Pan-European multi- crop model ensemble projections of climate change impact on wheat and grain maize
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Webber, H., Cooke, D., Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Martre, P., Collins, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldon-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorite, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P. and Trombi, G. 2020. Pan-European multi- crop model ensemble projections of climate change impact on wheat and grain maize . Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 6, pp. 21-27. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v6i0.16326
| Authors | Webber, H., Cooke, D., Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Martre, P., Collins, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldon-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorite, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P. and Trombi, G. |
|---|---|
| Abstract | The simulated data set described in this paper was created with an ensemble of nine different crop models: HERMES (HE), Simplace<Lintul5,Slim3, FAO-56 ET0> (L5), SiriusQuality (SQ), MONICA (MO), Sirius2014 (S2), FASSET (FA), 4M (4M), SSM (SS), DSSAT-CSM IXIM (IX). Simulations were performed for grain maize (six models) and winter wheat (eight models) under diverse conditions over agricultural land areas of the EU-27 at a 25 x 25 km spatial resolution. Simulations were drawn from combinations of three representative concentration pathways and climate outputs from five general circulation models for time periods 2040-2069 and 2070-2099. Historical climate data was the basis for simulation years 1980-2010 and considered as a baseline. Simulation results can be used to analyzecrop responses to changing climatic variables. This data paper describes the creation, motivation and format of the simulation results to enable reuse of the data set. It also offers some possible further uses of the dataset in other contexts. |
| Keywords | Crop modelling; Climate change impacts; European Union; Maize; Wheat; Heat stress; Drought |
| Year of Publication | 2020 |
| Journal | Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR) |
| Journal citation | 6, pp. 21-27 |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v6i0.16326 |
| Open access | Published as ‘gold’ (paid) open access |
| Funder | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council |
| Funder project or code | Designing Future Wheat - WP1 - Increased efficiency and sustainability |
| Publisher's version | |
| Output status | Published |
| Publication dates | |
| Online | 31 Aug 2020 |
| Publisher | Wageningen Academic Publishers |
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Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Palosuo, T., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Lorite, I. J., Ferrise, R., Pirttioja, N., Bindi, M., Baronowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka, F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R, Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., de Wit, A. and Rotter, R. P. 2019. Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 264, pp. 351-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018
Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rotter, R. P., O'Leary, G. J., Fitzgerald, G. J., Girousse, C., Motzo, R., Giunta, F., Babar, M. A., Reynolds, M. P., Kheir, A. M. S., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K, Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, D., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoggenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K-C., Klein, C., Koehler, A-K., Liu, B., Minoli, S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Porter, J., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Ewert, F. 2019. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Global Change Biology. 25 (1), pp. 155-173. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14481
The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martre, P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Maiorano, A., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jablou, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A.- K., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Liu, B., Lobell, D. B., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E,, Rezaei, E. E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P, Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Z. 2018. The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 4, pp. 28-34. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/M9ZT0F
Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wallach, D., Martre, P., Liu, B., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Thorburn, P. J., Van Ittersum, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Fitzgerald, G. J., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Girousse, C., Hoogenboom, G., Horan, H., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, S., Muller,C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Wolf, J. and Zhang, Z 2018. Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions. Global Change Biology. 24 (11), pp. 5072-5083. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14411
Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Parent, B., Leclere, M., Lacube, S., Semenov, M. A., Welcker, C., Martre, P. and Tardieu, F. 2018. Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (42), pp. 10642-10647. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1720716115
Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Webber, H, Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Müller, C., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Bourgault, M., Martre, P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Finger, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldón-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorie, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Siebert, S., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P., Trombi, G. and Wallach, D. 2018. Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe. Nature Communications. 9 (4249). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2
Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment.
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ruiz-Ramos, M., Ferrise, R, Rodriguez, A., Lorite, I. J., Bindi, M., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Palosuo, T., Pirttioja, N., Baranowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R., Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., De Wit, A. and Potter, R. P. 2018. Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment. Agricultural Systems. 159 (January), pp. 260-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009
Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Tao, F., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Specka, X.., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambrevill, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D. and Schulman, A.H. 2018. Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 1291-1307. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14019
Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change.
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Fronzek, S., Pirttioja, N., Carter, T. R., Bindi, M., Hoffman, H., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Tao, F., Trnka, M., Acutis, M., Asseng, S., Baranowski, P., Basso, B., Bodin, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Deligios, P., Destain, M-F., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Ferrise, R., Francois, L., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Jacquemin, I., Kersebaum, K. C., Kollas, C., Krzyszczak, J., Loriet, I. J., Minet, J., Minguez, M. I., Montesino, M., Moriondo, M., Muller, M., Nendel, C., Ozturk, I., Perego, A., Rodriguez, A., Ruane, A. C., Ruget, F., Sanna, M., Semenov, M. A., Slawinski, C., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wu, L., Zhao, Z. and Rotter, R. P. 2018. Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 209-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004
Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Maiorano, A., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Muller, C., Rotter, R. P., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Wang, E. L., Alderman, P. D., Kassie, B. T., Biernath, C., Basso, B., Cammaran, D., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Gayler, S., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Liu, B., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Priesack, E., Reynolds, M., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Thorburn, P. J., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Zhao, Z. G. and Zhu, Y. 2017. Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles. Field Crops Research. 202, pp. 5-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.05.001
The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wang, E., Martre, P., Zhao, Z., Ewert, F., Maiorano, A., Rötter, R. P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Reynolds, M. P., Alderman, P. D., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A. K., Liu, L., Müller, C., Naresh Kumar, S., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Ripoche, D., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wallach, D., Wang, Z., Wolf, J., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2017. The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions. Nature Plants. 3, p. 17102. https://doi.org/10.1038/nplants.2017.102
Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Slater, R., Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Semenov, M. A. and Denholm, I. 2017. Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies. Pest Management Science. 73 (7), pp. 1364-1372. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.4456
Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Webber, H., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Kimball, B. A., White, J., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Grant, R., Kassie, B., Maiorano, A., Olesen, J. E., Ripoche, D., Rezaei, E. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P. and Ewert, F. 2017. Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison. Field Crops Research. 202 (15 February), pp. 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2015.10.009
Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Barber, H. M., Lukac, M., Simmonds, J., Semenov, M. A. and Gooding, M. J. 2017. Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature. Frontiers in Plant Science. 8 (51), p. 9p. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2017.00051
Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Tao, F. L., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Cammarano, D., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambreville, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M. and Schulman, A. H. 2017. Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble. European Journal of Agronomy. 82, pp. 144-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2016.10.012
Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lake, I. R, Jones, N. R., Agnew, M., Goodess, C. M., Giorgi, F., Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Semenov, M. A., Solmon, F., Storkey, J., Vautard, R. and Epstein, M. M. 2017. Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe. Environmental Health Perspectives. 125, pp. 385-391. https://doi.org/10.1289/ehp173
Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Webber, H., White, J. W., Kimball, B. A., Ewert, F., Asseng, S., Rezaei, E. E., Pinter, P. J., Hatfield, J., Reynolds, M. P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M, Doltra, J., Ferrise, R., Kage, Henning, Kassie, B.T., Kersebaum, K.-C., Luig, A., Olesen, J. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Ratjen, A. M., LaMorte, R. L., Leavitt, S. W., Hunsaker, D. J., Wall, G. W. and Martre, P. 2017. Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions. Field Crops Research. 216, pp. 75-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.11.005
How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Hoffmann, M. P., Haakana, M., Asseng, S., Hohn, J. G., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Fronzek, S., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Kassie, B. T., Paff, K., Razaei, E. E., Rodriguez, A., Semenov, M. A., Srivastava, A. K., Stratonovitch, P., Tao, F., Chen, Y. and Rotter, R. P. 2017. How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 199-208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.03.012
Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D. B., Martre, P., Ruane, A. C., Wallach, D., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P. K., Alderman, P. D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Fereres, E., Folberth, C., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Palosuo, T., Prasad, P. V. V., Priesack, E., Pugh, T. A. M., Reynolds, M., Rezaei, E. E., Rötter, R. P., Schmid, E., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stehfest, E., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., Wang, E., White, J. W., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Y. 2016. Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change. 6 (12), pp. 1130-1138. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3115
Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Cammarano, D., Rötter, R. P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Wallach, D., Martre, P., Hatfield, J. L., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Kersebaum, K. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, K., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2. Field Crops Research. 198, pp. 80-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.08.015
Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Clare, F. C., Halder, J. B., Daniel, O., Bielby, J., Semenov, M. A., Jombart, T., Loyau, A., Schmeller, D. S., Cunningham, A. A., Rowcliffe, M., Garner, T. W. J., Bosch, J. and Fisher, M. C. 2016. Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 371 (1709). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2015.0454
Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ruane, A. C., Hudson, N. L., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Martre, P., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grant, R. F., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Kersebaum, K. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F. L., Travasso, M., Waha, K., Wallach, D., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability. Environmental Modelling and Software. 81, pp. 86-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.008
Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bindi, M., Palosuo, T., Trnka, M. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction. Climate Research. 65, pp. 3-5. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01342
Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Pirttioja, N., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces. Climate Research. 65, pp. 87-105. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01322
In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martre, P., He, J., Le Gouis, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66, pp. 3581-3598. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv049
Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects
B - Book chapters etc edited externally
Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Bassu, S., Durand, J., Martre, P., Adam, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Baron, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Boogard, H., Boote, K. J., Brisson, N., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Conijn, S., Corbeels, M., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grassini, P., Hatfield, J. L., Heng, L., Hoek, S., Hooker, J., Hunt, T., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Jongschaap, R., Jones, J., Kersebaum, K. C., Kim, S., Lizaso, J., Müller, C., Kumar, N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olsen, J., Osborne, T., Palosuo, T., Pravia, M., Priesack, E., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects. in: Hillel, D. and Rosenzweig, C. (ed.) Handbook of climate change and agroecosystems: the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Imperial College Press, London. pp. 279-295
Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ewert, F., Rotter, R. P., Bindi, M., Webber, H., Trnka, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Van Ittersum, M. K., Janssen, S., Rivington, M., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Porter, J. R., Stewart, D., Verhagen, J., Gaiser, T., Palosuo, T., Tao, F., Nendel, C., Roggero, P. P., Bartosova, L. and Asseng, S. 2015. Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software. 72, pp. 287-303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.12.003
Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Martre, P., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Rötter, R. P., Cammarano, D., Brisson, N., Basso, B., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research. 1, pp. 1-5. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v1i1
Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ferrise, R., Toscano, P., Pasqui, M., Moriondo, M., Primicerio, J., Semenov, M. A. and Bindi, M. 2015. Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin. Climate Research. 65, pp. 7-21. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01325
Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Trnka, M., Hlavinka, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 12 (112), p. 20150721. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721
A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 214-215, pp. 483-493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013
Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections. Climate Research. 65, pp. 123-139. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01297
Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stratonovitch, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66 (12), pp. 3599-3609. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv070
Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Vautard, R., Liu, L., Solmon, F., Viovy, N., Khvorosthyanov, D., Essl, F., Chuine, I., Colette, A., Semenov, M. A., Schaffhauser, A., Storkey, J., Thibaudon, M. and Epstein, M. M. 2015. Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 766-771. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2652
Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 143-147. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470
Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martre, P., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one. Global Change Biology. 21 (2), pp. 911-925. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12768
An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Denholm, I., Slater, R. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e115631. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115631
Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Vanuytracht, E., Raes, D., Willems, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 195-196, pp. 12-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.04.017
Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Trnka, M., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Zalud, Z. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change. Nature Climate Change. 4, pp. 637-643. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242
Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M. J. 2014. Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science. 59 (3), pp. 245-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcs.2014.01.006
A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Storkey, J., Stratonovitch, P., Chapman, D. S., Vidotto, F. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e88156. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0088156
An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Crout, N. M. J., Craigon, J., Cox, G. M., Jao, Y., Tarsitano, D., Wood, A. T. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 189-190, pp. 211-219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.01.010
Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate. Food and Energy Security. 2 (3), pp. 185-196. https://doi.org/10.1002/fes3.34
Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change. 3, pp. 827-832. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1916
Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Pilkington-Bennett, S. and Calanca, P. 2013. Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set. Climate Research. 57, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01164
Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P. M., Semenov, M. A., Stenseth, N. C. and Boddy, L. 2013. Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 110, p. E335. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1221131110
Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Hoglind, M., Thorsen, S. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 170 (15 March), pp. 103-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.010
Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Calanca, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database. Theoretical And Applied Climatology. 113, pp. 445-455. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3
A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stratonovitch, P., Storkey, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed. Global Change Biology. 18 (6), pp. 2071-2080. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02650.x
Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Sparks, T., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L. and Stenseth, N. C. 2012. Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 109, pp. 14488-14493. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1200789109
Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Iizumi, T., Takayabu, I., Dairaku, K., Kusaka, H., Nishimori, M., Sakurai, G., Ishizaki, M. N., Adachi, S. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information. Journal of Geophysical Research. 117, p. D11114. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD017197
Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
He, J., Le Gouis, J., Stratonovitch, P., Allard, V., Gaju, O., Heumez, E., Orford, S., Griffiths, S., Snape, J. W., Foulkes, M. J., Semenov, M. A. and Martre, P. 2012. Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 42, pp. 22-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2011.11.002
Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Whitmore, A. P., Hawkesford, M. J., Parry, M. A. J. and Shewry, P. R. 2012. Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions. Nature Climate Change. 2, pp. 380-382. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1511
ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Iizumi, T., Semenov, M. A., Nishimori, M., Ishigooka, Y. and Kuwagata, T. 2012. ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences. 370, pp. 1121-1139. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0305
Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Shewry, P. R. 2011. Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe. Scientific Reports. 1, p. 66. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00066
Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Luedeling, E., Girvetz, E. H., Semenov, M. A. and Brown, P. H. 2011. Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees. PLOS ONE. 6, p. e20155 (13pp). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0020155
Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 3 (1), pp. 117-120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0105-0
Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Madgwick, J. W., West, J. S., Wright, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Townsend, J. A., Turner, J. A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 130 (1), pp. 117-131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-010-9739-1
Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research)
G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications
Tarquis, A. M., Gobin, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2010. Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research). Climate Research. 44, pp. 1-2. https://doi.org/10.3354//cr00942
ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Donatelli, M., Stratonovitch, P., Chatzidaki, E. and Baruth, B. 2010. ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe. Climate Research. 44 (1), pp. 3-15. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00865
Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Barnes, A. P., Wreford, A., Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Moran, D., Evans, N. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 148, pp. 683-694. https://doi.org/10.1017/S002185961000064X
Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lazzarotto, P., Calanca, P., Semenov, M. A. and Fuhrer, J. 2010. Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward. Climate Research. 41, pp. 221-232. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00847
The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 2 (2), pp. 143-156. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0058-3
Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L., Halvorsen, R., Stige, L. C., Sparks, T. H., Gange, A. C. and Stenseth, N. C. 2010. Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 277, pp. 1169-1177. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.1537
Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2010. Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts. Climate Research. 41, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00836
North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7, pp. 123-130. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0111
North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2009. North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/7/372051
Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Halford, N. G. 2009. Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate. Journal of Experimental Botany. 60, pp. 2791-2804. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp164
Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Martre, P. and Jamieson, P. D. 2009. Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 149 (6-7), pp. 1095-1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2009.01.006
Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. 2009. Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 6 (33), pp. 343-350. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2008.0285
Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Storkey, J., Semenov, M. A. and Neve, P. 2008. Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 15-21
Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2008. Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 37-38
Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming.
Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stenseth, N. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2008. Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities. Climate Research. 37 (1), p. 1. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00756
Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. 2008. Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator. Climate Research. 35 (3), pp. 203-212. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00731
Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2008. Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model. Field Crops Research. 106, pp. 138-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.11.004
Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 5, pp. 525-531. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2007.1136
Severity of plant disease increased by global warming
G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications
Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A. and Gladders, P. 2007. Severity of plant disease increased by global warming. RRA Newsletter. Issue 25, p. 4.
The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2007. The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 145 (4), pp. 367-375. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021859607006922
Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. 2007. Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield. Climate Research. 34 (1), pp. 71-81. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr034071
Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jamieson, P. D., Brooking, I. R., Semenov, M. A., Mcmaster, G. S., White, J. W. and Porter, J. R. 2007. Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat. Field Crops Research. 103, pp. 36-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.04.009
Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. 2007. Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 144 (1-2), pp. 127-138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.02.003
Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A., Jamieson, P. D. and Martre, P. 2007. Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study. European Journal of Agronomy. 26, pp. 283-294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.10.009
Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y. H., Conrad, K. F. and Semenov, M. A. 2006. Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK. Global Change Biology. 12 (9), pp. 1643-1657. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01201.x
Using weather generators in crop modelling
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2006. Using weather generators in crop modelling. International Society of Horticultural Science (ISHS).
Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martre, P., Jamieson, P. D., Semenov, M. A., Zyskowski, R. F., Porter, J. R. and Triboi, E. 2006. Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 25, pp. 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.04.007
Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Richter, G. M., Qi, A., Semenov, M. A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations. Soil Use and Management. 22 (1), pp. 39-47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-2743.2006.00018.x
Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Potting, R. P. J., Semenov, M. A. and Glen, D. M. 2006. Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics. Ecological Modelling. 190, pp. 336-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.04.019
Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Sylvester-Bradley, R., Semenov, M. A., Lawless, C., Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Foulkes, M. J. 2005. Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909.
Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 135 (1-4), pp. 302-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.01.002
Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002)
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Hanley, N., Aftab, A., Black, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002).
Crop responses to climatic variation
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Crop responses to climatic variation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 360 (1463), pp. 2021-2035. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1752
The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models. Cambridge University Press (CUP).
Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Bohan, D. A. and Glen, D. M. 2005. Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241.
Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Richter, G. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks. Agricultural Systems. 84 (1), pp. 77-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2004.06.011
A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2005. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. European Journal of Agronomy. 22, pp. 19-32.
Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics. Cambridge University Press (CUP).
Modelling protein content and composition in wheat
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Jamieson, P. D., Martre, P., Samoil, V., Porter, J. R., Zyskowski, R., Semenov, M. A. and Triboi, E. 2004. Modelling protein content and composition in wheat. Fischer, T. (ed.) New Directions for a Diverse Planet: Proceedings 4th International Crop Science Congress, Brisbane, 26-September-1 October 2002 . Regional Institute, Gosford. pp. www.cropscience.org.au
Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004)
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Welham, S. J. 2004. Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004). Climate Research. 28 (1), pp. 83-84. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028083
Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Powers, S. J., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 103, pp. 519-525.
Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Hopkins, A., Richter, G. M., Coleman, K., Jaggard, K. W., Glendining, M. J., Semenov, M. A., Qi, A., Audsley, E., Hossell, J. E., Clemence, B., Fuller, M., Winter, D. M. and Butler, A. 2004. Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes.
A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).
Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2003. Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, Chicago, 12-16 July 2003. pp. 260-263
Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Brown, V. K. and Gussin, E. 2003. Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. BCPC Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 171-176
A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Parker, S., Semenov, M. A. and Lawless, C. 2003. A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906.
Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2003. Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology 2003 . pp. 1181-1188
A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).
Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Semenov, M. A. and Terkel, D. A. 2003. Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Evolutionary Computation. 11, pp. 363-379.
Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Potting, R. P. J. and Glen, D. M. 2003. Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. British Crop Protection Council Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 177-182
Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Richter, G. M., Jaggard, K. W., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK. Knowledge transfer initiative on impacts and adaptation to climate change in agriculture. Project and workshop report . pp. 10-12
The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Abstracts 7th European Society of Agronomy Congress, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .
Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ewert, E., Rodriguez, D., Jamieson, P., Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Goudriaan, J., Porter, J. R., Kimball, B. A., Pinter, P. J. Jr, Manderscheid, R., Weigel, H-J., Fangmeier, A., Fereres, E. and Villalobos, F. 2002. Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 93 (1-3), pp. 249-266. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00352-8
Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2002. Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, GECCO 2002, New York, 9-13 July 2002 . pp. 210-214
Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change
G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications
Richter, G. M., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change. ARIA newsletter. Issue 6.
Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England?
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2002. Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England? Abstracts 7th Congress of the European Society for Agronomy, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .
Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Glen, D. M., Wiltshire, C. W. and Brain, P. 2001. Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables. Abstracts IMA Conference on Mathematical Modelling and Statistical Analysis of Infectious Diseases, Cardiff, 11-13 September 2001 .
Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Semenov, M. A. 2001. Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Proceedings Genetics and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2001), San Francisco, 8-11 July 2001 . pp. 372-376
Modelling a slug population using differential equations
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Modelling a slug population using differential equations. Abstracts Meeting of the OILB/IOBC Working Group on Integrated Control of Soil Pests, Subgroup on Integrated Control of Slugs and Snails, Lyons, 8-9 March 2001 .
Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2001. Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001. pp. 165-166
Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Semenov, M. A., Brooks, R. J. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001.
Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496
D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496. IACR Rothamsted Experimental Station, Harpenden.
Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Jamieson, P. D., Stone, P. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 111-126
The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat
C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies
Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 103-110
Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Brooks, R. J., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction. European Journal of Agronomy. 14 (1), pp. 43-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(00)00089-7
Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jamieson, P. D., Berntsen, J., Ewert, F., Kimball, B. A., Olesen, J. E., Pinter, P. J. Jr., Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 82, pp. 27-37.
Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jamieson, P. D. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat. Field Crops Research. 68, pp. 21-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4290(00)00103-9
Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Porter, J. R., Leigh, R. A., Semenov, M. A. and Miglietta, F. 1995. Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 4 (4), pp. 419-429. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(14)80094-4
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