Quantifying inherent predictability and spatial synchrony in the aphid vector Myzus persicae - field-scale patterns of abundance and regional forecasting error in the UK
N - Datasets
Bell, J. R. 2022. Quantifying inherent predictability and spatial synchrony in the aphid vector Myzus persicae - field-scale patterns of abundance and regional forecasting error in the UK. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.98qvq
| Authors | Bell, J. R. |
|---|---|
| Abstract | Data set contains daily Myzus counts recorded at Brooms Barn for the permutation entropy analysis as detailed in section 2.4.4 of the published paper in Pest Management Science. p. 7292. |
| Year of Publication | 2022 |
| Publisher | Rothamsted Research |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.98qvq |
| Keywords | Myzus persicae |
| Publication dates | |
| Online | 09 Dec 2022 |
| Publication process dates | |
| Accepted | 09 Dec 2022 |
| Funder | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council |
| Related Output | |
| Is cited by | https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.7292 |
| Funder project or code | The Rothamsted Insect Survey - National Capability [2017-2022] |
| Data files | Copyright license CC BY 4.0 Data type Spreadsheet Contents Data File Access Level Open |
| Geographic location | East Anglia. Geographic region bounding box (52.259680, 0.570060) to (, ) |
| Data collection method | 12.2 m Suction traps |
| Data preparation and processing activities | All data were prepared by Suzanne Clark, Rothamsted. |
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Quantifying inherent predictability and spatial synchrony in the aphid vector Myzus persicae - field-scale patterns of abundance and regional forecasting error in the UK
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Likelihood of Extreme Early Flight of Myzus persicae (Hemiptera: Aphididae) Across the UK
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A comprehensive sugar beet virus yellows model
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Smart Armyworm Surveillance: Project Technical Report
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UK aphid migration percentiles, covariates and model outputs from the Rothamsted Insect Survey's 12.2 m suction-trap network: 1965 to 2018
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Rothamsted Insect Survey, Moth and Aphid catch abundance data
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A diagnostic real-time PCR assay for the rapid identification of the tomato-potato psyllid, Bactericera cockerelli (Šulc, 1909) and development of a psyllid barcoding database
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Are insects declining and at what rate? An analysis of standardised, systematic catches of aphid and moth abundances across Great Britain
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Population genetic structure and predominance of cyclical parthenogenesis in the bird cherry–oat aphid Rhopalosiphum padi in England
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Moth biomass has fluctuated over 50 years in Britain but lacks a clear trend
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Climate-induced phenology shifts linked to range expansions in species with multiple reproductive cycles per year
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Genetic structure at national and regional scale in a long-distance dispersing pest organism, the bird cherry–oat aphid Rhopalosiphum padi
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Morales-Hojas, R., Gonzalez-Uriarte, A., Alvira-Iraizoz, F., Jenkins, T., Alderson, L. J., Kruger, T., Hall, M. J., Greenslade, A. F. C., Shortall, C. R. and Bell, J. R. 2019. Genetic structure at national and regional scale in a long-distance dispersing pest organism, the bird cherry–oat aphid Rhopalosiphum padi. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/829986
Spatial and habitat variation in aphid, butterfly, moth and bird phenologies over the last half century
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Botham, M. S., Henrys, P. A., Leech, D. I., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Shortall, C. R., Brereton, T. M., Pickup, J. and Thackeray, S. J. 2019. Spatial and habitat variation in aphid, butterfly, moth and bird phenologies over the last half century. Global Change Biology. 25 (6), pp. 1982-1994. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14592
Insect population trends and the IUCN Red List process
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Fox, R., Harrower, C.A., Bell, J. R., Shortall, C. R., Middlebrook, I. and Wilson, R.J. 2018. Insect population trends and the IUCN Red List process. Journal of Insect Conservation. pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10841-018-0117-1
Rothamsted Long-term experiments : guide to the classical and other long-term experiments, datasets and sample archive
E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others
Macdonald, A. J., Poulton, P. R., Clark, I. M., Scott, T., Glendining, M. J., Perryman, S. A. M., Storkey, J., Bell, J. R., Shield, I. F., Mcmillan, V. E. and Hawkins, J. M. B. Macdonald, A. J. (ed.) 2018. Rothamsted Long-term experiments : guide to the classical and other long-term experiments, datasets and sample archive. Rothamsted Research, Harpenden.
Climate Change And Insect Pests: Monitoring And Surveillance Of The Migratory Phase For Smart Crop Protection
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R. 2018. Climate Change And Insect Pests: Monitoring And Surveillance Of The Migratory Phase For Smart Crop Protection. Phytoma. 300 (June), pp. 84-86.
Dynamic selection of environmental variables to improve the prediction of aphid phenology: A machine learning approach
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Holloway, P., Kudenko, D. and Bell, J. R. 2018. Dynamic selection of environmental variables to improve the prediction of aphid phenology: A machine learning approach. Ecological Indicators. 88 (May), pp. 512-521. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.10.032
The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Franks, S. E., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Atkinson, S., Bell, J. R., Botham, M. S., Brereton, T. M., Harrington, R. and Leech, D. I. 2018. The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 957-971. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13960
Aphid population dynamics: from fields to landscapes
B - Book chapters etc edited externally
Bell, J. R., Pierre, J-S. and Dedryver, C. A. 2017. Aphid population dynamics: from fields to landscapes. in: Van Emden, H. F. and Harrington, R. (ed.) In: Aphids as crop pests, 2nd edition (Chapter 13) CABI International, Wallingford, Oxon (CABI). pp. 280-302
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A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Elston, D. A., Brewer, M. J., Martay, B., Johnston, A., Henrys, P. A., Bell, J. R., Harrington, R., Monteith, D. T., Brereton, T. M., Boughey, K. L. and Pearce-Higgins, J. W. 2017. A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data. Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics. 22 (4), pp. 427-445. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-017-0287-4
First report of 'Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum' in the United Kingdom in the psyllid Trioza anthrisci
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Sjolund, M. J., Clark, M., Carnegie, M., Greenslade, A. F. C., Ouvrard, D., Highet, F., Sigvald, J. R., Bell, J. R., Arnsdorf, Y. M., Cairns, R. and Kenyon, M. 2017. First report of 'Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum' in the United Kingdom in the psyllid Trioza anthrisci. New Disease Reports. 36, p. 4. https://doi.org/10.5197/j.2044-0588.2017.036.004
Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Thackeray, S. J., Henrys, P. A., Hemming, D., Bell, J. R., Botham, M. S., Burthe, S., Helaouet, P., Johns, D. G., Jones, I. D., Leech, D. I., Mackay, E. B., Massimino, D., Atkinson, S., Bacon, P. J., Brereton, T. M., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T. H., Duck, C., Edwards, M., Elliott, J. M., Hall, S. J. G., Harrington, R., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Hoye, T. T., Kruuk, L. E. B., Pemberton, J. M., Sparks, T. H., Thompson, P. M., White, I., Winfield, I. J. and Wanless, S. 2016. Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels. Nature. 535 (7611), pp. 241-5. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature18608
The unique contribution of Rothamsted to ecological research at large temporal scales
B - Book chapters etc edited externally
Storkey, J., Macdonald, A. J., Bell, J. R., Clark, I. M., Gregory, A. S., Hawkins, N. J., Hirsch, P. R., Todman, L. C. and Whitmore, A. P. 2016. The unique contribution of Rothamsted to ecological research at large temporal scales. in: Dumbrell, A. J., Kordas, R. L. and Woodward, G. (ed.) Advances in Ecological Research 55: Large-Scale Ecology: Model Systems to Global Perspectives Academic Press, Oxford. pp. 3-42
Quantifying interspecific variation in dispersal ability of noctuid moths using an advanced tethered flight technique
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jones, H. B. C., Lim, K. S., Bell, J. R., Hill, J. K. and Chapman, J. W. 2016. Quantifying interspecific variation in dispersal ability of noctuid moths using an advanced tethered flight technique. Ecology and Evolution. 6 (1), pp. 181-190. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1861
Changes in large-scale climate alter spatial synchrony of aphid pests
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Sheppard, L. W., Bell, J. R., Harrington, R. and Reuman, D. C. 2016. Changes in large-scale climate alter spatial synchrony of aphid pests. Nature Climate Change. 6, pp. 610-613. https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE2881
Impacts of climate change on national biodiversity population trends
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martay, B., Dennis, E. B., Brereton, T. M., Bell, J. R., Crick, H. Q. P., Morecroft, M. D., Roy, D. B. and Pearce-Higgins, J. W. 2016. Impacts of climate change on national biodiversity population trends. Ecography. 40 (10), p. 1139–1151. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.02411
Organic farming: biodiversity impacts can depend on dispersal characteristics and landscape context
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Feber, R., E., Johnson, PJ., Bell, J. R., Chamberlain, D. E., Firbank, L. G., Fuller, R. J., Manley, W., Mathews, F., Norton, L. R., Townsend, M. and Macdonald, D. W. 2015. Organic farming: biodiversity impacts can depend on dispersal characteristics and landscape context. PLOS ONE. 10 (8), p. e0135921. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0135921
The effect of farmers' decisions on pest control with Bt crops: a billion dollar game of strategy
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Milne, A. E., Bell, J. R., Hutchison, W. D., Van Den Bosch, F., Mitchell, P. D., Crowder, D., Parnell, S. and Whitmore, A. P. 2015. The effect of farmers' decisions on pest control with Bt crops: a billion dollar game of strategy. PLOS Computational Biology. 11, p. e1004483. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004483
Large-scale migration synchrony between parasitoids and their host
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Perez-Rodriguez, J., Shortall, C. R. and Bell, J. R. 2015. Large-scale migration synchrony between parasitoids and their host. Ecological Entomology. 40 (5), pp. 654-659. https://doi.org/10.1111/een.12241
Long-term phenological trends, species accumulation rates, aphid traits and climate: five decades of change in migrating aphids
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Alderson, L. J., Izera, D., Kruger, T., Parker, S. J., Pickup, J., Shortall, C. R., Taylor, M. S., Verrier, P. J. and Harrington, R. 2015. Long-term phenological trends, species accumulation rates, aphid traits and climate: five decades of change in migrating aphids. Journal of Animal Ecology. 84 (1), pp. 21-34. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12282
Population metrics for migrating aphids
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Bell, J. R., Harrington, R., Taylor, M. S. and Verrier, P. J. 2013. Population metrics for migrating aphids. Nordic Association of Agricultural Scientists.
Predicting insect migration density and speed in the daytime convective boundary layer
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Aralimarad, P., Lim, K. S. and Chapman, J. W. 2013. Predicting insect migration density and speed in the daytime convective boundary layer. PLOS ONE. 8, p. e54202. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0054202
Intraguild predation in winter wheat: prey choice by a common epigeal carabid consuming spiders
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Davey, J. S., Vaughan, I. P., King, R. A., Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A., Bruford, M. W., Holland, J. M. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2013. Intraguild predation in winter wheat: prey choice by a common epigeal carabid consuming spiders. Journal of Applied Ecology. 50 (1), pp. 271-279. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12008
Generalist predators disrupt parasitoid aphid control by direct and coincidental intraguild predation
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Traugott, M., Bell, J. R., Raso, L., Sint, D. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2012. Generalist predators disrupt parasitoid aphid control by direct and coincidental intraguild predation. Bulletin of Entomological Research. 102 (2), pp. 239-247. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007485311000551
Climatic change is advancing the phenology of moth species in Ireland
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
O'Neill, B. F., Bond, K., Tyner, A., Sheppard, R., Bryant, T., Chapman, J. W., Bell, J. R. and Donnelly, A. 2012. Climatic change is advancing the phenology of moth species in Ireland. Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata. 143 (1), pp. 74-88. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1570-7458.2012.01234.x
Seasonal migration to high latitudes results in major reproductive benefits in an insect
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Chapman, J. W., Bell, J. R., Burgin, L. E., Reynolds, D. R., Pettersson, L. B., Hill, J. K., Bonsall, M. B. and Thomas, J. A. 2012. Seasonal migration to high latitudes results in major reproductive benefits in an insect. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 109 (37), pp. 14924-14929. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1207255109
Putting the brakes on a cycle: bottom-up effects damp cycle amplitude
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Burkness, E. C., Milne, A. E., Onstad, D. W., Abrahamson, M., Hamilton, K. L. and Hutchison, W. D. 2012. Putting the brakes on a cycle: bottom-up effects damp cycle amplitude. Ecology Letters. 15 (4), pp. 310-318. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01739.x
The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Taylor, M. S., Shortall, C. R., Welham, S. J. and Harrington, R. 2012. The trait and host plant ecology of aphids and their distribution and abundance in the United Kingdom. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 21 (4), pp. 405-415. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00685.x
Suction sampling as a significant source of error in molecular analysis of predator diets
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
King, R. A., Davey, J. S., Bell, J. R., Read, D. S., Bohan, D. A. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2011. Suction sampling as a significant source of error in molecular analysis of predator diets. Bulletin of Entomological Research. 102, pp. 261-266. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007485311000575
Multiplex reactions for the molecular detection of predation on pest and nonpest invertebrates in agroecosystems
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
King, R. A., Moreno-Ripoll, R., Agusti, N., Shayler, S. P., Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2011. Multiplex reactions for the molecular detection of predation on pest and nonpest invertebrates in agroecosystems. Molecular Ecology Resources. 11 (2), pp. 370-373. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-0998.2010.02913.x
Trophic level asynchrony in rates of phenological change for marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Thackeray, S. J., Sparks, T. H., Frederiksen, M., Burthes, S., Bacon, P. J., Bell, J. R., Botham, M. C., Brereton, T. M., Bright, P. W., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T., Dawson, A., Edwards, M., Elliott, J. M., Harrington, R., Johns, D., Jones, I. D., Jones, J. T., Leech, D. I., Roy, D. B., Scott, W. A., Smith, M., Smithers, R. J., Winfield, I. J. and Wanless, S. 2010. Trophic level asynchrony in rates of phenological change for marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments. Global Change Biology. 16 (12), pp. 3304-3313. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02165.x
Prey choice by carabid beetles feeding on an earthworm community analysed using species- and lineage-specific PCR primers
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
King, A. R., Vaughan, I. P., Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2010. Prey choice by carabid beetles feeding on an earthworm community analysed using species- and lineage-specific PCR primers. Molecular Ecology. 19 (8), pp. 1721-1732. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2010.04602.x
Spatial co-occurrence networks predict the feeding histories of polyphagous arthropod predators at field scales
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., King, R. A., Bohan, D. A. and Wymondson, W. O. C. 2010. Spatial co-occurrence networks predict the feeding histories of polyphagous arthropod predators at field scales. Ecography. 33 (1), pp. 64-72. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06046.x
BICCO-Net: the Biodiversity Impacts of Climate Change Observation Network
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Chamberlain, D., Eglington, S., Haysom, K., Roy, D., Willis, S., Broome, A., Dines, T. and Bell, J. R. 2009. BICCO-Net: the Biodiversity Impacts of Climate Change Observation Network. Abstracts ZSL Biodiversity Monitoring and Conservation Symposium, London, 18-19 June 2009 .
The GAMes aphids play
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Bell, J. R., Harrington, R., Welham, S. J., Clark, S. J. and Pickup, J. 2009. The GAMes aphids play. Abstracts 8th International Symposium on Aphids, Catania, 8-12 June 2009 .
Endoparasitism in cereal aphids: molecular analysis of a whole parasitoid community
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Traugott, M., Bell, J. R., Broad, G. R., Powell, W., Van Veen, F. J. F., Vollhardt, I. M. G. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2008. Endoparasitism in cereal aphids: molecular analysis of a whole parasitoid community. Molecular Ecology. 17 (17), pp. 3928-3938. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2008.03878.x
Do functional traits improve prediction of predation rates for a disparate group of aphid predators?
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Mead, A., Skirvin, D. J., Sunderland, K. D., Fenlon, J. S. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2008. Do functional traits improve prediction of predation rates for a disparate group of aphid predators? Bulletin of Entomological Research. 98, pp. 587-597. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007485308005919
Beneficial links for the control of aphids: the effects of compost applications on predators and prey
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Traugott, M., Sunderland, K. D., Skirvin, D. J., Mead, A., Kravar-Garde, L., Reynolds, K., Fenlon, J. S. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2008. Beneficial links for the control of aphids: the effects of compost applications on predators and prey. Journal of Applied Ecology. 45 (4), pp. 1266-1273. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01479.x
Weed and invertebrate community compositions in arable farmland
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Smith, V., Bohan, D. A., Clark, S. J., Haughton, A. J., Bell, J. R. and Heard, M. S. 2008. Weed and invertebrate community compositions in arable farmland. Arthropod-Plant Interactions. 2, pp. 21-30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11829-007-9027-y
Using spatial co-occurrence networks to examine the effects of prey biomass and density on the distribution of polyphagous predators
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
Bell, J. R., King, R. A., Bohan, D. A. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2007. Using spatial co-occurrence networks to examine the effects of prey biomass and density on the distribution of polyphagous predators. Theoretical Population Ecology and Practical Biocontrol - Bridging the Gap, Studley Castle, 5-6 December 2007 .
Molecular detection of predation on earthworms
C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences
King, R. A., Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A. and Symondson, W. O. C. 2007. Molecular detection of predation on earthworms. Abstracts UK and Irish Earthworm Researchers' Meeting, London, 28 September 2007 .
Ballooning dispersal in arthropod taxa with convergent behaviours: dynamic properties of ballooning silk in turbulent flows
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Reynolds, A. M., Bohan, D. A. and Bell, J. R. 2006. Ballooning dispersal in arthropod taxa with convergent behaviours: dynamic properties of ballooning silk in turbulent flows. Biology Letters. 2, pp. 371-373. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2006.0486
Can simple experimental electronics simulate the dispersal phase of spider ballooners?
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A., Le Fevre, R. and Weyman, G. S. 2005. Can simple experimental electronics simulate the dispersal phase of spider ballooners? Journal Of Arachnology. 33, pp. 523-532.
Ballooning dispersal using silk: world fauna, phylogenies, genetics and models
A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Bohan, D. A., Shaw, E. M. and Weyman, G. S. 2005. Ballooning dispersal using silk: world fauna, phylogenies, genetics and models. Bulletin of Entomological Research. 95 (2), pp. 69-114. https://doi.org/10.1079/BER2004350
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