Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. 2010. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing. Phytopathology. 100 (10), pp. 1030-1041. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-09-0220

Authors	Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S.
Year of Publication	2010
Journal	Phytopathology
Journal citation	100 (10), pp. 1030-1041
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-09-0220
Open access	Published as bronze (free) open access
Funder project or code	Centre for Mathematical and Computational Biology (MCB)
	Project: 4942
Publisher's version	phyto-08-09-0220.pdf
ISSN	0031-949X
Publisher	American Phytopathological Society (APS)

Related outputs

A framework for evaluating the value of agricultural pest management decision support systems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Helps, J., Van den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Jorgensen, L. N., Holst, N. and Milne, A. E. 2024. A framework for evaluating the value of agricultural pest management decision support systems. European Journal of Plant Pathology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-024-02878-1

The basic-reproduction number of infectious diseases in spatially structured host populations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van den Bosch, F., Helps, J. and Cunniffe, N. 2024. The basic-reproduction number of infectious diseases in spatially structured host populations. Oikos. p. e10616. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.10616

Do Growers Using Solo Fungicides Affect the Durability of Disease Control of Growers Using Mixtures and Alternations? The Case of Spot-Form Net Blotch in Western Australia

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Helps, J., Lopez-Ruiz, F., Zerihun, A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2024. Do Growers Using Solo Fungicides Affect the Durability of Disease Control of Growers Using Mixtures and Alternations? The Case of Spot-Form Net Blotch in Western Australia. Phytopathology. 114 (3), pp. 590-602. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-02-23-0050-R

The value of volunteer surveillance for the early detection of biological invaders

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., McRoberts, N., Bourhis, Y., Parnell, S. and Hassall, K. L. 2023. The value of volunteer surveillance for the early detection of biological invaders. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 560, p. 111385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111385

Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Smith, J., Wright, P., Milne, A. E., Van Den Berg, F., Kock-Appelgren, P., Foulkes, J. and Paveley, N. 2021. Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch. Plant Pathology. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.13509

Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Alonso Chavez, V., Milne, A. E., Van Den Bosch, F., Pita, J. and Mcquaid, C. F. 2021. Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints. Plant Molecular Biology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11103-021-01170-8

Artificial neural networks for monitoring network optimisation—a practical example using a national insect survey

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Milne, A. E. 2021. Artificial neural networks for monitoring network optimisation—a practical example using a national insect survey. Environmental Modelling and Software. 135, p. 104925. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104925

Modelling lifestyle changes in Insect endosymbionts, from insect mutualist to plant pathogen

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Manning-Smith, R., Alonso Chavez, V., Helps, J., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2020. Modelling lifestyle changes in Insect endosymbionts, from insect mutualist to plant pathogen. Evolutionary Ecology. 34, p. 867–891. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-020-10071-z

Identifying when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops: An evaluation from long‐term field experiments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Blake, J., Gosling, P., Helps, J. C. and Paveley, N. 2020. Identifying when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops: An evaluation from long‐term field experiments. Plant Pathology. 69 (4), pp. 631-641. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.13155

Determinants of optimal insecticide resistance management strategies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Helps, J. C., Paveley, N. D., White, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2020. Determinants of optimal insecticide resistance management strategies. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 503, p. 110383. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110383

UK aphid migration percentiles, covariates and model outputs from the Rothamsted Insect Survey's 12.2 m suction-trap network: 1965 to 2018

N - Datasets

Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Milne, A. E. 2020. UK aphid migration percentiles, covariates and model outputs from the Rothamsted Insect Survey's 12.2 m suction-trap network: 1965 to 2018. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.979yv

Electrophysiologically and behaviourally active semiochemicals identified from bed bug refuge substrate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Birkett, M. A., Weeks, E. N. I., Logan, J. G., Caulfield, J. C., Gazan, S. A., Welham, S. J., Brugman, V. A., Pickett, J. A. and Cameron, M. M. 2020. Electrophysiologically and behaviourally active semiochemicals identified from bed bug refuge substrate. Scientific Reports. (10), p. article 4590. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-61368-6

The effect of competition on the control of invading plant pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sharp, R.T., Van Den Bosch, F. and Shaw, M. W. 2020. The effect of competition on the control of invading plant pathogens. Journal of Applied Ecology. 57 (7), pp. 1403-1412. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13618

What makes or breaks a campaign to stop an invading plant pathogen?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Milne, A., Gottwald, T., Parnell, S. R., Alonso Chavez, V. and Vandenbosch, F. 2020. What makes or breaks a campaign to stop an invading plant pathogen? PLOS Computational Biology. 16 (2), p. e1007570. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007570

Quantifying the hidden costs of imperfect detection for early detection surveillance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mastin, A. J., Van Den Bosch, F., Van Den Berg, F. and Parnell, S. R. 2019. Quantifying the hidden costs of imperfect detection for early detection surveillance. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 374 (1776). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2018.0261

Translating surveillance data into incidence estimates

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bourhis, Y., Gotwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2019. Translating surveillance data into incidence estimates. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 374 (1776). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2018.0262

Sampling for disease absence-deriving informed monitoring from epidemic traits

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bourhis, Y., Gottwald, T.R., Lopez-Ruiz, F.J., Patarapuwadol, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2019. Sampling for disease absence-deriving informed monitoring from epidemic traits. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 461, pp. 8-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.10.038

Using epidemiological principles to explain fungicide resistance management tactics: why do mixtures outperform alternations?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Elderfield, J. A. D., Lopez-Ruiz, F. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Cunniffe, N. J. 2018. Using epidemiological principles to explain fungicide resistance management tactics: why do mixtures outperform alternations? Phytopathology. 108 (7), pp. 803-817. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-17-0277-R

Stress and sexual reproduction affect the dynamics of the wheat pathogen effector AvrStb6 and strobilurin resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kema, G. H. J., Mirzadi Gohari, A., Aouini, L., Gibriel, H. A. Y., Ware, S. B., Van Den Bosch, F., Manning-Smith, R., Alonso Chavez, V., Helps, J., Ben M’Barek, S., Mehrabi, R., Diaz-Trujillo, C., Zamani, E., Schouten, H. J., Van Der Lee, T. A. J., Waalwijk, C., de Waard, M. A., de Wit, P. J. G. M., Verstappen, E. C. P., Thomma, B. P. H. J., Meijer, H. J. G. and Seidl, M.l F. 2018. Stress and sexual reproduction affect the dynamics of the wheat pathogen effector AvrStb6 and strobilurin resistance. Nature Genetics. 50 (3), pp. 375-380. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-018-0052-9

Identifying when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Lopez-Ruiz, F., Oliver, R., Paveley, N., Helps, J. and Van Den Berg, F. 2018. Identifying when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops. Plant Pathology. 67 (3), pp. 549-560. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.12787

Variability in commercial demand for tree saplings affects the probability of introducing exotic forest diseases

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Alonso Chavez, V., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2018. Variability in commercial demand for tree saplings affects the probability of introducing exotic forest diseases. Journal of Applied Ecology. 56 (1), pp. 80-89. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13242

Growers’ risk perception and trust in control options for huanglongbing citrus-disease in Florida and California

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Milne, A., Teiken, C., Deledalle, F., Vandenbosch, F., Gottwalk, T. and McRoberts, N. 2018. Growers’ risk perception and trust in control options for huanglongbing citrus-disease in Florida and California. Crop Protection. 114, pp. 177-186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cropro.2018.08.028

Plant virus epidemiology: applications and prospects for mathematical modeling and analysis to improve understanding and disease control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Plant virus epidemiology: applications and prospects for mathematical modeling and analysis to improve understanding and disease control. Plant Disease. 102 (5), pp. 837-854. https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-04-17-0612-FE

Strategies to delay the development of fungicide resistance : Alternation , mixtures or restricting the number of treatments?

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Young, C., Van Den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., Burnett, F., Knight, S., Gosling, P. and Paveley, N. 2017. Strategies to delay the development of fungicide resistance : Alternation , mixtures or restricting the number of treatments? Hull, R. I. C., Jellis, G., May, M., Miller, P., Moss, S. R., Nicholls, C. and Orson, J. (ed.) In : Crop Production in Southern Britain 2017, AAB 134. Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick .

The basic reproduction number of vector-borne plant virus epidemics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. J. 2017. The basic reproduction number of vector-borne plant virus epidemics. Virus Research. 241, pp. 196-202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2017.06.014

Physiological traits determining yield tolerance of wheat to foliar diseases

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Paveley, N. D., Bingham, I. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Physiological traits determining yield tolerance of wheat to foliar diseases. Phytopathology. 107 (12), pp. 1468-1478. https://doi.org/10.1094/phyto-07-16-0283-r

Epidemiology: Past, Present, and Future Impacts on Understanding Disease Dynamics and Improving Plant Disease Management-A Summary of Focus Issue Articles

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ojiambo, P. S., Yuen, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2017. Epidemiology: Past, Present, and Future Impacts on Understanding Disease Dynamics and Improving Plant Disease Management-A Summary of Focus Issue Articles. Phytopathology. 107 (10), pp. 1092-1094. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-07-17-0248-FI

Considering behaviour to ensure the success of a disease control strategy

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

McQuaid, C. F., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Considering behaviour to ensure the success of a disease control strategy. Royal Society Open Science. 4 (12). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.170721

Surveillance to Inform Control of Emerging Plant Diseases: An Epidemiological Perspective

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S. R., Van Den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T. R. and Gilligan, C. A. 2017. Surveillance to Inform Control of Emerging Plant Diseases: An Epidemiological Perspective. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 55 (1), pp. 591-610. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-phyto-080516-035334

Emergence of Resistance to Fungicides: The Role of Fungicide Dose

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mikaberidze, A., Paveley, N., Bonhoeffer, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Emergence of Resistance to Fungicides: The Role of Fungicide Dose. Phytopathology. 107 (5), pp. 545-560. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-16-0297-R

A method of determining where to target surveillance efforts in heterogeneous epidemiological systems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mastin, A. J., Van Den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T. R., Alonso Chavez, V. and Parnell, S. R. 2017. A method of determining where to target surveillance efforts in heterogeneous epidemiological systems. PLOS Computational Biology. 13 (8), p. e1005712. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005712

Integrating regulatory surveys and citizen science to map outbreaks of forest diseases: acute oak decline in England and Wales

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Brown, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Parnell, S. and Denman, S. 2017. Integrating regulatory surveys and citizen science to map outbreaks of forest diseases: acute oak decline in England and Wales. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 284 (1859), pp. 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.0547

Extending the durability of cultivar resistance by limiting epidemic growth rates

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Carolan, K., Helps, J., Van Den Berg, F., Bain, R., Paveley, N. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Extending the durability of cultivar resistance by limiting epidemic growth rates. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 284 (1863), pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.0828

Identifying circumstances under which high insecticide dose increases or decreases resistance selection

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Helps, J., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2017. Identifying circumstances under which high insecticide dose increases or decreases resistance selection. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 428 (7 September), pp. 153-167. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.06.007

Data from: Integrating regulatory surveys and citizen science to map outbreaks of forest diseases: acute oak decline in England and Wales

N - Datasets

Brown, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Parnell, S. and Denman, S. 2017. Data from: Integrating regulatory surveys and citizen science to map outbreaks of forest diseases: acute oak decline in England and Wales. Dryad Data Repository. https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.18157

Meteorological and landscape influences on pollen beetle immigration into oilseed rape crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Skellern, M., Welham, S. J., Watts, N. P. and Cook, S. M. 2017. Meteorological and landscape influences on pollen beetle immigration into oilseed rape crops. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 241 (1 April), pp. 150-159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2017.03.008

Identification of environmentally stable QTL for resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans in oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Huang, Y. J., Jestin, C., Welham, S. J., King, G. J., Manzanares-Dauleux, M. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Delourme, R. 2016. Identification of environmentally stable QTL for resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans in oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Theoretical and Applied Genetics. 129 (1), pp. 169-180. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-015-2620-z

Monitoring invasive pathogens in plant nurseries for early-detection and to minimise the probability of escape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Alonso Chavez, V., Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2016. Monitoring invasive pathogens in plant nurseries for early-detection and to minimise the probability of escape. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 407, pp. 290-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.07.041

The evolution of fungicide resistance resulting from combinations of foliar-acting systemic seed treatments and foliar-applied fungicides: a modeling analysis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kitchen, J. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N. D., Helps, J. and Van Den Berg, F. 2016. The evolution of fungicide resistance resulting from combinations of foliar-acting systemic seed treatments and foliar-applied fungicides: a modeling analysis. PLOS ONE. 11 (8), p. e0161887. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0161887

Dose and number of applications that maximise fungicide effective life exemplified by Zymoseptoria tritici on wheat - a model analysis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2016. Dose and number of applications that maximise fungicide effective life exemplified by Zymoseptoria tritici on wheat - a model analysis. Plant Pathology. 65 (8), pp. 1380-1389. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.12558

Cassava brown streak disease and the sustainability of a clean seed system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

McQuaid, C. F., Sseruwagi, P., Pariyo, A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2016. Cassava brown streak disease and the sustainability of a clean seed system. Plant Pathology. 65 (2), pp. 299-309. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.12453

The effect of farmers' decisions on pest control with Bt crops: a billion dollar game of strategy

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Milne, A. E., Bell, J. R., Hutchison, W. D., Van Den Bosch, F., Mitchell, P. D., Crowder, D., Parnell, S. and Whitmore, A. P. 2015. The effect of farmers' decisions on pest control with Bt crops: a billion dollar game of strategy. PLOS Computational Biology. 11, p. e1004483. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004483

Designing strategies for epidemic control in a tree nursery: the case of ash dieback in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Alonso Chavez, V., Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2015. Designing strategies for epidemic control in a tree nursery: the case of ash dieback in the UK. Forests. 6 (11), pp. 4135-4145. https://doi.org/10.3390/f6114135

The use of mathematical models to guide fungicide resistance management decisions

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Van Den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., Oliver, R., Van Den Berg, F. and Paveley, N. 2015. The use of mathematical models to guide fungicide resistance management decisions. in: Hollomon, D. W. and Ishii, H. (ed.) Fungicide resistance in plant pathogens Springer, Tokyo. pp. 49-62

Evidence-based resistance management: a review of existing evidence

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Fraaije, B. A., Van Den Berg, F. and Oliver, R. 2015. Evidence-based resistance management: a review of existing evidence. in: Hollomon, D. W. and Ishii, H. (ed.) Fungicide resistance in plant pathogens Springer, Tokyo. pp. 63-76

Modelling transmission characteristics and epidemic development of the tospovirus-thrip interaction

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Mcroberts, N. 2015. Modelling transmission characteristics and epidemic development of the tospovirus-thrip interaction. Arthropod-Plant Interactions. 9, pp. 107-120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11829-015-9363-2

Early detection surveillance for an emerging plant pathogen: a rule of thumb to predict prevalence at first discovery

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Cunniffe, N. J., Alonso Chavez, V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2015. Early detection surveillance for an emerging plant pathogen: a rule of thumb to predict prevalence at first discovery. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 282, p. 20151478. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.1478

Fungicide resistance risk assessment based on traits associated with the rate of pathogen evolution

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Grimmer, M. K., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Paveley, N. D. 2015. Fungicide resistance risk assessment based on traits associated with the rate of pathogen evolution. Pest Management Science. 71 (2), pp. 207-215. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.3781

Statistical methods in biology: design and analysis of experiments and regression

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Welham, S. J., Gezan, S. A., Clark, S. J. and Mead, A. 2015. Statistical methods in biology: design and analysis of experiments and regression. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.

Improving the predictive power of fungicide resistance risk assessment

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Paveley, N., Grimmer, M., Powers, S. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. Improving the predictive power of fungicide resistance risk assessment. Dehneetal, H. W. (ed.) Modern fungicides and antifungal compounds, vol. 7 . Deutsche Phytomedizinische Gesellschaft, Braunschweig. pp. 153-160

Response to 'Potential distribution of citrus black spot in the United States based on climatic conditions', Er et al. 2013

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Graham, J. H., Gottwald, T. R., Timmer, L. W., Bergamin Filho, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Irey, M. S., Taylor, E., Magarey, R. D. and Takeuchi, Y. 2014. Response to 'Potential distribution of citrus black spot in the United States based on climatic conditions', Er et al. 2013. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 139, pp. 231-234. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-014-0426-5

Mixtures as a fungicide resistance management tactic

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Van Den Berg, F., Hobbelen, P. and Oliver, R. 2014. Mixtures as a fungicide resistance management tactic. Phytopathology. 104, pp. 1264-1273. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-04-14-0121-RVW

Surveillance for invading plant pathogens: the use of epidemic models to quantify performance and optimise survey design

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. Surveillance for invading plant pathogens: the use of epidemic models to quantify performance and optimise survey design. Abstracts EFSA/EPPO Joint Workshop on Data Collection and Information Sharing in Plant Health, Parma, 1-3 April 2014 . pp. 5

Genetical and comparative genomics of Brassica under altered Ca supply identifies Arabidopsis Ca-transporter orthologs

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Graham, N. S., Hammond, J. P., Lysenko, A., Mayes, S., O Lochlainn, S., Blasco, B., Bowen, H. C., Rawlings, C. J., Rios, J. J., Welham, S. J., Carion, P. W. C., Dupuy, L. X., King, G. J., White, P. J. and Broadley, M. R. 2014. Genetical and comparative genomics of Brassica under altered Ca supply identifies Arabidopsis Ca-transporter orthologs. The Plant Cell. 26, pp. 2818-2830. https://doi.org/10.1105/tpc.114.128603

Governing principles can guide fungicide-resistance management tactics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Oliver, R., Van Den Berg, F. and Paveley, N. 2014. Governing principles can guide fungicide-resistance management tactics. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 52, pp. 175-195. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-phyto-102313-050158

Evaluation of a matrix to calculate fungicide resistance risk

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Grimmer, M. K., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Paveley, N. D. 2014. Evaluation of a matrix to calculate fungicide resistance risk. Pest Management Science. 70 (6), pp. 1008-1016. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.3646

Quantitative resistance can lead to evolutionary changes in traits not targeted by the resistance QTLs

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Lannou, C., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. Quantitative resistance can lead to evolutionary changes in traits not targeted by the resistance QTLs. Evolutionary Applications. 7 (3), pp. 370-380. https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12130

A generic risk-based surveying method for invading plant pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Riley, T. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. A generic risk-based surveying method for invading plant pathogens. Ecological Applications. 24 (4), pp. 779-790. https://doi.org/10.1890/13-0704.1

Effects of plant pathogens on population dynamics and community composition in grassland ecosystems: two case studies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Salama, N. K. G., Shaw, M. W., Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. Effects of plant pathogens on population dynamics and community composition in grassland ecosystems: two case studies. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 138, pp. 513-527. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-013-0325-1

The emergence of resistance to fungicides

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. The emergence of resistance to fungicides. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e91910. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0091910

Accounting for the Economic Risk Caused by Variation in Disease Severity in Fungicide Dose Decisions, Exemplified for Mycosphaerella graminicola on Winter Wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Te Beest, D. E., Paveley, N. D., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2013. Accounting for the Economic Risk Caused by Variation in Disease Severity in Fungicide Dose Decisions, Exemplified for Mycosphaerella graminicola on Winter Wheat. Phytopathology. 103 (7), pp. 666-672. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-05-12-0119-R

Optimal fungicide application timings for disease control are also an effective anti-resistance strategy: a case study for Zymoseptoria tritici (Mycosphaerella graminicola) on wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. D. 2013. Optimal fungicide application timings for disease control are also an effective anti-resistance strategy: a case study for Zymoseptoria tritici (Mycosphaerella graminicola) on wheat. Phytopathology. 103, pp. 1209-1219. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-03-13-0061-R

The usefulness of fungicide mixtures and alternation for delaying the selection for resistance in populations of Mycosphaerella graminicola on winter wheat: a modeling analysis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D., Oliver, R. P. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2013. The usefulness of fungicide mixtures and alternation for delaying the selection for resistance in populations of Mycosphaerella graminicola on winter wheat: a modeling analysis. Phytopathology. 103, pp. 690-707. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-06-12-0142-R

Hydroxamic acids in Aegilops species and effects on Rhopalosiphum padi behaviour and fecundity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Elek, H., Smart, L. E., Martin, J. L., Ahmad, S., Gordon-Weeks, R., Anda, A., Welham, S. J., Werner, P. and Pickett, J. A. 2013. Hydroxamic acids in Aegilops species and effects on Rhopalosiphum padi behaviour and fecundity. Bulletin of Insectology. 66, pp. 213-220.

A review of the effects of crop agronomy on the management of Alopecurus myosuroides

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lutman, P. J. W., Moss, S. R., Cook, S. and Welham, S. J. 2013. A review of the effects of crop agronomy on the management of Alopecurus myosuroides. Weed Research. 53 (5), pp. 299-313. https://doi.org/10.1111/wre.12024

The potential of hydroxamic acids in tetraploid and hexaploid wheat varieties as resistance factors against the bird-cherry oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Elek, H., Smart, L. E., Martin, J. L., Ahmad, S., Gordon-Weeks, R., Welham, S. J., Nadasy, M., Pickett, J. A. and Werner, C. P. 2013. The potential of hydroxamic acids in tetraploid and hexaploid wheat varieties as resistance factors against the bird-cherry oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 162 (1), pp. 100-109. https://doi.org/10.1111/aab.12005

Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lo Iacono, G., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2013. Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty. PLOS Computational Biology. 9, p. e1002870. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002870

The effect of Horsfall-Barratt category size on the accuracy and reliability of estimates of pecan scab severity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Wood, B. W., Van Den Bosch, F., Parnell, S. and Gottwald, T. R. 2013. The effect of Horsfall-Barratt category size on the accuracy and reliability of estimates of pecan scab severity. Plant Disease. 97 (6), pp. 797-806. https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-08-12-0781-RE

High levels of auto-infection in plant pathogens favour short latent periods: a theoretical approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Gaucel, S., Lannou, C., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2013. High levels of auto-infection in plant pathogens favour short latent periods: a theoretical approach. Evolutionary Ecology. 27, pp. 409-428. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-012-9602-2

Shared influence of pathogen and host genetics on a trade-off between latent period and spore production capacity in the wheat pathogen, Puccinia triticina

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pariaud, B., Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J., Kaltz, O. and Lannou, C. 2013. Shared influence of pathogen and host genetics on a trade-off between latent period and spore production capacity in the wheat pathogen, Puccinia triticina. Evolutionary Applications. 6 (2), pp. 303-312. https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12000

Development of an integrated pest management strategy for control of pollen beetles in winter oilseed rape (HGCA Project Report No 504)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Cook, S. M., Doring, T. F., Ferguson, A. W., Martin, J. L., Skellern, M. P., Smart, L. E., Watts, N. P., Welham, S. J., Woodcock, C. M., Pickett, J. A., Bardsley, E., Bowman, J., Burns, S., Clarke, M., Davies, J., Gibbard, C., Johnen, A., Jennaway, R., Meredith, R., Murray, D., Nightingale, M., Padbury, N., Patrick, C., Von Richthofen, J-S., Taylor, P., Tait, M. and Werner, P. 2013. Development of an integrated pest management strategy for control of pollen beetles in winter oilseed rape (HGCA Project Report No 504). Kenilworth Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

The effect of the dose rate of a fungicide on the emergence of resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2012. The effect of the dose rate of a fungicide on the emergence of resistance. American Phytopathological Society (APS).

The usefulness of concurrent, alternating, and mixture use of two high-risk fungicides as resistance management strategy

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2012. The usefulness of concurrent, alternating, and mixture use of two high-risk fungicides as resistance management strategy. American Phytopathological Society (APS).

Population dynamics of a non-cultivated biennial plant Tragopogon pratensis infected by the autoecious demicyclic rust fungus Puccinia hysterium

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Salama, N. K. G., Van Den Bosch, F., Edwards, G. R., Heard, M. S. and Jeger, M. J. 2012. Population dynamics of a non-cultivated biennial plant Tragopogon pratensis infected by the autoecious demicyclic rust fungus Puccinia hysterium. Fungal Ecology. 5, pp. 530-542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.funeco.2011.12.009

Estimating the incidence of an epidemic when it is first discovered and the design of early detection monitoring

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Gilks, W. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2012. Estimating the incidence of an epidemic when it is first discovered and the design of early detection monitoring. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 305, pp. 30-36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.03.009

An improved regulatory sampling method for mapping and representing plant disease from a limited number of samples

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Luo, W., Pietravalle, S., Parnell, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S. and Parker, S. R. 2012. An improved regulatory sampling method for mapping and representing plant disease from a limited number of samples. Epidemics. 4 (2), pp. 68-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2012.02.001

The evolution of plant pathogens in response to host resistance: factors affecting the gain from deployment of qualitative and quantitative resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lo Iacono, G., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. 2012. The evolution of plant pathogens in response to host resistance: factors affecting the gain from deployment of qualitative and quantitative resistance. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 304, pp. 152-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.03.033

Time-dependent infectivity and flexible latent and infectious periods in compartmental models of plant disease

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Cunniffe, N. J., Stutt, R. O. J. H., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2012. Time-dependent infectivity and flexible latent and infectious periods in compartmental models of plant disease. Phytopathology. 102, pp. 365-380. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-12-10-0338

A hypomethylated population of Brassica rapa for forward and reverse epi-genetics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Amoah, S., Kurup, S., Rodriguez Lopez, C. M., Welham, S. J., Powers, S. J., Hopkins, C. J., Wilkinson, M. J. and King, G. J. 2012. A hypomethylated population of Brassica rapa for forward and reverse epi-genetics. BMC Plant Biology. 12, p. 193 (17pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2229-12-193

Three-point appraisal of genetic linkage maps

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilks, W. R., Welham, S. J., Wang, J., Clark, S. J. and King, G. J. 2012. Three-point appraisal of genetic linkage maps. Theoretical and Applied Genetics. 125, pp. 1393-1402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-012-1920-9

Controlling annual weeds in cereals by deploying crop rotation at the landscape scale: Avena sterilis as an example

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gonzalez-Diaz, L., Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gonzalez-Andujar, J. L. 2012. Controlling annual weeds in cereals by deploying crop rotation at the landscape scale: Avena sterilis as an example. Ecological Applications. 22 (3), pp. 982-992. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1079.1

The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bell, J. R., Taylor, M. S., Shortall, C. R., Welham, S. J. and Harrington, R. 2012. The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 21 (4), pp. 405-415. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00685.x

A stochastic optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of a pathogen from a sample

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S., Luo, W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. A stochastic optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of a pathogen from a sample. Phytopathology. 101 (10), pp. 1184-1190. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-11-10-0311

Interactions in a host plant-virus-vector-parasitoid system: modelling the consequences for virus transmission and disease dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Chen, Z., Powell, G., Hodge, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Interactions in a host plant-virus-vector-parasitoid system: modelling the consequences for virus transmission and disease dynamics. Virus Research. 159, pp. 183-193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2011.04.027

Modelling virus- and host-limitation in vectored plant disease epidemics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2011. Modelling virus- and host-limitation in vectored plant disease epidemics. Virus Research. 159, pp. 215-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2011.05.012

Delaying selection for fungicide insensitivity by mixing fungicides at a low and high risk of resistance development: a modeling analysis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Delaying selection for fungicide insensitivity by mixing fungicides at a low and high risk of resistance development: a modeling analysis. Phytopathology. 101, pp. 1224-1233. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-10-10-0290

Regulatory hotspots are associated with plant gene expression under varying soil phosphorus supply in Brassica rapa

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hammond, J. P., Mayes, S., Bowen, H. C., Graham, N. S., Hayden, R. M., Love, C. G., Spracklen, W. P., Wang, J., Welham, S. J., White, P. J., King, G. J. and Broadley, M. R. 2011. Regulatory hotspots are associated with plant gene expression under varying soil phosphorus supply in Brassica rapa. Plant Physiology. 156, pp. 1230-1241. https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.111.175612

The dose rate debate: does the risk of fungicide resistance increase or decrease with dose?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Shaw, M., Hobbelen, P. and Oliver, R. 2011. The dose rate debate: does the risk of fungicide resistance increase or decrease with dose? Plant Pathology. 60 (4), pp. 597-606. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2011.02439.x

Spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside of an eradication zone

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Demon, I., Cunniffe, N. J., Marchant, B. P., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside of an eradication zone. Phytopathology. 101 (6), pp. 725-731. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-05-09-0120

Derivation and testing of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D., Fraaije, B. A., Lucas, J. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Derivation and testing of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance. Plant Pathology. 60 (2), pp. 304-313. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02380.x

Periodic host absence can select for higher or lower parasite transmission rates

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Bacaer, N., Metz, J. A. J., Lannou, C. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Periodic host absence can select for higher or lower parasite transmission rates. Evolutionary Ecology. 25, pp. 121-137. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-010-9387-0

Periodicity in Host Availability Does Not Account for Evolutionary Branching as Observed in Many Plant Pathogens: An Application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici (take-all)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Gilligan, C. A., Bailey, D. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Periodicity in Host Availability Does Not Account for Evolutionary Branching as Observed in Many Plant Pathogens: An Application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici (take-all). Phytopathology. 100 (11), pp. 1169-1175. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-10-09-0282

Effects of environment on stability of QTL for resistance to Leptosphaeria maculans on oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Huang, Y-J., Jestin, C., Welham, S. J., King, G. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Delourme, R. 2010. Effects of environment on stability of QTL for resistance to Leptosphaeria maculans on oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Abstracts 17th Crucifer Genetics Workshop, Saskatoon, 5-8 September 2010 . pp. 124

The usefulness of mixtures of a single-site and a multi-site fungicide as resistance management strategy

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. The usefulness of mixtures of a single-site and a multi-site fungicide as resistance management strategy.

Derivation and validation of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D., Fraaije, B. A., Lucas, J. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Derivation and validation of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance.

Estimation of spatial trend and automatic model selection in augmented designs

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kehel, Z., Habash, D. Z., Gezan, S. A., Welham, S. J. and Nachit, M. M. 2010. Estimation of spatial trend and automatic model selection in augmented designs. Agronomy Journal. 102, pp. 1542-1552. https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2010.0175

Spectral tempering to model non-stationary covariance of nitrous oxide emissions from soil using continuous or categorical explanatory variables at a landscape scale

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Haskard, K. A., Welham, S. J. and Lark, R. M. 2010. Spectral tempering to model non-stationary covariance of nitrous oxide emissions from soil using continuous or categorical explanatory variables at a landscape scale. Geoderma. 159, pp. 358-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2010.08.012

Optimal weed management in crop rotations: incorporating economics is crucial

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Gilligan, C. A., Gerdessen, J. C., Gregoire, L. A. H. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Optimal weed management in crop rotations: incorporating economics is crucial. Weed Research. 50 (5), pp. 413-424. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3180.2010.00787.x

A comparison of analysis methods for late-stage variety evaluation trials

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. J., Smith, A. B., Thompson, R. and Cullis, B. R. 2010. A comparison of analysis methods for late-stage variety evaluation trials. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 52 (2), pp. 125-149. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2010.00570.x

To bite or not to bite! A questionnaire-based survey assessing why some people are bitten more than others by midges

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Logan, J. G., Cook, J. I., Stanczyk, N. M., Weeks, E. N. I., Welham, S. J. and Mordue (Luntz), A. J. 2010. To bite or not to bite! A questionnaire-based survey assessing why some people are bitten more than others by midges. BMC Public Health. 10, p. 275 (8pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-275

A variance shift model for detection of outliers in the linear mixed model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gumedze, F. N., Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. J. and Thompson, R. 2010. A variance shift model for detection of outliers in the linear mixed model. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 54 (9), pp. 2128-2144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2010.03.019

The effect of landscape pattern on the optimal eradication zone of an invading epidemic

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. The effect of landscape pattern on the optimal eradication zone of an invading epidemic. Phytopathology. 100 (7), pp. 638-644. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-100-7-0638

The identification of a virulence factor-enriched micro-region in the Fusarium graminearum genome

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hammond-Kosack, K. E., Antoniw, J. F., Freeman, A., Urban, M., Welham, S. J. and Beacham, A. 2010. The identification of a virulence factor-enriched micro-region in the Fusarium graminearum genome. Abstracts Fusarium Workshop, Amsterdam, 28-29 March 2010 .

Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., Van Den Berg, F. and Shaw, M. W. 2010. Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 277, pp. 1735-1742. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.2211

The GAMes aphids play

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bell, J. R., Harrington, R., Welham, S. J., Clark, S. J. and Pickup, J. 2009. The GAMes aphids play. Abstracts 8th International Symposium on Aphids, Catania, 8-12 June 2009 .

Discontinuous host growth and the evolution of plant pathogens

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Discontinuous host growth and the evolution of plant pathogens. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Theoretical evaluation of pyramided and sequential deployment of resistance genes using a yield-related measure of durability of cultivar resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Theoretical evaluation of pyramided and sequential deployment of resistance genes using a yield-related measure of durability of cultivar resistance. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Project summary for EU Cordis

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I. and Gladders, P. 2009. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Project summary for EU Cordis. pp. 4pp

Estimating the spatial distribution of a plant disease epidemic from a sample

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T., Irey, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Estimating the spatial distribution of a plant disease epidemic from a sample. Abstracts 10th International Epidemiology Workshop, Geneva, New York, 7-12 June 2009 .

Optimal strategies for the eradication of Asiatic citrus canker in heterogeneous host landscapes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2009. Optimal strategies for the eradication of Asiatic citrus canker in heterogeneous host landscapes. Phytopathology. 99 (12), pp. 1370-1376. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-99-12-1370

A numerical optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of an epidemic

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. A numerical optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of an epidemic. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. R. 2009. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation. Abstracts 10th International Epidemiological Workshop, Geneva, New York, 8-12 June 2009 .

Evaluation of a predictive model for Mycosphaerella graminicola for economic and environmental benefits

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Te Beest, D. E., Shaw, M. W., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Evaluation of a predictive model for Mycosphaerella graminicola for economic and environmental benefits. Plant Pathology. 58 (6), pp. 1001-1009. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2009.02142.x

Periodic host absence and the evolution of plant pathogens

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F., Bacaer, N., Metz, J. A. J., Lannou, C. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Periodic host absence and the evolution of plant pathogens. Abstracts Mathematical Models in Ecology and Evolution, Bristol, 10-11 September 2009 . pp. 40

The Horsfall-Barratt scale and severity estimates of citrus canker

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Cook, A. Z., Ferrandino, F., Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The Horsfall-Barratt scale and severity estimates of citrus canker. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 125, pp. 23-38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-009-9455-x

A novel transcriptomic approach to identify candidate genes for grain quality traits in wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wan, Y., Toscano-Underwood, C., Toole, G., Skeggs, P., Zhu, T., Leverington, M., Griffiths, S., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K. J., Gezan, S. A., Welham, S. J., Snape, J., Mills, E. N. C., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Shewry, P. R. 2009. A novel transcriptomic approach to identify candidate genes for grain quality traits in wheat. Plant Biotechnology Journal. 7 (5), pp. 401-410. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7652.2009.00405.x

A note on bimodality in the log-likelihood function for penalized spline mixed models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 2009. A note on bimodality in the log-likelihood function for penalized spline mixed models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 53 (4), pp. 920-931. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.031

The effect of transmission route on plant virus epidemic development and disease control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The effect of transmission route on plant virus epidemic development and disease control. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 258, pp. 198-207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.01.012

The presence of generalist plant pathogens might not explain the long-term coexistence of plant species

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The presence of generalist plant pathogens might not explain the long-term coexistence of plant species. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 257, pp. 446-453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.11.020

Development of Oculimacula yallundae and O. acuformis (eyespot) lesions on stems of winter wheat in relation to thermal time in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Wan, A. M. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2009. Development of Oculimacula yallundae and O. acuformis (eyespot) lesions on stems of winter wheat in relation to thermal time in the UK. Plant Pathology. 58 (1), pp. 12-22. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2008.01942.x

A model for the optimal control of citrus canker disease (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri) in a mixed-host landscape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gottwald, T. R. 2008. A model for the optimal control of citrus canker disease (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri) in a mixed-host landscape. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859608008083

Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach.

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Final report on EU contract

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I., Gladders, P. and Other External Partners 2008. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Final report on EU contract.

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Fourth interim annual report on EU contract

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I., Gladders, P. and Other External Partners 2008. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Fourth interim annual report on EU contract.

Controlling for competition in neighbouring field plots in a willow (Salix spp.) trial

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gezan, S. A., Macalpine, W. J., Shield, I. F. and Welham, S. J. 2008. Controlling for competition in neighbouring field plots in a willow (Salix spp.) trial. Aspects of Applied Biology. 90, pp. 181-187.

Improving wheat for nutrition and processing

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Shewry, P. R., Wan, Y., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K. J., Mills, E. N. C., Skeggs, P., Gezan, S., Welham, S. J., Shenton, C., Zhu, T., Phillips, A. L., Jones, H. D., Li, L., Ward, J. L., Freeman, J., Nemeth, C. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2008. Improving wheat for nutrition and processing. Molinacano, J. L. (ed.) Cereal Science and Technology for Feeding Ten Billion People: Genomics Era and Beyond. Proceedings of the Meeting of the Eucarpia Cereal Section, Lleida (Spain), 13-17 November 2006 . Options Mediterraneennes, Series A, No 81. pp. 249-252

Apical leaf necrosis as a defence mechanism against pathogen attack: effects of high nutrient availability on onset and rate of necrosis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Shaw, M. W. 2008. Apical leaf necrosis as a defence mechanism against pathogen attack: effects of high nutrient availability on onset and rate of necrosis. Plant Pathology. 57 (6), pp. 1009-1016. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2008.01865.x

Fungicide application and the minimisation of risk

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Bosch, F. and Te Beest, D. 2008. Fungicide application and the minimisation of risk.

Evolutionary epidemiology of plant viruses

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Evolutionary epidemiology of plant viruses.

Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach. Abstracts ICPP 2008 9th International Congress of Plant Pathology: Healthy and Safe Food for Everybody, Torino, 24-29 August 2008 .

Changes in fungicide sensitivity and relative species abundance in Oculimaculata yallundae and O. acuformis populations (eyespot disease of cereals) in Western Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gilligan, C. A., Lucas, J. A., Bock, C. H. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Changes in fungicide sensitivity and relative species abundance in Oculimaculata yallundae and O. acuformis populations (eyespot disease of cereals) in Western Europe. Plant Pathology. 57 (3), pp. 509-517. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2007.01786.x

Epidemiological models for invasion and persistence of pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Epidemiological models for invasion and persistence of pathogens. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46, pp. 385-418. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.45.062806.094357

Transcriptome analysis of grain development in hexaploid wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wan, Y., Poole, R. L., Huttly, A. K., Toscano-Underwood, C., Feeney, K., Welham, S. J., Gooding, M. J., Mills, C., Edwards, K. J., Shewry, P. R. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2008. Transcriptome analysis of grain development in hexaploid wheat. BMC Genomics. 9, p. 121 (16pp). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2164-9-121

Models of fungicide resistance dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2008. Models of fungicide resistance dynamics. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46, pp. 123-147. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.011108.135838

Disease-weather relationships for powdery mildew and yellow rust on winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Te Beest, D. E., Paveley, N. D., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Disease-weather relationships for powdery mildew and yellow rust on winter wheat. Phytopathology. 98 (5), pp. 609-617. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-98-5-0609

The basic reproduction number of plant pathogens: matrix approaches to complex dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Mcroberts, N., Van Den Berg, F. and Madden, L. V. 2008. The basic reproduction number of plant pathogens: matrix approaches to complex dynamics. Phytopathology. 98 (2), pp. 239-249. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-98-2-0239

Epidemics and Crop Yield

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Epidemics and Crop Yield. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 353-388

Decision Making in the Practice of Plant Disease Management

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Decision Making in the Practice of Plant Disease Management. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 319-351

Estimating Plant Disease by Sampling

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Estimating Plant Disease by Sampling. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 279-318

Spatial Aspects of Epidemics III Patterns of Plant Disease

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemics III Patterns of Plant Disease. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 235-278

Spatial Aspects of Epidemic II A Theory of Spatio-Temporal Disease Dynamics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemic II A Theory of Spatio-Temporal Disease Dynamics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 211-233

Spatial Aspects of Epidemic I Pathogen Dispersal and Disease Gradients

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemic I Pathogen Dispersal and Disease Gradients. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 173-209

Temporal Analysis III Advanced Topics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis III Advanced Topics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 145-171

Temporal Analysis II The Components of Disease

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis II The Components of Disease. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 117-143

Temporal Analysis I Quantifying and Comparing Epidemics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis I Quantifying and Comparing Epidemics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 63-116

Introduction to modelling in edpidemiology

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Introduction to modelling in edpidemiology. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 33-61

Measuring Plant Diseases

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Measuring Plant Diseases. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 11-31

The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics.

The elasticity of the epidemic growth rate to observed weather patterns with an application to yellow rust

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The elasticity of the epidemic growth rate to observed weather patterns with an application to yellow rust. Phytopathology. 97, pp. 1512-1518. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-97-11-1512

Transcriptome profiling of wheat genotypes differing in bread making quality under different environments

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Wan, Y., Mitchell, R. A. C., Leverington, M., Griffiths, S., Snape, J., Wheeler, T., Gooding, M., Poole, R., Edwards, K., Mills, C., Skeggs, P., Gezan, S., Welham, S. J., Shenton, C., Zhu, T. and Shewry, P. R. 2007. Transcriptome profiling of wheat genotypes differing in bread making quality under different environments. Abstracts 4th UK Small Grain Cereals Genetic and Genomics Workshop: From Genes to Traits, Cambridge, 14-16 March 2007 .

Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Harrington, R., Clark, S. J., Welham, S. J., Verrier, P. J., Denholm, C. H., Hulle, M., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M. D., Cocu, N. and European Union Examine Consortium 2007. Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids. Global Change Biology. 13 (8), pp. 1550-1564. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01394.x

Introgression of resistance genes between populations: a model study of insecticide resistance in Bemisia tabaci

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Demon, I. M., Haccou, P. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Introgression of resistance genes between populations: a model study of insecticide resistance in Bemisia tabaci. Theoretical Population Biology. 72, pp. 292-304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2007.06.005

Economic and environmental validation of disease risk prediction models

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Te Beest, D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Economic and environmental validation of disease risk prediction models.

Drought effects on yield and its components in Indian mustard (Brassica juncea L.)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Chauhan, J. S., Tyagi, M. K., Kumar, A., Nashaat, N. I., Singh, M., Singh, N. B., Jakhar, M. L. and Welham, S. J. 2007. Drought effects on yield and its components in Indian mustard (Brassica juncea L.). Plant Breeding. 126 (4), pp. 399-402. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1439-0523.2007.01394.x

Evolution within Bemisia tabaci and associated begomoviruses: a strategic modelling approach

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. and Demon, I. 2007. Evolution within Bemisia tabaci and associated begomoviruses: a strategic modelling approach. in: Sweetmore, A., Silverside, P. and Kimmins, F. (ed.) Perspectives on pests II: achievements of research under UK Department for International Development Crop Protection Programme 2000-2005 Natural Resources International, London. pp. 188-190

Apical leaf necrosis and leaf nitrogen dynamics in diseased leaves: a model study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Robert, C., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Apical leaf necrosis and leaf nitrogen dynamics in diseased leaves: a model study. Plant Pathology. 56 (3), pp. 424-436. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2007.01565.x

Development and validation of a model to describe the progress of phoma stem canker epidemics in England and France

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Pirie, E. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Papastamati, K., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Development and validation of a model to describe the progress of phoma stem canker epidemics in England and France. Proceedings 12th International Rapeseed Congress. IV: Sustainable Development in Cruciferous Oilseed Crops Production, Wuhan, China, 26-30 March 2007 . Science Press, USA. pp. 161-164

The SECURE project - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Huang, Y-J., Eckert, M., Pietravalle, S., Demon, I., Papastamati, K., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Fudal, I., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Besnard, A. L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Irzykowski, W., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I. and Renard, M. 2007. The SECURE project - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance. Proceedings 12th International Rapeseed Congress. IV: Sustainable Development in Cruciferous Oilseed Crops Production, Wuhan, China, 26-30 March 2007 . Science Press, USA. pp. 187-189

A comparison of mixed model splines for curve fitting

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Thompson, R. 2007. A comparison of mixed model splines for curve fitting. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 49 (1), pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2006.00454.x

Disease control and its selection for damaging plant virus strains in vegetatively propagated staple food crops: a theoretical assessment

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. J. and Gilligan, C. A. 2007. Disease control and its selection for damaging plant virus strains in vegetatively propagated staple food crops: a theoretical assessment. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 274, pp. 11-18. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2006.3715

The sensitivity of the epidemic growth rate to weather variables, with an application to yellow rust on wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The sensitivity of the epidemic growth rate to weather variables, with an application to yellow rust on wheat. Phytopathology. 97 (2), pp. 202-210. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-97-2-0202

Multivariate spatial statistical analysis of longitudinal data in perennial crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

De Resende, M. D. V., Thompson, R. and Welham, S. J. 2006. Multivariate spatial statistical analysis of longitudinal data in perennial crops. Revista de Matemática e Estatística, São Paulo,. 24 (1), pp. 147-169.

SECURE - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance (QLK5-CT-2002-01813)

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Eckert, M., Papastamati, K., Demon, I., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Fudal, I., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J. and Renard, M. 2006. SECURE - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance (QLK5-CT-2002-01813).

Development and uptake of a scheme for predicting risk of severe light leaf spot on oilseed rape

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2006. Development and uptake of a scheme for predicting risk of severe light leaf spot on oilseed rape. Outlooks on Pest Management. 17 (6), pp. 243-245. https://doi.org/10.1564/17dec02

Formulating an early-warning model for Septoria tritici

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Te Beest, D. E., Pietravalle, S., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Formulating an early-warning model for Septoria tritici. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859606006290

Establishing the risk of introgression of insecticide resistance for Bemisia tabaci

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. 2006. Establishing the risk of introgression of insecticide resistance for Bemisia tabaci. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859606006290

Begomovirus evolution and disease management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Seal, S. E., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Begomovirus evolution and disease management. Advances in Virus Research. 67, pp. 297-316. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-3527(06)67008-5

On spatial prediction of soil properties in the presence of a spatial trend: the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (E-BLUP) with REML

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lark, R. M., Cullis, B. R. and Welham, S. J. 2006. On spatial prediction of soil properties in the presence of a spatial trend: the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (E-BLUP) with REML. European Journal of Soil Science. 57 (6), pp. 787-799. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2389.2005.00768.x

Evolutionary epidemiology of plant virus disease

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Seal, S. E. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Evolutionary epidemiology of plant virus disease. Advances in Virus Research. 67, pp. 163-203. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-3527(06)67005-X

Transient population dynamics in periodic matrix models: methodology and effects of cyclic permutations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mertens, S. K., Yearsley, J. M., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2006. Transient population dynamics in periodic matrix models: methodology and effects of cyclic permutations. Ecology. 87 (9), pp. 2338-2348. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2006)87[2338:TPDIPM]2.0.CO;2

Pasture and sheep responses to lime application in a grazing experiment in a high-rainfall area, south-eastern Australia. I. Pasture production

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Li, G. D., Helyar, K. R., Welham, S. J., Conyers, M. K., Castleman, L. J. C., Fisher, R. P., Evans, C. M., Cullis, B. R. and Cregan, P. D. 2006. Pasture and sheep responses to lime application in a grazing experiment in a high-rainfall area, south-eastern Australia. I. Pasture production. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research. 57, pp. 1045-1055. https://doi.org/10.1071/AR05298

Issues concerning the design and analysis of comparative field experiments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Clark, S. J. 2006. Issues concerning the design and analysis of comparative field experiments. Outlooks on Pest Management. 17, pp. 175-180. https://doi.org/10.1564/17aug10

Estimating the spatial scales of regionalized variables by nested sampling, hierarchical analysis of variance and residual maximum likelihood

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webster, R., Welham, S. J., Potts, J. M. and Oliver, M. A. 2006. Estimating the spatial scales of regionalized variables by nested sampling, hierarchical analysis of variance and residual maximum likelihood. Computers & Geosciences. 32, pp. 1320-1333. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2005.12.002

Coexistence of related pathogen species on arable crops in space and time

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F. and West, J. S. 2006. Coexistence of related pathogen species on arable crops in space and time. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 44, pp. 163-182. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.44.070505.143417

The analysis of longitudinal data using mixed model L-splines

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Thompson, R. 2006. The analysis of longitudinal data using mixed model L-splines. Biometrics. 62 (2), pp. 392-401. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00500.x

Major genetic changes in wheat with potential to affect disease tolerance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Foulkes, M. J., Paveley, N. D., Worland, A., Welham, S. J., Thomas, J. and Snape, J. W. 2006. Major genetic changes in wheat with potential to affect disease tolerance. Phytopathology. 96, pp. 680-688. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-96-0680

Host resistance and the evolutionary response of plant viruses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Akudibilah, G., Seal, S. and Jeger, M. 2006. Host resistance and the evolutionary response of plant viruses. Journal of Applied Ecology. 43 (3), pp. 506-516. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01159.x

Large-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the regional spread of resistant pathogen strains

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2006. Large-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the regional spread of resistant pathogen strains. Phytopathology. 96 (5), pp. 549-555. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-96-0549

Pest and disease management system for supporting winter oilseed rape decisions (PASSWORD) - vaildation phase (HGCA Project Report No. 390)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gladders, P., Dyer, C., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Baierl, A., Turner, J., Walters, K., Northing, P., Sutherland, K., Oxley, S., Foster, V., Ellerton, D., Myers, N., Selley, A., Ashworth, M. and Hall, B. 2006. Pest and disease management system for supporting winter oilseed rape decisions (PASSWORD) - vaildation phase (HGCA Project Report No. 390). London Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

Light leaf spot risk reduced due to "dry" winter

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2006. Light leaf spot risk reduced due to "dry" winter. RRA Newsletter. No. 21, p. 1.

Factors influencing begomovirus evolution and their increasing global significance: implications for sustainable control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Seal, S. E., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. J. 2006. Factors influencing begomovirus evolution and their increasing global significance: implications for sustainable control. Critical reviews in plant sciences. 25, pp. 23-46. https://doi.org/10.1080/07352680500365257

Durability of resistance and cost of virulence

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Lamarie, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Durability of resistance and cost of virulence. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 114, pp. 107-116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-005-3479-7

Development of ‘RL Plus’: winter wheat variety performance in relation to site characteristics (HGCA Project Report No. 365)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Welham, S. J., Thompson, R. and Sylvester-Bradley, R. 2005. Development of ‘RL Plus’: winter wheat variety performance in relation to site characteristics (HGCA Project Report No. 365). Stoneleigh Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Happstadius, I., Podlesna, A., Renard, M. and Karolewski, Z. 2005. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Abstracts 9th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology: Facing Challenges of the 21st Century, Landerneau, 11-15 April 2005 . pp. 28

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Third interim annual report for period 1 September 2004-31 August 2005 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2005. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Third interim annual report for period 1 September 2004-31 August 2005 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Baierl, A., Antoniw, J. F., Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A. and Elcock, S. 2005. Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology, Glasgow, 31 October-2 November 2005 . pp. 649-654

Factors affecting co-existence of related pathogen species on arable crops

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

West, J. S., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2005. Factors affecting co-existence of related pathogen species on arable crops. Abstracts 15th Biennial Australasian Plant Pathology Society Conference, Geelong, Australia, 26-29 September 2005 . pp. 92

Small-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the coexistence of resistant and sensitive pathogen strains

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Small-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the coexistence of resistant and sensitive pathogen strains. Phytopathology. 95 (6), pp. 632-639. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-95-0632

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 2: implications of metapopulation structure

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 2: implications of metapopulation structure. Oikos. 110 (1), pp. 30-42. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13668.x

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 1: implications of environmental stochasticity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A., Lutman, P. J. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 1: implications of environmental stochasticity. Oikos. 110 (1), pp. 20-29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13667.x

Durability of resistance and optimum deployment strategies for resistant cultivars

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S., Evans, N. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Durability of resistance and optimum deployment strategies for resistant cultivars. Abstracts 9th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Rennes, 10-15 April 2005 . pp. 41

Development of Oculimacula yallundae and O. acuformis (eyespot) on leaf sheaths of winter wheat in the UK in relation to thermal time

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wan, A. M., Bock, C. H., Fitt, B. D. L., Harvey, J. L. and Jenkyn, J. F. 2005. Development of Oculimacula yallundae and O. acuformis (eyespot) on leaf sheaths of winter wheat in the UK in relation to thermal time. Plant Pathology. 54 (2), pp. 144-155. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2005.01165.x

Adaptation to the cost of resistance: a model of compensation, recombination and selection in a haploid organism

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wijngaarden, P. J., Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. J. and Hoekstra, R. F. 2005. Adaptation to the cost of resistance: a model of compensation, recombination and selection in a haploid organism. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 272, pp. 85-89.

Spatial and temporal dynamics of gene movements arising from deployment of transgenic crops

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Gilligan, C. A., Claessen, D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Spatial and temporal dynamics of gene movements arising from deployment of transgenic crops. in: Wesseler, J. H. H. (ed.) Environmental costs and benefits of transgenic crops Springer, Heidelberg. pp. 143-161

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Second interim report for period 1 September 2003-31 August 2004 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2004. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Second interim report for period 1 September 2003-31 August 2004 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

Exploitation of aphid monitoring systems in Europe to improve observation and prediction of global change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems: EXAMINE. (Final report to the EU on contract EVK2-CT-1999-20001)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Harrington, R., Verrier, P. J., Denholm, C. H., Clarke, S. J., Welham, S. J., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M., Cocu, N., Knight, J. and Hulle, M. 2004. Exploitation of aphid monitoring systems in Europe to improve observation and prediction of global change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems: EXAMINE. (Final report to the EU on contract EVK2-CT-1999-20001).

The influence of spray heterogeneity on the dynamics of fungicide resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The influence of spray heterogeneity on the dynamics of fungicide resistance. Abstracts Discovery, Development and Delivery in Plant Pathology: 7th Conference of the European Foundation for Plant Pathology and BSPP Presidential Meeting 2004, Aberdeen, 5-10 September 2004 . pp. 13-14

Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Welham, S. J. 2004. Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004). Climate Research. 28 (1), pp. 83-84. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028083

Durability of resistance: a modelling approach

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Evans, N. 2004. Durability of resistance: a modelling approach.

SECURE - possibilities for durable resistance to stem canker?

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I. and Renard, M. 2004. SECURE - possibilities for durable resistance to stem canker?

A perspective on the measurement of time in plant disease epidemiology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Powers, S. J., Welham, S. J. and Parker, S. R. 2004. A perspective on the measurement of time in plant disease epidemiology. Plant Pathology. 53 (6), pp. 705-712. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.01097.x

Development of the oilseed rape light leaf spot forecast: from model to mobile phone

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Baierl, A., Antoniw, J. F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2004. Development of the oilseed rape light leaf spot forecast: from model to mobile phone. Aspects of Applied Biology. 72, pp. 67-74.

Development of a decision support system for phoma and light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape ('PASSWORD' Project) (HGCA Project Report No. 357)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gladders, P., Dyer, C., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Steed, J. M., Baierl, A., Turner, J., Walters, K., Northing, P., Sutherland, K., Campbell, S., Ellerton, D., Selley, A., Hall, B., Naylor, D. and Parker, C. 2004. Development of a decision support system for phoma and light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape ('PASSWORD' Project) (HGCA Project Report No. 357). Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA) London.

Predicting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in England and Wales, using survey, weather and crop information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Baierl, A. 2004. Predicting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in England and Wales, using survey, weather and crop information. Plant Pathology. 53, pp. 713-724.

A model for the evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shedding

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. A model for the evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shedding. Oikos. 107 (1), pp. 36-49. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2004.13238.x

Transmission rates and adaptive evolution of pathogens in sympatric heterogeneous plant populations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gudelj, I., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2004. Transmission rates and adaptive evolution of pathogens in sympatric heterogeneous plant populations. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 271 (1553), pp. 2187-2194. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2004.2837

The effect of crop and pest management practices on the evolution within Bemisia tabaci

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I., Jeger, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The effect of crop and pest management practices on the evolution within Bemisia tabaci. Abstracts 2nd European Whitefly Symposium, Cavtat, Croatia, 5-9 October 2004 . pp. 43

The effect of spatial distributions of mycoparasites on biocontrol efficacy: a modelling approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Termorshuizen, A. J., Nagtzaam, M. P. M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The effect of spatial distributions of mycoparasites on biocontrol efficacy: a modelling approach. Biocontrol Science and Technology. 14, pp. 359-373.

Prediction in linear mixed models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J., Cullis, B. R., Gogel, B., Gilmour, A. and Thompson, R. 2004. Prediction in linear mixed models. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 46 (3), pp. 325-347. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842X.2004.00334.x

Tolerance of septoria leaf blotch in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parker, S. R., Welham, S. J., Paveley, N. D., Foulkes, J. and Scott, R. K. 2004. Tolerance of septoria leaf blotch in winter wheat. Plant Pathology. 53 (1), pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.00951.x

An efficient computing strategy for prediction in mixed linear models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilmour, A., Cullis, B. R., Welham, S. J., Gogel, B. and Thompson, R. 2004. An efficient computing strategy for prediction in mixed linear models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. 44 (4), pp. 571-586. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9473(02)00258-X

Modelling leaf wetness duration during the rosette stage of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., McCartney, H. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Modelling leaf wetness duration during the rosette stage of oilseed rape. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 123 (1-2), pp. 69-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2003.10.003

Evolution of sibling fungal plant pathogens in relation to host specialization

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gudelj, I., Fitt, B. D. L. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Evolution of sibling fungal plant pathogens in relation to host specialization. Phytopathology. 94 (7), pp. 789-795. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2004.94.7.789

Position of inoculum in the canopy affects the risk of septoria tritici blotch epidemics in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Hunter, T., Welham, S. J. and Nichols, A. R. 2004. Position of inoculum in the canopy affects the risk of septoria tritici blotch epidemics in winter wheat. Plant Pathology. 53 (1), pp. 11-21. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2003.00939.x

Effect of temperature on latent period of septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat under outdoor conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Hunter, T., Powers, S. J., Parker, S. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Effect of temperature on latent period of septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat under outdoor conditions. Plant Pathology. 53 (2), pp. 170-181. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.00983.x

Epidemiology of insect-transmitted plant viruses: modelling disease dynamics and control interventions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Holt, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2004. Epidemiology of insect-transmitted plant viruses: modelling disease dynamics and control interventions. Physiological Entomology. 29 (3), pp. 291-304. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0307-6962.2004.00394.x

Double-jump migration and diffusive instability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Huang, Y., Diekmann, O. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Double-jump migration and diffusive instability. Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology. 66, pp. 487-504.

Strategies optimales pour le deploiement de varietes resistantes: modelisation analytique de la durabilite de la resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Strategies optimales pour le deploiement de varietes resistantes: modelisation analytique de la durabilite de la resistance. Abstracts Journees Jean Chevaugeon 5e Rencontres de Phytopathologie/Mycologie, Aussois, 18-22 January 2004 .

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). First interim annual report for period 1 September 2002-31 August 2003 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2003. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). First interim annual report for period 1 September 2002-31 August 2003 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Parker, S. R., Berry, P. M., Paveley, N. D., Van Den Bosch, F. and Lovell, D. J. 2003. A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology, Glasgow, 10-12 November 2003 . pp. 1101-1106

Co-existence between Leptosphaeria maculans and L. biglibosa in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Gudelj, I. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Co-existence between Leptosphaeria maculans and L. biglibosa in the UK.

Testing the adequacy of measured data for evaluating nitrogen turnover models by the dot-to-dot method

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Smith, J. U., Smith, P., Richter, G. M., Agostini, F. A. and Welham, S. J. 2003. Testing the adequacy of measured data for evaluating nitrogen turnover models by the dot-to-dot method. European Journal of Soil Science. 54 (1), pp. 175-185. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2389.2003.00501.x

Multivariate spatial statistical analysis in perennial crops

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Vilela De Resende, M. D., Thompson, R., Welham, S. J. and Baierl, A. 2003. Multivariate spatial statistical analysis in perennial crops. Abstracts International Biometric Society British Region Conference, Reading, 16-18 September 2003 . pp. 70

Modelling stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. J. 2003. Modelling stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ).

A mechanistic model for stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Jeger, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. A mechanistic model for stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1160-1162

An environmental physics driven model for leaf wetness duration on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Papastamati, K., McCartney, H. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. An environmental physics driven model for leaf wetness duration on winter oilseed rape. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1163-1165

Effects of initial conditions on weed seedbank dynamics in crop rotations

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Mertens, S. K., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Effects of initial conditions on weed seedbank dynamics in crop rotations. Seedbanks: Determination, Dynamics and Management. Aspects of Applied Biology 69 . pp. 223-228

The evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shed

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. The evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shed. Abstracts Alcala 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Ecology, Madrid, 5-9 September 2003 . pp. 10-Ber-a/b

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops?

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A., Lutman, P. J. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2003. Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Measures of durability of resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2003. Measures of durability of resistance. Phytopathology. 93 (5), pp. 616-625. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.5.616

Modeling of relationships between weather and Septoria tritici epidemics on winter wheat: a critical approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Shaw, M. W., Parker, S. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Modeling of relationships between weather and Septoria tritici epidemics on winter wheat: a critical approach. Phytopathology. 93 (10), pp. 1329-1339. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.10.1329

Spatial aspects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemic development on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Brain, P., Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2003. Spatial aspects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemic development on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the United Kingdom. Phytopathology. 93 (6), pp. 657-665. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.6.657

The dynamics of an eco-epidemic model with biological control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Xiao, Y. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. The dynamics of an eco-epidemic model with biological control. Ecological Modelling. 168, pp. 203-214.

Development of eyespot on winter wheat in the UK II: infection and lesion development on stems in relation to thermal time

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bock, C. H., Wan, A., Fitt, B. D. L., Jenkyn, J. F., Harvey, J. L. and Goulds, A. 2003. Development of eyespot on winter wheat in the UK II: infection and lesion development on stems in relation to thermal time.

Development of eyespot on winter wheat in the UK I: penetration and infection of leaf sheaths in relation to thermal time

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Wan, A., Bock, C. H., Fitt, B. D. L., Jenkyn, J. F., Harvey, J. L. and Goulds, A. 2003. Development of eyespot on winter wheat in the UK I: penetration and infection of leaf sheaths in relation to thermal time.

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J. and Renard, M. 2003. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 36-38

Interactive forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape on the internet

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F., Baierl, A., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2003. Interactive forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape on the internet. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1067-1069

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J., Karolewski, Z. and Renard, M. 2003. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. GCIRC Bulletin. 19, pp. 40-42.

Impacts of environmental change on aphids throughout Europe

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Harrington, R., Denholm, C. H., Verrier, P. J., Clark, S. J., Welham, S. J., Hulle, M., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M., Cocu, N., Knight, J., Bell, N., Barbagallo, S., Basky, Z., Coceano, P. G., Derron, J., Katis, N., Lukasova, H., Marrkula, I., Mohar, J., Pickup, J., Rolot, J-L., Ruszkowska, M., Schliephake, E., Seco-Fernandez, M-V., Sigvald, R., Tsitsipis, J. and Ulber, B. 2003. Impacts of environmental change on aphids throughout Europe. Abstracts Integrated Biological Systems Conference, San Antonio, Texas, 14-16 April 2003 . pp. 39-40

A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Berry, P. M., Parker, S. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. D. 2002. A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes. Abstracts AAB Meeting Genotype-Phenotype: Narrowing the Gap, Cirencester, 16-18 December 2002 .

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Examine(exploitation of aphis monitoring in europe): an EU thematic network for the study of global change impacts on aphid dynamics

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Denholm, C. H., Barbagallo, S., Basky, Z., Bell, J. N. B., Clark, S. J., Coceano, P-G., Cocu, N., Colucci, R., Derron, J., Ferrara, V., Gotlin Euljak, T., Harrington, R., Hatala Zseller, I., Hulle, M., Katis, N., Knight, J. D., Limonta, L., Lukasova, H., Markkula, I., Maurice, D., Mohar, J., Pickup, J., Rolot, J-L., Rounsevell, M. D. A., Ruszkowska, M., Schleiphake, E., Seco-Fernandez, M. V., Sigvald, R., Verrier, P. J. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Examine(exploitation of aphis monitoring in europe): an EU thematic network for the study of global change impacts on aphid dynamics. Abstracts 7th European Congress of Entomology, Thessaloniki, 7-13 October 2002 . pp. 317

Improving and exploiting self-defence against wheat diseases

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Parker, S. R., Paveley, N. D., Foulkes, M. J., Lovell, D. J., Welham, S. J. and Worland, A. J. 2002. Improving and exploiting self-defence against wheat diseases. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2002 . pp. 919-924

Analysis of time series

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Analysis of time series. in: Payne, R. W. (ed.) Guide to GenStat release 6.1. Part 2. Statistics VSN International, Hemel Hempstead. pp. 705-788

REML analysis of mixed models

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Thompson, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. REML analysis of mixed models. in: Payne, R. W. (ed.) Guide to GenStat release 6.1. Part 2. Statistics Hemel Hempstead VSN International. pp. 461-560

Towards an early warning system for winter wheat disease severity

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Shaw, M. W. and Parker, S. R. 2002. Towards an early warning system for winter wheat disease severity. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2002 . pp. 897-902

GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 2. Directives

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Baird, D. B., Cherry, M., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Lane, P. W., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Soutar, D. M., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 2. Directives. Hemel Hempstead VSN International.

GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 1. Summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Baird, D. B., Cherry, M., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Lane, P. W., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Soutar, D. M., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. GenStat release 6.1 reference manual. Part 1. Summary. Hemel Hempstead VSN International.

ASREML user guide release 1.0

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gilmour, A. R., Gogel, B. J., Cullis, B. R., Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 2002. ASREML user guide release 1.0. VSN International, Hemel Hempstead.

Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2002. Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system. Ecological Applications. 12 (4), pp. 1125-1141. https://doi.org/10.2307/3061041

Dynamical behavior for a stage-structured SIR infectious disease model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Xiao, Y., Chen, L. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2002. Dynamical behavior for a stage-structured SIR infectious disease model. Nonlinear Analysis-Real World Applications. 3, pp. 175-190.

Quantification of raindrop kinetic energy for improved prediction of splash-dispersed pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Van Peteghem, P., Webb, D. A. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Quantification of raindrop kinetic energy for improved prediction of splash-dispersed pathogens. Phytopathology. 92 (5), pp. 497-503. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2002.92.5.497

Quasi-steady state approximation to a fungal growth model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lamour, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Termorshuizen, A. J. and Jeger, M. J. 2002. Quasi-steady state approximation to a fungal growth model. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology. 19, pp. 163-183.

Modelling plant virus epidemics in a plantation-nursery system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Dutmer, M. Y. 2002. Modelling plant virus epidemics in a plantation-nursery system. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology. 19, pp. 75-94.

Interactive forecasting on the Internet of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Antoniw, J. F., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2002. Interactive forecasting on the Internet of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) risk for winter oilseed rape.

ASREML estimates variance matrices from multivariate data using the animal model

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gilmour, A. R., Thompson, R., Cullis, B. R. and Welham, S. J. 2002. ASREML estimates variance matrices from multivariate data using the animal model. Proceedings 7th World Congress on Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, Montpellier, 19-23 August 2002 . pp. 28-05

Detection of genetic variation in Alternaria brassicicola using AFLP fingerprinting

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Thrall, P. H., Brubaker, C. L. and Burdon, J. J. 2002. Detection of genetic variation in Alternaria brassicicola using AFLP fingerprinting. Mycological Research. 106, pp. 428-434.

Window Pane, la redecouverte d'une ancienne methode: quel avenir? Etude de l'exemple de la Septoriose (Mycosphaerella graminocola ) du ble d'hiver

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Shaw, M. 2002. Window Pane, la redecouverte d'une ancienne methode: quel avenir? Etude de l'exemple de la Septoriose (Mycosphaerella graminocola ) du ble d'hiver. Abstracts Journees Jean Chevaugeon, 4iemes Rencontres de Phytopathologie/Mycologie, Aussois, 13-17 March 2002 .

Simulation of vertical spread of plant diseases in a crop canopy by stem extension and splash dispersal

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pielaat, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Jeger, M. J. 2002. Simulation of vertical spread of plant diseases in a crop canopy by stem extension and splash dispersal. Ecological Modelling. 151, pp. 195-212.

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Ecological Modelling. 148, pp. 169-189.

Time lags in metapopulation responses to landscape change

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Nagelkerke, K. C. J., Verboom, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Van De Wolfshaar, K. 2002. Time lags in metapopulation responses to landscape change. in: Gutzwiller, K. J. (ed.) Applying landscape ecology in biological conservation Springer, New York. pp. 330-354

Weed population dynamics and crop rotations: exploring effects of event sequence in a structured periodic system

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2002. Weed population dynamics and crop rotations: exploring effects of event sequence in a structured periodic system. Abstracts 87th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Tucson, 4-9 August 2002 . pp. MER-1014-799580

Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bierman, S. M., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Bateman, G. L., Jenkyn, J. F. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000. Plant Pathology. 51 (2), pp. 191-201. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2002.00673.x

A population-dynamics approach to assess the threat of plant pathogens as biological weapons against annual crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2002. A population-dynamics approach to assess the threat of plant pathogens as biological weapons against annual crops. Bioscience. 52, pp. 65-74.

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2001. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Abstracts 8th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Ouro Preto, Brazil, 6-11 May 2001 .

Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to leaf wetness and temperature

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 2001. Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to leaf wetness and temperature. Plant Pathology. 50 (2), pp. 154-164. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00551.x

Theoretical epidemiology and modeling with practical applications

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Theoretical epidemiology and modeling with practical applications. Abstracts 8th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Ouro Preto, Brazil, 6-11 May 2001 .

Vegetation pattern formation in semi-arid grazing systems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hillerislambers, R., Rietkerk, M., Van Den Bosch, F., Prins, H. H. T. and De Kroon, H. 2001. Vegetation pattern formation in semi-arid grazing systems. Ecology. 82 (1), pp. 50-61. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2001)082[0050:VPFISA]2.0.CO;2

Mathematical conservation ecology: a one-predator-two-prey system as a case study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Grasman, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Van Herwaarden, O. A. 2001. Mathematical conservation ecology: a one-predator-two-prey system as a case study. Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology. 63, pp. 259-269.

Epidemic dynamics and patterns of plant diseases

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Segarra, J., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Epidemic dynamics and patterns of plant diseases. Phytopathology. 91 (10), pp. 1001-1010. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2001.91.10.1001

Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Parker, S. R. and Lovell, D. J. 2001. Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 109, pp. 171-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00267-2

Stem canker on winter oilseed rape during three growing seasons in England, France and Poland: an ACCESS database of results from the IMASCORE field experiments

J - Computer programs

Leech, P. K. and Welham, S. J. 2001. Stem canker on winter oilseed rape during three growing seasons in England, France and Poland: an ACCESS database of results from the IMASCORE field experiments.

Effect of temperature on epidemiological parameters of Puccinia lagenophorae

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kolnaar, R. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Effect of temperature on epidemiological parameters of Puccinia lagenophorae. Plant Pathology. 50 (3), pp. 363-370. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00533.x

Modelling the effects of temperature and wetness duration on development of light leaf spot on oilseed rape leaves inoculated with Pyrenopeziza brassicae conidia

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilles, T., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, N., Steed, J. M. and Jeger, M. J. 2001. Modelling the effects of temperature and wetness duration on development of light leaf spot on oilseed rape leaves inoculated with Pyrenopeziza brassicae conidia. Plant Pathology. 50 (1), pp. 42-52. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00542.x

Relationships between phoma leaf spot and development of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sun, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Welham, S. J. 2000. Relationships between phoma leaf spot and development of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 137 (2), pp. 113-125. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.2000.tb00043.x

A comparison of modelling methods for forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Papastamati, K., Fitt, B. D. L., Turner, J. A. and Gladders, P. 2000. A comparison of modelling methods for forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2000 . pp. 801-808

Spread of organisms: can travelling and dispersive waves be distinguished?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Frantzen, J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2000. Spread of organisms: can travelling and dispersive waves be distinguished? Basic and Applied Ecology. 1, pp. 83-91.

Introducing an interactive Internet based forecasting system for light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Antoniw, J. F., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Welham, S. J. 2000. Introducing an interactive Internet based forecasting system for light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK. GCIRC Bulletin. 17, pp. 48-52.

Predicting leaf infection by Leptosphaeria maculans on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

West, J. S., Evans, N., Leech, P. K., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Jedryczka, M. and Penaud, A. 2000. Predicting leaf infection by Leptosphaeria maculans on winter oilseed rape.

Effects of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) and light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, N. and Gladders, P. 2000. Effects of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) and light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in southern England. Plant Pathology. 49, pp. 487-497.

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on conidial infection, latent period and asexual sporulation of Pyrenopeziza brassicae on leaves of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilles, T., Fitt, B. D. L., Kennedy, R., Welham, S. J. and Jeger, M. J. 2000. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on conidial infection, latent period and asexual sporulation of Pyrenopeziza brassicae on leaves of oilseed rape. Plant Pathology. 49 (4), pp. 498-508. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2000.00474.x

A theoretical assessment of the effects of vector-virus transmission mechanism on plant virus epidemics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madden, L. V., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2000. A theoretical assessment of the effects of vector-virus transmission mechanism on plant virus epidemics. Phytopathology. 90 (6), pp. 576-594. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2000.90.6.576

Forecasting light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Forecasting light leaf spot of winter oilseed rape in the UK.

Optimising the use of fungicides to control stem canker of oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

West, J. S., Leech, P. K., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Penaud, A., Peres, A. and Poisson, B. 1999. Optimising the use of fungicides to control stem canker of oilseed rape. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Yield loss of winter oilseed rape in relation to severity of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P., Sansford, C. E. and West, J. S. 1999. Yield loss of winter oilseed rape in relation to severity of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) in the UK. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape by ascospores of A-group or B-group Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Jedryczka, M., West, J. S. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape by ascospores of A-group or B-group Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

Epidemiology, forecasting and management of winter oilseed rape diseases in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Sutherland, K. G., Turner, J. A. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Epidemiology, forecasting and management of winter oilseed rape diseases in the UK. Proceedings 10th International Rapeseed Congress: New Horizons for an Old Crop, Canberra, 26-29 September 1999. (CD-ROM) .

The analysis of designed experiments and longitudinal data using smoothing splines

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Verbyla, A. P., Cullis, B. R., Kenward, M. G. and Welham, S. J. 1999. The analysis of designed experiments and longitudinal data using smoothing splines. Applied Statistics. 48, pp. 269-311. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9876.00154

Forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) on the Internet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Souter, S. D., Castells-Brooke, N. I. D., Antoniw, J. F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A. and Sutherland, K. 1999. Forecasting light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) on the Internet. Aspects of Applied Biology. 55, pp. 37-42.

Quantification of rainsplash for improved prediction of Septoria disease risk

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Parker, S. R., Van Petegheim, P., Webb, D. A. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Quantification of rainsplash for improved prediction of Septoria disease risk. Aspects of Applied Biology. 55, pp. 7-14.

Effects of severity and timing of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) symptoms on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brasica napus ) in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhou, Y., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P., Sansford, C. E. and West, J. S. 1999. Effects of severity and timing of stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) symptoms on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brasica napus ) in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 105, pp. 715-728. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008761219493

Implementation of results from rain tower experiments into a simulation model for vertical spore distribution

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pielaat, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Marshall, D. C. A., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A. and Jeger, M. J. 1999. Implementation of results from rain tower experiments into a simulation model for vertical spore distribution. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 15-20

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Leech, P. K., Welham, S. J. and Gladders, P. 1999. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). European Journal of Plant Pathology. 105, pp. 769-781.

Relationships between regional weather and incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in England and Wales

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Turner, J. A., Gladders, P. and Sutherland, K. 1999. Relationships between regional weather and incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in England and Wales. Protection and Production of Combinable Break Crops. Aspects of Applied Biology 56 . pp. 51-59

Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to weather criteria

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 1999. Modelling the progress of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to weather criteria. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 49-55

Sampling winter oilseed rape crops to assess incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A., Welham, S. J. and Mcroberts, N. 1999. Sampling winter oilseed rape crops to assess incidence of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) in the UK. Protection and Production of Combinable Break Crops. Aspects of Applied Biology 56 . pp. 123-128

Investigating the horizontal spatial spread of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A., Welham, S. J. and Mcroberts, N. 1999. Investigating the horizontal spatial spread of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) of winter oilseed rape in the UK. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 31-36

Conditions for infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of UK (A group) and Polish (B group) Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Jedryczka, M., West, J. S. and Welham, S. J. 1999. Conditions for infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of UK (A group) and Polish (B group) Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). GCIRC Bulletin. 16, pp. 82-83.

Empirical models for prediction of regional light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) incidence on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Welham, S. J., Turner, J. A., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P. and Sutherland, K. G. 1998. Empirical models for prediction of regional light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) incidence on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.1.9

Development of a system for forecasting severe light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Sutherland, K. G., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Steed, J. M., Turner, J. A. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Development of a system for forecasting severe light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 3.1.16

Simulation modelling of the progress of light leaf spot on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to criteria for infection by Pyrenopeziza brassicae

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Gladders, P. 1998. Simulation modelling of the progress of light leaf spot on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to criteria for infection by Pyrenopeziza brassicae. Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.1.15

Forecasting and management of light leaf spot and stem canker on winter oilseed rape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Fitt, B. D. L., Steed, J. L., Welham, S. J., West, J. S., Gladders, P. and Meakin, P. 1998. Forecasting and management of light leaf spot and stem canker on winter oilseed rape. Abstracts ARIA Meeting, Harpenden, 4 November 1998 .

Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker)

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Biddulph, J. E., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Effects of temperature and wetness duration on infection of oilseed rape leaves by ascospores of Leptosphaeria maculans (stem canker). Abstracts ICPP98 7th International Congress of Plant Pathology, Edinburgh, 9-16 August 1998 . pp. 2.5.13

Development and control of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemics in winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Sutherland, K. G., Fitt, B. D. L., Steed, J. M., Welham, S. J., Gladders, P. and Turner, J. A. 1998. Development and control of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) epidemics in winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 1998 . pp. 1053-1058

Effects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Su, H., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Sansford, C. E. and Sutherland, K. G. 1998. Effects of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on yield of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 132 (3), pp. 371-386. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1998.tb05215.x

Epidemiology and forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Sutherland, K. G., Turner, J. A., Welham, S. J., Biddulph, J. E., Hardwick, N. V. and Wale, S. J. 1998. Epidemiology and forecasting of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK.

Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Su, H., Sansford, C. E., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Lockley, K. D., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1998. Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in the UK.

Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows command language manual

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat for Windows command language manual. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Effects of planting mixtures of different sizes of potato seed tubers on the yield and size of tubers

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1997. Effects of planting mixtures of different sizes of potato seed tubers on the yield and size of tubers. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 128 (2), pp. 173-180. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859696004017

Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Genstat 5 Release 4.1 reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Effects of temperature, cultivar and isolate on the incubation period of white leaf spot (Mycosphaerella capsellae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Inman, A. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Evans, R. L. and Murray, D. A. 1997. Effects of temperature, cultivar and isolate on the incubation period of white leaf spot (Mycosphaerella capsellae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 130, pp. 239-253.

Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassica ) on winter oilseed rape

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Su, H., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Hardwick, N. V., Lockley, K. D., Sansford, C. E., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Estimating yield loss from light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassica ) on winter oilseed rape. GCIRC Bulletin. 13, pp. 75-78.

Predicting severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the U.K.

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. R., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1997. Predicting severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the U.K. GCIRC Bulletin. 13, pp. 72-74.

Effect of wind on the dispersal of oospores of Peronosclerospora sorghi from sorghum

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Jeger, M. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Sherington, J. 1997. Effect of wind on the dispersal of oospores of Peronosclerospora sorghi from sorghum. Plant Pathology. 46 (3), pp. 439-449. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.1997.d01-31.x

Likelihood ratio tests for fixed model terms using residual maximum likelihood

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Welham, S. J. and Thompson, R. 1997. Likelihood ratio tests for fixed model terms using residual maximum likelihood. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Statistical Methodology). 59 (3), pp. 701-714. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00092

Prospects for developing a forecasting scheme to optimise use of fungicides for disease control on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A., Sutherland, K. G., Welham, S. J. and Davies, J. M. L. 1997. Prospects for developing a forecasting scheme to optimise use of fungicides for disease control on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Optimising Pesticide Applications. Aspects of Applied Biology 48 . pp. 135-142

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 Command Language Manual

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. J., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 Command Language Manual. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Designing experiments to examine competition effects between neighbouring plants in mixed populations

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., Bailey, R. A., Ainsley, A. E. and Hide, G. A. 1996. Designing experiments to examine competition effects between neighbouring plants in mixed populations. Proceedings XVIIIth International Biometric Conference, 1996 . pp. 97-105

Predicting risk of severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A., Sutherland, K. G. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Predicting risk of severe light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) on winter oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 1996 . pp. 239-244

The yield of potato plants as affected by stem canker (Rhizoctonia solani ), blackleg (Erwinia carotovora subsp. atroseptica ) and by neighbouring plants

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1996. The yield of potato plants as affected by stem canker (Rhizoctonia solani ), blackleg (Erwinia carotovora subsp. atroseptica ) and by neighbouring plants. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 126 (4), pp. 429-440. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859600075511

Effects of wetness period and temperature on development of dark pod spot (Alternaria brassicae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hong, C. X., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Effects of wetness period and temperature on development of dark pod spot (Alternaria brassicae ) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Plant Pathology. 45 (6), pp. 1077-1089. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.1996.d01-193.x

Release of alkenyl isothiocyanates and other volatiles from Brassica rapa seedlings during infection by Alternaria brassicae

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Doughty, K. J., Blight, M. M., Bock, C. H., Fieldsend, J. K. and Pickett, J. A. 1996. Release of alkenyl isothiocyanates and other volatiles from Brassica rapa seedlings during infection by Alternaria brassicae. Phytochemistry. 43 (2), pp. 371-374. https://doi.org/10.1016/0031-9422(96)00189-6

Genstat 3[3] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 3[3] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for PC Windows and DOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for PC Windows and DOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for Vax VMS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1996. Genstat 5 Release 3.2 version for Vax VMS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 for Windows reference manual supplement

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A., Morgan, G. W., Murray, D. A., Thompson, R., Todd, A. D., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 for Windows reference manual supplement. Oxford Numerical Algorithms Group.

Genstat 3[2] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 3[2] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Hewlatt Packard 9000 Series 700

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Hewlatt Packard 9000 Series 700. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OSF/1

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OSF/1. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows. Release 3.2 manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat for Windows. Release 3.2 manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat for Windows reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat for Windows reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Use of the most probable number technique to quantify soil-borne plant pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Adams, M. J. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Use of the most probable number technique to quantify soil-borne plant pathogens. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 126 (1), pp. 181-196. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1995.tb05014.x

A case study in measurement and analysis of disease gradients

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J., McCartney, H. A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1995. A case study in measurement and analysis of disease gradients. Field Experimental Techniques. Aspects of Applied Biology %B43 $B. pp. 77-85

Economic and statistical considerations in the measurement of total factor productivity (TFP)

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Rayner, A. I. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Economic and statistical considerations in the measurement of total factor productivity (TFP). in: Payne, R. W., Steiner, R. and Barnett, V. (ed.) Agricultural sustainability: economic, environmental and statistical considerations John Wiley & Sons Chichester, West Sussex. pp. 23-38

Genstat 5 release 3.2 reference summary

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat 5 release 3.2 reference summary. Oxford Numerical Algorithms Group.

Genstat 5 release 3.2 manual supplement

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Baird, D. B., Harding, S. A., Murray, D. A., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Webster, R., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1995. Genstat 5 release 3.2 manual supplement. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Design and analysis of experiments in Genstat. Course at Pfizer Central Research, 24-25 April 1995

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Design and analysis of experiments in Genstat. Course at Pfizer Central Research, 24-25 April 1995.

Use of splines in extending random coefficient regression models for the analysis of repeated measurements

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Kenward, M. G. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Use of splines in extending random coefficient regression models for the analysis of repeated measurements. Proceedings Symposium on Statistical Software 1995, Utrecht, 9 November 1995 .

The influence of planting seed tubers with gangrene (Phoma foveata ) and of neighbouring healthy, diseased and missing plants on the yield and size of potatoes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A., Welham, S. J., Read, P. J. and Ainsley, A. E. 1995. The influence of planting seed tubers with gangrene (Phoma foveata ) and of neighbouring healthy, diseased and missing plants on the yield and size of potatoes. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 125 (1), pp. 51-60. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859600074499

The Genstat TWOD Procedure

J - Computer programs

Gilmour, A. R., Harding, S. A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. The Genstat TWOD Procedure.

Efficient analysis of field experiments using two-dimensional spatial models

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Gilmour, A., Welham, S. J. and Harding, S. A. 1995. Efficient analysis of field experiments using two-dimensional spatial models. Genstat newsletter. 32, pp. 31-39.

Early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to temperature and leaf wetness

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Fitt, B. D. L., Welham, S. J., Shaw, M. W. and McCartney, H. A. 1995. Early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) in relation to temperature and leaf wetness. Plant Pathology. 44 (4), pp. 641-654. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.1995.tb01688.x

Forecasting development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) epidemics on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Forecasting development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) epidemics on winter oilseed rape. Rapeseed Today and Tomorrow: Proceedings 9th International Rapeseed Congress, Cambridge, 4-7 July 1995 .

Predicting early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Gladders, P., Fitt, B. D. L., Figueroa, L., McCartney, H. A., Shaw, M. W. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Predicting early development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on winter oilseed rape.

The effect of wind on dispersal of oospores of Peronosclerospora sorghi [(Weston and Uppal) G. G. Shaw] from systemically infected sorghum leaves

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bock, C. H., Jeger, M. J., Fitt, B. D. L. and Sherrington, J. 1995. The effect of wind on dispersal of oospores of Peronosclerospora sorghi [(Weston and Uppal) G. G. Shaw] from systemically infected sorghum leaves. Abstracts British Mycological Society International Symposium on the Downy Mildew Fungi, Thunersee, Switzerland, 29 August-2 September 1995 .

Release of isothiocyanates from Brassica rapa seedlings during infection by Alternaria brassicae

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Blight, M. M., Bock, C. H., Doughty, K. J., Fieldsend, J. K. and Pickett, J. A. 1995. Release of isothiocyanates from Brassica rapa seedlings during infection by Alternaria brassicae. Rapeseed Today and Tomorrow: Proceedings 9th International Rapeseed Congress, Cambridge, 4-7 July 1995 .

Sustainability - the Rothamsted experience

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Johnston, A. E., Landau, S., Payne, R. W., Welham, S. J. and Rayner, A. I. 1995. Sustainability - the Rothamsted experience. in: Barnett, V., Steiner, R. and Payne, R. W. (ed.) Agricultural sustainability: economic, environmental and statistical considerations John Wiley & Sons Chichester, West Sussex. pp. 171-206

Sensitivity to prochloraz in populations of the eyespot fungus, Pseudocercosporella herpotrichoides , in relation to fungicide treatments and their efficacy in continuous winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bateman, G. L., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Sensitivity to prochloraz in populations of the eyespot fungus, Pseudocercosporella herpotrichoides , in relation to fungicide treatments and their efficacy in continuous winter wheat. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 126 (2), pp. 235-247. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1995.tb05362.x

Effects of temperature on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Fitt, B. D. L., Shaw, M. W., McCartney, H. A. and Welham, S. J. 1995. Effects of temperature on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus). Plant Pathology. 44 (1), pp. 51-62. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.1995.tb02715.x

Genstat 3[1] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 3[1] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OpenVMS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Dec Alpha AXP OpenVMS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 Solaris

J - Computer programs

Pyne, R., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 Solaris. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 SunOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1 version for Sun 4 SunOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Version for PC DOS

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Version for PC DOS. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Vax VMS version

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Genstat 5 Release 3.1. Vax VMS version. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Measuring sustainability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnett, V., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Measuring sustainability. Environmental And Ecological Statistics. 1, pp. 21-36. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00714195

Comparisons of some GLMM estimators for a simple binomial model

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Waddington, D., Welham, S. J., Gilmour, A. R. and Thompson, R. 1994. Comparisons of some GLMM estimators for a simple binomial model. Genstat newsletter. 30, pp. 13-24.

Effects of previous cropping and fungicide timing on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) seed yield and quality of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Figueroa, L., Shaw, M. W., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A. and Welham, S. J. 1994. Effects of previous cropping and fungicide timing on the development of light leaf spot (Pyrenopeziza brassicae ) seed yield and quality of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 124 (2), pp. 221-239. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1994.tb04130.x

Sampling to determine patterns of disease in linseed

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1994. Sampling to determine patterns of disease in linseed. Sampling to Make Decisions. Aspects of Applied Biology .

Observer behaviour in assessment of lodging in cereals

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Goulds, A., Welham, S. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 1994. Observer behaviour in assessment of lodging in cereals. Sampling to Make Decisions. Aspects of Applied Biology .

Genstat 2[3] Procedure Library

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 2[3] Procedure Library. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 2.2. Student version for IBM XT/AT and compatible PCs

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 2.2. Student version for IBM XT/AT and compatible PCs. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3 reference manual

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 3 reference manual. Clarendon Press, Oxford.

Genstat 5 Release 3 reference summary

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Morgan, G. W., Todd, A. D., Thompson, R., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G., Welham, S. J. and White, Robin P. 1993. Genstat 5 Release 3 reference summary. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Phytophthora cryptogea root rot of tomato in rockwool nutrient culture: III. Effect of root zone temperature on growth and yield of winter-grown plants

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kennedy, R., Pegg, G. F. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Phytophthora cryptogea root rot of tomato in rockwool nutrient culture: III. Effect of root zone temperature on growth and yield of winter-grown plants. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 123 (3), pp. 563-578. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1993.tb04928.x

Genstat 5 topic course: analysis of linear mixed models

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Genstat 5 topic course: analysis of linear mixed models. Lawes Agricultural Trust, (LAT) Harpenden.

Measuring sustainability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnett, V., Landau, S. and Welham, S. J. 1993. Measuring sustainability. Journal of Environmental Statistics. 1, pp. 33-54.

The Classical Experiments and the environment

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Perry, J. N., Potts, J. M. and Welham, S. J. 1993. The Classical Experiments and the environment. ARIA Newsletter 1993.

Procedure GLMM

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Welham, S. J. 1993. Procedure GLMM. in: Payne, R. W., Morgan, G. W. and Arnold, G. M. (ed.) Genstat 5 procedure library manual release 2[3] Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford. pp. 154-158

Genstat 5 Release 2.2 (implementation for Silicon Graphics)

J - Computer programs

Payne, R. W., Lane, P., Harding, S., Murray, D., Thompson, R., Todd, A. and Welham, S. J. 1992. Genstat 5 Release 2.2 (implementation for Silicon Graphics). Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Observations on the bulking and development of tuber size distribution in maincrop potatoes at Rothamsted in 1964-75

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hide, G. A. and Welham, S. J. 1992. Observations on the bulking and development of tuber size distribution in maincrop potatoes at Rothamsted in 1964-75. Potato research. 35, pp. 235-247.

Incidence of pests and diseases and effects of crop protection on double- and single-low winter rape cultivars

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Williams, I. H., Doughty, K. J., Bock, C. H. and Rawlinson, C. J. 1991. Incidence of pests and diseases and effects of crop protection on double- and single-low winter rape cultivars. Proceedings GCIRC 8th International Rapeseed Conference, Saskatoon Canada, 9-11 July 1991.

Effects of fungicides and disease on growth parameters and seed glucosinolate concentration of oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Bock, C. H., Doughty, K. J., Fieldsend, J. K., Spink, J., Bilsborrow, P. E., Rawlinson, C. J. and Milford, G. F. J. 1991. Effects of fungicides and disease on growth parameters and seed glucosinolate concentration of oilseed rape. Proceedings GCIRC 8th International Rapeseed Conference, Saskatoon Canada, 9-11 July 1991.

Accumulation of glucosinolates in oilseed rape leaves as a result of fungal infection

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Doughty, K. J., Porter, A. J. R., Morton, A. M., Kiddle, G., Bock, C. H. and Wallsgrove, R. M. 1991. Accumulation of glucosinolates in oilseed rape leaves as a result of fungal infection. Proceedings GCIRC 8th International Rapeseed Conference, Saskatoon Canada, 9-11 July 1991.

Variation in the glucosinolate content of oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.) leaves. II. Response to infection by Alternaria brassicae (Berk.) Sacc.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Doughty, K. J., Porter, A. J. R., Morton, A. M., Kiddle, G., Bock, C. H. and Wallsgrove, R. M. 1991. Variation in the glucosinolate content of oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.) leaves. II. Response to infection by Alternaria brassicae (Berk.) Sacc. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 118 (2), pp. 469-477. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.1991.tb05648.x

A comparison of algorithms for combination of information in generally balanced designs.

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Payne, R. W. and Welham, S. J. 1990. A comparison of algorithms for combination of information in generally balanced designs. Compstat 1990.. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg.. pp. 297-302.

Diseases and responses to disease and pest control on single- and double-low cultivars of winter oilseed rape.

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Rawlinson, C. J., Doughty, K. J., Bock, C. H., Church, V. J., Milford, G. F. J. and Fieldsend, J. K. 1989. Diseases and responses to disease and pest control on single- and double-low cultivars of winter oilseed rape. Production and protection of oilseed rape and other brassica crops. Aspects of Applied Biology 23. pp. 393-400

Genstat 5 release 2 reference summary . 97pp.

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Payne, R. W., Lane, P. W., Ainsley, A. E., Bicknell, K. E., Digby, P. G. N., Harding, S. A., Leech, P. K., Simpson, H. R., Todd, A. D., Welham, S. J., White, Robin P., Gower, J. C., Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. and Verrier, P. J. 1989. Genstat 5 release 2 reference summary . 97pp.

Procedure TTEST.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure TTEST. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure SMOOTHSPECTRUM.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure SMOOTHSPECTRUM. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJIDENTIFY.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJIDENTIFY. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJFORECAST.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJFORECAST. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure BJESTIMATE.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Tunnicliffe Wilson, G. T. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure BJESTIMATE. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure MANNWHITNEY.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure MANNWHITNEY. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure KRUSKAL.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure KRUSKAL. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure NPRANK.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure NPRANK. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure NPCHECK.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure NPCHECK. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure SPEARMAN.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure SPEARMAN. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure CONCORD.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure CONCORD. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure WILCOXON.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure WILCOXON. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.

Procedure WILCOXON.

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mclaren, P. J., Simpson, H. R. and Welham, S. J. 1989. Procedure WILCOXON. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford.