . pp. 1181-1188

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Terkel, D. A. 2003. Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Evolutionary Computation. 11, pp. 363-379.

Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Potting, R. P. J. and Glen, D. M. 2003. Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. British Crop Protection Council Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 177-182

Spatial aspects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemic development on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Brain, P., Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2003. Spatial aspects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemic development on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the United Kingdom. Phytopathology. 93 (6), pp. 657-665. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.6.657

Interactive forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape on the internet

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F., Baierl, A., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2003. Interactive forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape on the internet. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1067-1069

Impacts of environmental change on aphids throughout Europe

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Harrington, R., Denholm, C. H., Verrier, P. J., Clark, S. J., Welham, S. J., Hulle, M., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M., Cocu, N., Knight, J., Bell, N., Barbagallo, S., Basky, Z., Coceano, P. G., Derron, J., Katis, N., Lukasova, H., Marrkula, I., Mohar, J., Pickup, J., Rolot, J-L., Ruszkowska, M., Schliephake, E., Seco-Fernandez, M-V., Sigvald, R., Tsitsipis, J. and Ulber, B. 2003. Impacts of environmental change on aphids throughout Europe. Abstracts Integrated Biological Systems Conference, San Antonio, Texas, 14-16 April 2003 . pp. 39-40

Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Richter, G. M., Jaggard, K. W., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK. Knowledge transfer initiative on impacts and adaptation to climate change in agriculture. Project and workshop report . pp. 10-12

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Examine(exploitation of aphis monitoring in europe): an EU thematic network for the study of global change impacts on aphid dynamics

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Denholm, C. H., Barbagallo, S., Basky, Z., Bell, J. N. B., Clark, S. J., Coceano, P-G., Cocu, N., Colucci, R., Derron, J., Ferrara, V., Gotlin Euljak, T., Harrington, R., Hatala Zseller, I., Hulle, M., Katis, N., Knight, J. D., Limonta, L., Lukasova, H., Markkula, I., Maurice, D., Mohar, J., Pickup, J., Rolot, J-L., Rounsevell, M. D. A., Ruszkowska, M., Schleiphake, E., Seco-Fernandez, M. V., Sigvald, R., Verrier, P. J. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Examine(exploitation of aphis monitoring in europe): an EU thematic network for the study of global change impacts on aphid dynamics. Abstracts 7th European Congress of Entomology, Thessaloniki, 7-13 October 2002 . pp. 317

Improving and exploiting self-defence against wheat diseases

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Parker, S. R., Paveley, N. D., Foulkes, M. J., Lovell, D. J., Welham, S. J. and Worland, A. J. 2002. Improving and exploiting self-defence against wheat diseases. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2002 . pp. 919-924

Analysis of time series

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Analysis of time series. in: Payne, R. W. (ed.) Guide to GenStat release 6.1. Part 2. Statistics VSN International, Hemel Hempstead. pp. 705-788

REML analysis of mixed models

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Thompson, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. REML analysis of mixed models. in: Payne, R. W. (ed.) Guide to GenStat release 6.1. Part 2. Statistics Hemel Hempstead VSN International. pp. 461-560

GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 2. Directives

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Baird, D. B., Cherry, M., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Lane, P. W., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Soutar, D. M., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 2. Directives. Hemel Hempstead VSN International.

GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 1. Summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Baird, D. B., Cherry, M., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Lane, P. W., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Soutar, D. M., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 1. Summary. Hemel Hempstead VSN International.

ASREML user guide release 1.0

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gilmour, A. R., Gogel, B. J., Cullis, B. R., Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 2002. ASREML user guide release 1.0. VSN International, Hemel Hempstead.

The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Abstracts 7th European Society of Agronomy Congress, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .

Quantification of raindrop kinetic energy for improved prediction of splash-dispersed pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Van Peteghem, P., Webb, D. A. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Quantification of raindrop kinetic energy for improved prediction of splash-dispersed pathogens. Phytopathology. 92 (5), pp. 497-503. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2002.92.5.497

Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ewert, E., Rodriguez, D., Jamieson, P., Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Goudriaan, J., Porter, J. R., Kimball, B. A., Pinter, P. J. Jr, Manderscheid, R., Weigel, H-J., Fangmeier, A., Fereres, E. and Villalobos, F. 2002. Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 93 (1-3), pp. 249-266. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00352-8

Interactive forecasting on the Internet of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2002. Interactive forecasting on the Internet of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape.

ASREML estimates variance matrices from multivariate data using the animal model

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gilmour, A. R., Thompson, R., Cullis, B. R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. ASREML estimates variance matrices from multivariate data using the animal model. Proceedings 7th World Congress on Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, Montpellier, 19-23 August 2002 . pp. 28-05

Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2002. Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, GECCO 2002, New York, 9-13 July 2002 . pp. 210-214

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Ecological Modelling. 148, pp. 169-189.

Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bierman, S. M., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Bateman, G. L., Jenkyn, J. F. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000. Plant Pathology. 51 (2), pp. 191-201. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2002.00673.x

Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Richter, G. M., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change. ARIA newsletter. Issue 6.

Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England?

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2002. Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England? Abstracts 7th Congress of the European Society for Agronomy, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2001. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Abstracts 8th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Ouro Preto, Brazil, 6-11 May 2001 .

Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to leaf wetness and temperature

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 2001. Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to leaf wetness and temperature. Plant Pathology. 50 (2), pp. 154-164. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00551.x

Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Glen, D. M., Wiltshire, C. W. and Brain, P. 2001. Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables. Abstracts IMA Conference on Mathematical Modelling and Statistical Analysis of Infectious Diseases, Cardiff, 11-13 September 2001 .

Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2001. Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Proceedings Genetics and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2001), San Francisco, 8-11 July 2001 . pp. 372-376

Modelling a slug population using differential equations

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Modelling a slug population using differential equations. Abstracts Meeting of the OILB/IOBC Working Group on Integrated Control of Soil Pests, Subgroup on Integrated Control of Slugs and Snails, Lyons, 8-9 March 2001 .

Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2001. Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001. pp. 165-166

Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Semenov, M. A., Brooks, R. J. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001.

Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496. IACR Rothamsted Experimental Station, Harpenden.

Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Jamieson, P. D., Stone, P. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 111-126

The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 103-110

Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Parker, S. R. and Lovell, D. J. 2001. Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 109, pp. 171-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00267-2

Stem canker on winter oilseed rape during three growing seasons in England, France and Poland: an ACCESS database of results from the IMASCORE field experiments

J - Computer programs

Leech, P. K. and Welham, S. J. 2001. Stem canker on winter oilseed rape during three growing seasons in England, France and Poland: an ACCESS database of results from the IMASCORE field experiments.

Modelling the effects of temperature and wetness duration on development of light leaf spot on oilseed rape leaves inoculated with Pyrenopeziza brassicae conidia

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilles, T., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, N., Steed, J. M. and Jeger, M. J. 2001. Modelling the effects of temperature and wetness duration on development of light leaf spot on oilseed rape leaves inoculated with Pyrenopeziza brassicae conidia. Plant Pathology. 50 (1), pp. 42-52. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00542.x

Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Brooks, R. J., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction. European Journal of Agronomy. 14 (1), pp. 43-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(00)00089-7

Relationships between phoma leaf spot and development of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sun, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Welham, S. J. 2000. Relationships between phoma leaf spot and development of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 137 (2), pp. 113-125. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.2000.tb00043.x

Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D., Berntsen, J., Ewert, F., Kimball, B. A., Olesen, J. E., Pinter, P. J. Jr., Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 82, pp. 27-37.

Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat. Field Crops Research. 68, pp. 21-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4290(00)00103-9

A comparison of modelling methods for forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Papastamati, K., Fitt, B. D. L., Turner, J. A. and Gladders, P. 2000. A comparison of modelling methods for forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2000 . pp. 801-808

Introducing an interactive Internet based forecasting system for light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Antoniw, J. F., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Welham, S. J. 2000. Introducing an interactive Internet based forecasting system for light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK. GCIRC Bulletin. 17, pp. 48-52.

Predicting leaf infection by Leptosphaeria maculans on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

West, J. S., Evans, N., Leech, P. K., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Jedryczka, M. and Penaud, A. 2000. Predicting leaf infection by Leptosphaeria maculans on winter oilseed rape.

Effects of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) and light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, N. and Gladders, P. 2000. Effects of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) and light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England. Plant Pathology. 49, pp. 487-497.

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on conidial infection, latent period and asexual sporulation of Pyrenopeziza brassicae on leaves of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilles, T., Fitt, B. D. L., Kennedy, R., Welham, S. J. and Jeger, M. J. 2000. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on conidial infection, latent period and asexual sporulation of Pyrenopeziza brassicae on leaves of oilseed rape. Plant Pathology. 49 (4), pp. 498-508. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2000.00474.x

Forecasting light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Forecasting light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK.

Optimising the use of fungicides to control stem canker of oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

West, J. S., Leech, P. K., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Penaud, A., Peres, A. and Poisson, B. 1999. Optimising the use of fungicides to control stem canker of oilseed rape. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Yield loss of winter oilseed rape in relation to severity of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P., Sansford, C. E. and West, J. S. 1999. Yield loss of winter oilseed rape in relation to severity of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) in the UK. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape by ascospores of A-group or B-group Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Jedryczka, M., West, J. S. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape by ascospores of A-group or B-group Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Epidemiology, forecasting and management of winter oilseed rape diseases in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Sutherland, K. G., Turner, J. A. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Epidemiology, forecasting and management of winter oilseed rape diseases in the UK. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

The analysis of designed experiments and longitudinal data using smoothing splines

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Verbyla, A. P., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Welham, S. J. 1999. The analysis of designed experiments and longitudinal data using smoothing splines. Applied Statistics. 48, pp. 269-311. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9876.00154

Forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) on the Internet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Souter, S. D., Castells-Brooke, N. I. D., Antoniw, J. F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A. and Sutherland, K. 1999. Forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) on the Internet. Aspects of Applied Biology. 55, pp. 37-42.

Quantification of rainsplash for improved prediction of Septoria disease risk

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Van Petegheim, P., Webb, D. A. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Quantification of rainsplash for improved prediction of Septoria disease risk. Aspects of Applied Biology. 55, pp. 7-14.

Effects of severity and timing of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) symptoms on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brasica napus ) in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P., Sansford, C. E. and West, J. S. 1999. Effects of severity and timing of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) symptoms on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brasica napus ) in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 105, pp. 715-728. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008761219493

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Leech, P. K., Welham, S. J. and Gladders, P. 1999. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). European Journal of Plant Pathology. 105, pp. 769-781.

Relationships between regional weather and incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in England and Wales

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Sutherland, K. 1999. Relationships between regional weather and incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in England and Wales. Protection and Production of Combinable Break Crops. Aspects of Applied Biology 56 . pp. 51-59

Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to weather criteria

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 1999. Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to weather criteria. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 49-55

Sampling winter oilseed rape crops to assess incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A., Welham, S. J. and Mcroberts, N. 1999. Sampling winter oilseed rape crops to assess incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) in the UK. Protection and Production of Combinable Break Crops. Aspects of Applied Biology 56 . pp. 123-128

Investigating the horizontal spatial spread of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A., Welham, S. J. and Mcroberts, N. 1999. Investigating the horizontal spatial spread of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape in the UK. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 31-36

Conditions for infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of UK (A group) and Polish (B group) Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Jedryczka, M., West, J. S. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Conditions for infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of UK (A group) and Polish (B group) Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). GCIRC Bulletin. 16, pp. 82-83.

Empirical models for prediction of regional light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) incidence on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Welham, S. J., Turner, J. A., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Sutherland, K. G. 1998. Empirical models for prediction of regional light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) incidence on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.1.9

Development of a system for forecasting severe light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Sutherland, K. G., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Steed, J. M., Turner, J. A. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Development of a system for forecasting severe light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 3.1.16

Simulation modelling of the progress of light leaf spot on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to criteria for infection by Pyrenopeziza brassicae

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 1998. Simulation modelling of the progress of light leaf spot on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to criteria for infection by Pyrenopeziza brassicae. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.1.15

Forecasting and management of light leaf spot and stem canker on winter oilseed rape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Fitt, B. D. L., Steed, J. L., Welham, S. J., West, J. S., Gladders, P. and Meakin, P. 1998. Forecasting and management of light leaf spot and stem canker on winter oilseed rape. Abstracts ARIA Meeting, Harpenden, 4 November 1998 .

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.5.13

Development and control of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemics in winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Sutherland, K. G., Fitt, B. D. L., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P. and Turner, J. A. 1998. Development and control of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemics in winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 1998 . pp. 1053-1058

Effects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Su, H., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Sansford, C. E. and Sutherland, K. G. 1998. Effects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 132 (3), pp. 371-386. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1998.tb05215.x

Epidemiology and forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Sutherland, K. G., Turner, J. A., Welham, S. J., Biddulph, J. E., Hardwick, N. V. and Wale, S. J. 1998. Epidemiology and forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK.

Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Su, H., Sansford, C. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Lockley, K. D., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the UK.

Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows command language manual

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat for Windows command language manual. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Effects of planting mixtures of different sizes of potato seed tubers on the yield and size of tubers

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1997. Effects of planting mixtures of different sizes of potato seed tubers on the yield and size of tubers. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 128 (2), pp. 173-180. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859696004017

Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Effects of temperature, cultivar and isolate on the incubation period of white leaf spot (Mycosphaerella capsellae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Inman, A. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, R. L. and Murray, D. A. 1997. Effects of temperature, cultivar and isolate on the incubation period of white leaf spot (Mycosphaerella capsellae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 130, pp. 239-253.

Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassica ) on winter oilseed rape

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Su, H., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Hardwick, N. V., Lockley, K. D., Sansford, C. E., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassica ) on winter oilseed rape. GCIRC Bulletin. 13, pp. 75-78.

Predicting severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the U.K.

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. R., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Predicting severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the U.K. GCIRC Bulletin. 13, pp. 72-74.

Likelihood ratio tests for fixed model terms using residual maximum likelihood

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 1997. Likelihood ratio tests for fixed model terms using residual maximum likelihood. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Statistical Methodology). 59 (3), pp. 701-714. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00092

Prospects for developing a forecasting scheme to optimise use of fungicides for disease control on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A., Sutherland, K. G., Welham, S. J. and Davies, J. M. L. 1997. Prospects for developing a forecasting scheme to optimise use of fungicides for disease control on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Optimising Pesticide Applications. Aspects of Applied Biology 48 . pp. 135-142

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 Command Language Manual

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. J., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 Command Language Manual. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Designing experiments to examine competition effects between neighbouring plants in mixed populations

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Bailey, R. A., Ainsley, A. E. and Hide, G. A. 1996. Designing experiments to examine competition effects between neighbouring plants in mixed populations. Proceedings XVIIIth International Biometric Conference, 1996 . pp. 97-105

Predicting risk of severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Predicting risk of severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 1996 . pp. 239-244

The yield of potato plants as affected by stem canker (Rhizoctonia solani ), blackleg (Erwinia carotovora subsp. atroseptica ) and by neighbouring plants

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1996. The yield of potato plants as affected by stem canker (Rhizoctonia solani ), blackleg (Erwinia carotovora subsp. atroseptica ) and by neighbouring plants. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 126 (4), pp. 429-440. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859600075511

Effects of wetness period and temperature on development of dark pod spot (Alternaria brassicae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hong, C. X., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Effects of wetness period and temperature on development of dark pod spot (Alternaria brassicae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Plant Pathology. 45 (6), pp. 1077-1089. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.1996.d01-193.x

Genstat 3[3] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 3[3] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for PC Windows and DOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for PC Windows and DOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for Vax VMS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for Vax VMS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 for Windows reference manual supplement

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 for Windows reference manual supplement. Oxford Numerical Algorithms Group.

Genstat 3[2] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 3[2] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Hewlatt Packard 9000 Series 700

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Hewlatt Packard 9000 Series 700. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OSF/1

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OSF/1. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows. Release 3.2 manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat for Windows. Release 3.2 manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat for Windows reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Porter, J. R., Leigh, R. A., Semenov, M. A. and Miglietta, F. 1995. Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 4 (4), pp. 419-429. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(14)80094-4

Use of the most probable number technique to quantify soil-borne plant pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Adams, M. J. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Use of the most probable number technique to quantify soil-borne plant pathogens. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 126 (1), pp. 181-196. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1995.tb05014.x

A case study in measurement and analysis of disease gradients

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., McCartney, H. A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1995. A case study in measurement and analysis of disease gradients. Field Experimental Techniques. Aspects of Applied Biology %B43 $B. pp. 77-85

Economic and statistical considerations in the measurement of total factor productivity (TFP)

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Rayner, A. I. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Economic and statistical considerations in the measurement of total factor productivity (TFP). in: Payne, R. W., Steiner, R. and Barnett, V. (ed.) Agricultural sustainability: economic, environmental and statistical considerations John Wiley & Sons Chichester, West Sussex. pp. 23-38

Genstat 5 release 3.2 reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat 5 release 3.2 reference summary. Oxford Numerical Algorithms Group.

Genstat 5 release 3.2 manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat 5 release 3.2 manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Design and analysis of experiments in Genstat. Course at Pfizer Central Research, 24-25 April 1995

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Design and analysis of experiments in Genstat. Course at Pfizer Central Research, 24-25 April 1995.

Use of splines in extending random coefficient regression models for the analysis of repeated measurements

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Kenward, M. G. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Use of splines in extending random coefficient regression models for the analysis of repeated measurements. Proceedings Symposium on Statistical Software 1995, Utrecht, 9 November 1995 .

The influence of planting seed tubers with gangrene (Phoma foveata ) and of neighbouring healthy, diseased and missing plants on the yield and size of potatoes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1995. The influence of planting seed tubers with gangrene (Phoma foveata ) and of neighbouring healthy, diseased and missing plants on the yield and size of potatoes. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 125 (1), pp. 51-60. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859600074499

The Genstat TWOD Procedure

J - Computer programs

Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. The Genstat TWOD Procedure.

Efficient analysis of field experiments using two-dimensional spatial models

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Gilmour, A., Welham, S. J. and Harding, S. A. 1995. Efficient analysis of field experiments using two-dimensional spatial models. Genstat newsletter. 32, pp. 31-39.

Early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to temperature and leaf wetness

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Shaw, M. W. and McCartney, H. A. 1995. Early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to temperature and leaf wetness. Plant Pathology. 44 (4), pp. 641-654. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.1995.tb01688.x

Forecasting development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) epidemics on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Forecasting development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) epidemics on winter oilseed rape. Rapeseed Today and Tomorrow: Proceedings 9th International Rapeseed Congress, Cambridge, 4-7 July 1995 .

Predicting early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Figueroa, L., McCartney, H. A., Shaw, M. W. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Predicting early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape.

Sustainability - the Rothamsted experience

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Johnston, A. E., Landau, S., Payne, R. W., Welham, S. J. and Rayner, A. I. 1995. Sustainability - the Rothamsted experience. in: Barnett, V., Steiner, R. and Payne, R. W. (ed.) Agricultural sustainability: economic, environmental and statistical considerations John Wiley & Sons Chichester, West Sussex. pp. 171-206

Sensitivity to prochloraz in populations of the eyespot fungus, Pseudocercosporella herpotrichoides , in relation to fungicide treatments and their efficacy in continuous winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bateman, G. L., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Sensitivity to prochloraz in populations of the eyespot fungus, Pseudocercosporella herpotrichoides , in relation to fungicide treatments and their efficacy in continuous winter wheat. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 126 (2), pp. 235-247. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1995.tb05362.x

Effects of temperature on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Fitt, B. D. L., Shaw, M. W., McCartney, H. A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Effects of temperature on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Plant Pathology. 44 (1), pp. 51-62. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.1995.tb02715.x

Genstat 3[1] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 3[1] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OpenVMS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OpenVMS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 Solaris

J - Computer programs

Pyne, R., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 Solaris. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 SunOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 SunOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Version for PC DOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Version for PC DOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Vax VMS version

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Vax VMS version. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Measuring sustainability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnett, V., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Measuring sustainability. Environmental And Ecological Statistics. 1, pp. 21-36. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00714195

Comparisons of some GLMM estimators for a simple binomial model

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Waddington, D., Welham, S. J., Gilmour, A. R. and Thompson, R. 1994. Comparisons of some GLMM estimators for a simple binomial model. Genstat newsletter. 30, pp. 13-24.

Effects of previous cropping and fungicide timing on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) seed yield and quality of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Shaw, M. W., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Effects of previous cropping and fungicide timing on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) seed yield and quality of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 124 (2), pp. 221-239. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1994.tb04130.x

Sampling to determine patterns of disease in linseed

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1994. Sampling to determine patterns of disease in linseed. Sampling to Make Decisions. Aspects of Applied Biology .

Observer behaviour in assessment of lodging in cereals

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Goulds, A., Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1994. Observer behaviour in assessment of lodging in cereals. Sampling to Make Decisions. Aspects of Applied Biology .

Genstat 2[3] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 2[3] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 2.2. Student version for IBM XT/AT and compatible PCs

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 2.2. Student version for IBM XT/AT and compatible PCs. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3 reference manual

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 3 reference manual. Clarendon Press, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3 reference summary

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 3 reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Phytophthora cryptogea root rot of tomato in rockwool nutrient culture: III. Effect of root zone temperature on growth and yield of winter-grown plants

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kennedy, R., Pegg, G. F. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Phytophthora cryptogea root rot of tomato in rockwool nutrient culture: III. Effect of root zone temperature on growth and yield of winter-grown plants. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 123 (3), pp. 563-578. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1993.tb04928.x

Genstat 5 topic course: analysis of linear mixed models

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 5 topic course: analysis of linear mixed models. Lawes Agricultural Trust, (LAT) Harpenden.

Measuring sustainability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnett, V., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Measuring sustainability. Journal of Environmental Statistics. 1, pp. 33-54.

The Classical Experiments and the environment

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Perry, J. N., Potts, J. M. and Welham, S. J. 1993. The Classical Experiments and the environment. ARIA Newsletter 1993.

Procedure GLMM

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Welham, S. J. 1993. Procedure GLMM. in: Payne, R. W., Morgan, G. W. and Arnold, G. M. (ed.) Genstat 5 procedure library manual release 2[3] Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford. pp. 154-158

Genstat 5 Release 2.2 (implementation for Silicon Graphics)

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1992. Genstat 5 Release 2.2 (implementation for Silicon Graphics). Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Observations on the bulking and development of tuber size distribution in maincrop potatoes at Rothamsted in 1964-75

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A. and Welham, S. J. 1992. Observations on the bulking and development of tuber size distribution in maincrop potatoes at Rothamsted in 1964-75. Potato research. 35, pp. 235-247.

A comparison of algorithms for combination of information in generally balanced designs.

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1990. A comparison of algorithms for combination of information in generally balanced designs. Compstat 1990.. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg.. pp. 297-302.

Genstat 5 release 2 reference summary . 97pp.

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Ainsley, A. E., Bicknell, K. E., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Simpson, H. R., Todd, A. D., Welham, S. J., White, Robin P., Gower, J. C., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. and Verrier, P. J. 1989. Genstat 5 release 2 reference summary . 97pp.

Procedure TTEST.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure TTEST. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure SMOOTHSPECTRUM.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure SMOOTHSPECTRUM. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJIDENTIFY.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJIDENTIFY. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJFORECAST.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJFORECAST. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJESTIMATE.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJESTIMATE. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure MANNWHITNEY.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure MANNWHITNEY. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure KRUSKAL.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure KRUSKAL. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure NPRANK.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure NPRANK. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure NPCHECK.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure NPCHECK. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure SPEARMAN.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure SPEARMAN. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure CONCORD.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure CONCORD. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure WILCOXON.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure WILCOXON. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure WILCOXON.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure WILCOXON. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.