Using response-surface methodology to detect chaos in ecological time series

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Perry, J. N., Woiwod, I. P. and Hanski, I. 1993. Using response-surface methodology to detect chaos in ecological time series. Oikos. 68 (2), pp. 329-339.

AuthorsPerry, J. N., Woiwod, I. P. and Hanski, I.
Abstract

The performance of Turchin and Taylor's response-surface methodology in characterizing the endogenous dynamics underlying ecological time series is studied for the aphid Phyllaphis fagi. The results are shown to be sensitive to further data from the same population and extra data from a different but comparable population, to the order of the model fitted, and to the functional form of the response-surface model used. We suggest improvements to the estimation procedures and propose some alternative models. We also discuss the possibility of combining data from several populations to overcome the problem of short individual series. Phyllaphis fagi probably has stable, rather than chaotic endogenous dynamics.

KeywordsEcology
Year of Publication1993
JournalOikos
Journal citation68 (2), pp. 329-339
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)doi:10.2307/3544847
Open accessPublished as non-open access
Funder project or code102
110
211
ISSN00301299
PublisherWiley

Permalink - https://repository.rothamsted.ac.uk/item/86xw3/using-response-surface-methodology-to-detect-chaos-in-ecological-time-series

2 total views
0 total downloads
0 views this month
0 downloads this month