Global Change Biology

Journal

TitleGlobal Change Biology
ISSN1354-1013
PublisherWiley

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Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Porter, J. R., Challinor, A. J., Muller, C., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovič, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M, Rezaei, E. E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, A., Montesino San Martin, M., Kumar, S.N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Paluoso, T., Priesack, E., Riposhe, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhue, Y. and Asseng, S. 2019. Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming. Global Change Biology. 25 (4), pp. 1428-1444.

Spatial and habitat variation in aphid, butterfly, moth and bird phenologies over the last half century

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, J. R., Botham, M. S., Henrys, P. A., Leech, D. I., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Shortall, C. R., Brereton, T. M., Pickup, J. and Thackeray, S. J. 2019. Spatial and habitat variation in aphid, butterfly, moth and bird phenologies over the last half century. Global Change Biology. 25 (6), pp. 1982-1994.

Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rotter, R. P., O'Leary, G. J., Fitzgerald, G. J., Girousse, C., Motzo, R., Giunta, F., Babar, M. A., Reynolds, M. P., Kheir, A. M. S., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K, Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, D., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoggenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K-C., Klein, C., Koehler, A-K., Liu, B., Minoli, S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Porter, J., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Ewert, F. 2019. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Global Change Biology. 25 (1), pp. 155-173.

Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wallach, D., Martre, P., Liu, B., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Thorburn, P. J., Van Ittersum, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Fitzgerald, G. J., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Girousse, C., Hoogenboom, G., Horan, H., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, S., Muller,C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Wolf, J. and Zhang, Z 2018. Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions. Global Change Biology. 24 (11), pp. 5072-5083.

Chinese cropping systems are a net source of greenhouse gases despite soil carbon sequestration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Gao, B., Huang, T., Ju, X., Gu, B., Huang, W., Xu, L., Rees, R., Powlson, D. S., Smith, P. and Cui, S. 2018. Chinese cropping systems are a net source of greenhouse gases despite soil carbon sequestration. Global Change Biology. 24 (12), pp. 5590-5606.

Enhanced-efficiency fertilizers are not a panacea for resolving the nitrogen problem

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Li, T., Zhang, W., Yin, J., Chadwick, D. R., Norse, D., Lu, Y., Liu, X., Chen, X., Zhang, F., Powlson, D. S. and Dou, Z. 2018. Enhanced-efficiency fertilizers are not a panacea for resolving the nitrogen problem. Global Change Biology. 24 (2), pp. e511-e521.

Ongoing changes in migration phenology and winter residency at Bracken Bat Cave

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stepanian, P. M. and Wainwright, C. E. 2018. Ongoing changes in migration phenology and winter residency at Bracken Bat Cave. Global Change Biology. 24 (7), pp. 3266-3275.

Chinese cropping systems are a net source of greenhouse gases despite soil carbon sequestration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Gao, B., Huang, T., Ju, X., Gu, B., Huang, W., Xu, L., Rees, R. M., Powlson, D. S., Smith, P. and Cui, S. 2018. Chinese cropping systems are a net source of greenhouse gases despite soil carbon sequestration. Global Change Biology. 24 (12), pp. 5590-5606.

Global environmental costs of China's thirst for milk

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bai, Z., Lee, M. R. F., Ma, L., Ledgard, S., Oenema. O., Velthof, G. L., Ma, W., Guo, M., Zhao, Z., Wei, S., Li, S., Liu, X., Havlik, P., Luo, J., Hu, C. and Zhang, F. 2018. Global environmental costs of China's thirst for milk. Global Change Biology. 24 (5), pp. 2198-2211.

Assessing uncertainties in crop and pasture ensemble model simulations of productivity and N2O emissions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ehrhardt, F., Soussana, J-F., Bellocchi, G., Grace, P., McAuliffe, R., Recous, S., Sandor, R., Smith, P., Snow, V., De Antoni Migliorati, M., Basso, B., Bhatia, A., Brilli, L., Doltra, J., Dorich, C. D., Doro, L., Fitton, N., Giacomini, S., Grant, B., Harrison, M., Jones, S., Kirschbaum, M., Klumpp, K., Laville, P., leonard, J., Liebig, M., Lieffering, M., Martin, R., Massad, R. S., Meier, E., Merbold, L., Moore, A., Myrgiotis, V., Newton, P., Pattey, E., Rolinski, S., Sharp, J., Smith, W., Wu, L. and Zhang, Q. 2018. Assessing uncertainties in crop and pasture ensemble model simulations of productivity and N2O emissions. Global Change Biology. 24 (2), p. e603–e616.

Major limitations to achieving 4 per 1000 increases in soil organic carbon stock in temperate regions: evidence from long-term experiments at Rothamsted Research, UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Poulton, P. R., Johnston, A. E., Macdonald, A. J., White, R. P. and Powlson, D. S. 2018. Major limitations to achieving 4 per 1000 increases in soil organic carbon stock in temperate regions: evidence from long-term experiments at Rothamsted Research, UK. Global Change Biology. 24 (6), pp. 2563-2584.

Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Tao, F., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Specka, X.., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambrevill, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D. and Schulman, A.H. 2018. Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 1291-1307.

The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Franks, S. E., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Atkinson, S., Bell, J. R., Botham, M. S., Brereton, T. M., Harrington, R. and Leech, D. I. 2018. The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 957-971.

Higher yields and lower methane emissions with new rice cultivars

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jiang, Y., Van Groenigen, K. J., Huang, S., Hungate, B. A., Van Kessel, C., Hu, S., Zhang, J., Wu, L., Yan, X., Wang, L., Chen, J., Hang, X., Zhang, Y., Horwath, W. R., Ye, R., Linquist, B. A., Song, Z., Zheng, C., Deng, A. and Zhang, W. 2017. Higher yields and lower methane emissions with new rice cultivars. Global Change Biology. 23 (11), pp. 4728-4738.

Legacy effects of grassland management on soil carbon to depth

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ward, S. E., Smart, S. M., Quirk, H., Tallowin, J. R. B., Mortimer, S. R., Shiel, R. S., Wilby, A. and Bardgett, R. D. 2016. Legacy effects of grassland management on soil carbon to depth. Global Change Biology. 22 (8), pp. 2929-2938.

Agronomic improvements can make future cereal systems in South Asia far more productive and result in a lower environmental footprint

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ladha, J. K., Rao, A. N., Raman, A. K., Padre, A. T., Dobermann, A., Gathala, M., Kumar, V., Saharawat, Y., Sharma, S., Piepho, H. P., Alam, M. M., Liak, R., Rajendran, R., Reddy, C. K., Parsad, R., Sharma, P. C., Singh, S. S., Saha, A. and Noor, S. 2016. Agronomic improvements can make future cereal systems in South Asia far more productive and result in a lower environmental footprint. Global Change Biology. 22 (3), pp. 1054-1074.

Sediment-phosphorus dynamics can shift aquatic ecology and cause downstream legacy effects after wildfire in large river systems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Emelko, M. B., Stone, M., Silins, U., Allin, D., Collins, A. L., Williams, C. H. S., Martens, A. M. and Bladon, K. D. 2016. Sediment-phosphorus dynamics can shift aquatic ecology and cause downstream legacy effects after wildfire in large river systems. Global Change Biology. 22 (3), pp. 1168-1184.

Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Martre, P., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one. Global Change Biology. 21 (2), pp. 911-925.

Baseline map of organic carbon in Australian soil to support national carbon accounting and monitoring under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Viscarra Rossell, R. A., Webster, R., Bui, E. N. and Baldock, J. A. 2014. Baseline map of organic carbon in Australian soil to support national carbon accounting and monitoring under climate change. Global Change Biology. 20 (9), pp. 2953-2970.

Towards and integrated global framework to assess the impacts of land use and management change on soil carbon: current capability and future vision

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Smith, P., Davies, C. A., Ogle, S., Zanchi, G., Bellarby, J., Bird, N., Boddey, R. M., Mcnamara, N. P., Powlson, D. S., Cowie, A., Van Noordwijk, M., Davis, S. C., Richter, D. De B., Kryzanowski, L., Van Wijk, M. T., Stuart, J., Kirton, A., Eggar, D., Newton-Cross, G., Adhya, T. K. and Braimoh, A. K. 2012. Towards and integrated global framework to assess the impacts of land use and management change on soil carbon: current capability and future vision. Global Change Biology. 18 (7), pp. 2089-2101.

A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Stratonovitch, P., Storkey, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed. Global Change Biology. 18 (6), pp. 2071-2080.

Nutrient supply enhanced the increase in intrinsic water-use efficiency of a temperate seminatural grassland in the last century

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kohler, I. H., Macdonald, A. J. and Schnyder, H. 2012. Nutrient supply enhanced the increase in intrinsic water-use efficiency of a temperate seminatural grassland in the last century. Global Change Biology. 18 (11), pp. 3367-3376.

Soil organic matter turnover is governed by accessibility not recalcitrance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Dungait, J. A. J., Hopkins, D. W., Gregory, A. S. and Whitmore, A. P. 2012. Soil organic matter turnover is governed by accessibility not recalcitrance. Global Change Biology. 18 (6), pp. 1781-1796.

Corrigendum: Increases in soil organic carbon sequestration can reduce the global warming potential of long-term liming to permanent grassland

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Fornara, D. A., Steinbeiss, S., Mcnamara, N. P., Gleixner, G., Oakley, S., Poulton, P. R., Macdonald, A. J. and Bardgett, R. D. 2011. Corrigendum: Increases in soil organic carbon sequestration can reduce the global warming potential of long-term liming to permanent grassland. Global Change Biology. 17 (8), p. 2762.

Increases in soil organic carbon sequestration can reduce the global warming potential of long-term liming to permanent grassland

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Fornara, D. A., Steinbeiss, S., Mcnamara, N. P., Gleixner, G., Oakley, S., Poulton, P. R., Macdonald, A. J. and Bardgett, R. D. 2011. Increases in soil organic carbon sequestration can reduce the global warming potential of long-term liming to permanent grassland. Global Change Biology. 17 (5), pp. 1925-1934.

Trophic level asynchrony in rates of phenological change for marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Thackeray, S. J., Sparks, T. H., Frederiksen, M., Burthes, S., Bacon, P. J., Bell, J. R., Botham, M. C., Brereton, T. M., Bright, P. W., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T., Dawson, A., Edwards, M., Elliott, J. M., Harrington, R., Johns, D., Jones, I. D., Jones, J. T., Leech, D. I., Roy, D. B., Scott, W. A., Smith, M., Smithers, R. J., Winfield, I. J. and Wanless, S. 2010. Trophic level asynchrony in rates of phenological change for marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments. Global Change Biology. 16 (12), pp. 3304-3313.

Changes in soil pH across England and Wales in response to decreased acid deposition

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kirk, G. J. D., Bellamy, P. H. and Lark, R. M. 2010. Changes in soil pH across England and Wales in response to decreased acid deposition. Global Change Biology. 16 (11), pp. 3111-3119.

Intrinsic water-use efficiency of temperate seminatural grassland has increased since 1857: an analysis of carbon isotope discrimination of herbage from the Park Grass Experiment

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kohler, I. H., Poulton, P. R., Auerswald, K. and Schnyder, H. 2010. Intrinsic water-use efficiency of temperate seminatural grassland has increased since 1857: an analysis of carbon isotope discrimination of herbage from the Park Grass Experiment. Global Change Biology. 16 (5), pp. 1531-1541.

Soil organic carbon contents in long-term experimental grassland plots in the UK (Palace Leas and Park Grass) have not changed consistently in recent decades

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Hopkins, D. W., Waite, I. S., Mcnichol, J. W., Poulton, P. R., Macdonald, A. J. and O'donnell, A. G. 2009. Soil organic carbon contents in long-term experimental grassland plots in the UK (Palace Leas and Park Grass) have not changed consistently in recent decades. Global Change Biology. 15 (7), pp. 1739-1754.

Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Harrington, R., Clark, S. J., Welham, S. J., Verrier, P. J., Denholm, C. H., Hulle, M., Maurice, D., Rounsevell, M. D., Cocu, N. and European Union Examine Consortium 2007. Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids. Global Change Biology. 13 (8), pp. 1550-1564.

Development of a stable isotope index to assess decadal-scale vegetation change and application to woodlands of the Burdekin catchment, Australia

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Krull, E., Bray, S., Harms, B., Baxter, N., Bol, R. and Farquhar, G. 2007. Development of a stable isotope index to assess decadal-scale vegetation change and application to woodlands of the Burdekin catchment, Australia. Global Change Biology. 13 (7), pp. 1455-1468.

Estimating soil carbon sequestration under elevated CO2 by combining carbon isotope labelling with soil carbon cycle modelling

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Niklaus, P. A. and Falloon, P. 2006. Estimating soil carbon sequestration under elevated CO2 by combining carbon isotope labelling with soil carbon cycle modelling. Global Change Biology. 12 (10), pp. 1909-1921.

Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y. H., Conrad, K. F. and Semenov, M. A. 2006. Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK. Global Change Biology. 12 (9), pp. 1643-1657.

The fate of 15N added to high Arctic tundra to mimic increased inputs of atmospheric nitrogen released from a melting snowpack

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Tye, A. M., Young, S. D., Crout, N. M. J., West, H. M., Stapleton, L. M., Poulton, P. R. and Laybourn-Parry, J. 2005. The fate of 15N added to high Arctic tundra to mimic increased inputs of atmospheric nitrogen released from a melting snowpack. Global Change Biology. 11 (10), pp. 1640-1654.

Global climate change and soil carbon stocks; predictions from two contrasting models for the turnover of organic carbon in soil

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jones, C., Mcconnell, C., Coleman, K., Cox, P., Falloon, P., Jenkinson, D. S. and Powlson, D. S. 2005. Global climate change and soil carbon stocks; predictions from two contrasting models for the turnover of organic carbon in soil. Global Change Biology. 11 (1), pp. 154-166.

Aphid individual performance may not predict population responses to elevated CO2 or O3

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Awmack, C. S., Harrington, R. and Lindroth, R. L. 2004. Aphid individual performance may not predict population responses to elevated CO2 or O3. Global Change Biology. 10 (8), pp. 1414-1423.

Accumulation of carbon and nitrogen by old arable land reverting to woodland

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Poulton, P. R., Pye, E., Hargreaves, P. R. and Jenkinson, D. S. 2003. Accumulation of carbon and nitrogen by old arable land reverting to woodland. Global Change Biology. 9 (6), pp. 942-955.

East Atlantic teleconnection pattern and the decline of a common arctiid moth

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Conrad, K. F., Woiwod, I. P. and Perry, J. N. 2003. East Atlantic teleconnection pattern and the decline of a common arctiid moth. Global Change Biology. 9 (2), pp. 125-130.

Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bale, J. S., Masters, G. J., Hodkinson, I. D., Awmack, C. S., Bezemer, T. M., Brown, V. K., Butterfield, J., Buse, A., Coulson, J. C., Farrar, J., Good, J. E. G., Harrington, R., Hartley, S., Jones, T. H., Lindroth, R. L., Press, M. C., Smyrnioudis, I., Watt, A. T. and Whittaker, J. B. 2002. Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores. Global Change Biology. 8 (1), pp. 1-16.

Response of wheat canopy CO2 and water gas-exchange to soil water content under ambient and elevated CO2

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Mitchell, R. A. C., Mitchell, V. J. and Lawlor, D. W. 2001. Response of wheat canopy CO2 and water gas-exchange to soil water content under ambient and elevated CO2. Global Change Biology. 7 (5), pp. 599-611.