SAS-H: Systems Modelling

TitleSAS-H: Systems Modelling
TypeResearch cluster

Outputs

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Decisions, uncertainty and spatial information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Lark, R. M., Chagumaira, C. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Decisions, uncertainty and spatial information. Spatial Statistics. 50, p. 100619. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2022.100619

Cereal grain mineral micronutrient and soil chemistry data from GeoNutrition surveys in Ethiopia and Malawi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Kumssa, D. B., Mossa, A. W., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Botoman, E. H. B., Chagumaira, C., Chimungu, J. G., Davies, K. G., Gameda, S., Haefele, S. M., Hailu, K., Joy, E. J. M., Lark, R. M., Ligowe, I. S., McGrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Muleya, P., Munthal, M., Towett, E., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., D.Young, S., Haji, I. R., Broadley, M., Gashu, D. and Nalivata, P. C. 2022. Cereal grain mineral micronutrient and soil chemistry data from GeoNutrition surveys in Ethiopia and Malawi. Scientific Data. 9 (1), p. 443. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01500-5

An overlooked mechanism underlying the attenuated temperature response of soil heterotrophic respiration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Zhang, X., Whalley, P. A., Gregory, A. S., Whalley, W. R., Coleman, K., Neal, A. L., Mooney, S. J., Soga, K. and Illangasekare, T. H. 2022. An overlooked mechanism underlying the attenuated temperature response of soil heterotrophic respiration. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 19 (192), p. 20220276. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2022.0276

Yearly occurrence of 544 species of moths (UK 1990-2019), with trait values and putative environmental drivers.

N - Datasets
Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Shortall, C. R. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Yearly occurrence of 544 species of moths (UK 1990-2019), with trait values and putative environmental drivers. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.988z5

Modelling the Persistence of Weed Populations

B - Book chapters etc edited externally
Storkey, J., Gardarin, A., Colbach, N., Metcalfe, H. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Modelling the Persistence of Weed Populations. in: Upadhyaya, M. K., Clements, D. R. and Shrestha, A. (ed.) Persistence Strategies of Weeds Wiley. pp. Chapter 9

Soil and landscape factors influence geospatial variation in maize grain zinc concentration in Malawi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Botoman, L., Chagumaira, C., Mossa, A. W., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Bailey, E. H., Chimungu, J. G., Gameda, S., Gashu, D., Haefele, S. M., Joy, E. J. M., Kumssa, D. B., Ligowe, I. S., McGrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Munthali, M., Towett, E., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., Young, S. D., Broadley, M. R., Lark, R. M. and Nalivata, P. C. 2022. Soil and landscape factors influence geospatial variation in maize grain zinc concentration in Malawi. Scientific Reports. 12, p. 7986. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12014-w

Absence of a home‑field advantage within a short‑rotation arable cropping system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Whitmore, A. P., Mortimer, S., Shu, X. and Sizmur, T. 2022. Absence of a home‑field advantage within a short‑rotation arable cropping system. Plant and Soil. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-022-05419-z

Stakeholder interpretation of probabilistic representations of uncertainty in spatial information an example on the nutritional quality of staple

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Chagumaira, C., Nalivata, P. C., Chimungu, J. G., Gashu, D., Broadley, M., Milne, A. E. and Lark, R. M. 2022. Stakeholder interpretation of probabilistic representations of uncertainty in spatial information an example on the nutritional quality of staple. International Journal Of Geographical Information Science. 36 (12), pp. 2446-2472. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2021.2020278

Communicating Carabids: Engaging farmers to encourage uptake of Integrated Pest Management.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Jowett, K., Milne, A. E., Potts, S. G., Senapathi, D. and Storkey, J. 2022. Communicating Carabids: Engaging farmers to encourage uptake of Integrated Pest Management. Pest Management Science. 78 (6), pp. 2477-2491. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.6878

Exploring the effects of land management change on productivity, carbon and nutrient balance: Application of an Ensemble Modelling Approach to the upper River Taw observatory, UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Hassall, K. L., Coleman, K., Dixit, P., Granger, S. J., Zhang, Y., Sharp, R., Wu, L., Whitmore, A. P., Richter, G. M., Collins, A. L. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Exploring the effects of land management change on productivity, carbon and nutrient balance: Application of an Ensemble Modelling Approach to the upper River Taw observatory, UK. Science of the Total Environment. 824, p. 153824. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153824

Dynamics of bacterial blight disease in resistant and susceptible rice varieties

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Niones, J. T., Sharp, R. T., Donayre, D. K. M., Oreiro, E. G. M., Milne, A. E. and Oliva, R. 2022. Dynamics of bacterial blight disease in resistant and susceptible rice varieties. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 163, pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-021-02452-z

Comparing the effect of different sample conditions and spectral libraries on the prediction accuracy of soil properties from near- and mid-infrared spectra at the field-scale

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Breure, T. S., Prout, J. M., Haefele, S. M., Milne, A. E., Hannam, J. A., Moreno-Rojas, S. and Corstanje, R. 2022. Comparing the effect of different sample conditions and spectral libraries on the prediction accuracy of soil properties from near- and mid-infrared spectra at the field-scale. Soil & Tillage Research. 215, p. 105196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2021.105196

The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Mills, S., Furness, E., Clear, A. K., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, J. E., Milne, A. E., Sharp, R. T. and Bellamy, A. S. 2021. The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study. Lancet. 398 (Supplement 2), p. S68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02611-8

The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Mills, S., Furness, E., Clear, A. K., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, E., Milne, A. E., Sharp, R. T. and Bellamy, A. S. 2021. The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study. Lancet. 398 (1 Nov 21), pp. S68-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02611-8

Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Van Den Bosch, F., Smith, J., Wright, P., Milne, A. E., Van Den Berg, F., Kock-Appelgren, P., Foulkes, J. and Paveley, N. 2021. Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch. Plant Pathology. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.13509

High-yielding forage grass cultivars increase root biomass and soil organic carbon stocks compared with mixed-species permanent pasture in temperate soil

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Gregory, A. S., Joynes, A., Dixon, E. R., Beaumont, D. A., Murray, P. J., Humphreys, M. W., Richter, G. M. and Dungait, J. A. J. 2021. High-yielding forage grass cultivars increase root biomass and soil organic carbon stocks compared with mixed-species permanent pasture in temperate soil. European Journal of Soil Science. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.13160

Elucidating the performance of hybrid models for predicting extreme water flow events through variography and wavelet analyses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Curceac, S., Milne, A. E., Atkinson, P. M., Wu, L. and Harris, P. 2021. Elucidating the performance of hybrid models for predicting extreme water flow events through variography and wavelet analyses. Journal of Hydrology. 598 (July), p. 126442. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126442

Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Alonso Chavez, V., Milne, A. E., Van Den Bosch, F., Pita, J. and Mcquaid, C. F. 2021. Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints. Plant Molecular Biology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11103-021-01170-8

Simulating cropping sequences using earth observation data

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Sharp, R. T., Henrys, P. A., Jarvis, S. G., Whitmore, A. P., Milne, A. E., Coleman, K., Mohankumar, S. E. P. and Metcalfe, H. 2021. Simulating cropping sequences using earth observation data. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 188, p. 106330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2021.106330

Climate Factors Contribute to Grassland Net Primary Productivity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Richter, G. M. and Topp, C. F. E. 2021. Climate Factors Contribute to Grassland Net Primary Productivity. Agronomy. 11 (6), p. 1076. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11061076

A case study on the effects of data temporal resolution on the simulation of water flux extremes using a process-based model at the grassland field scale

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wu, L., Curceac, S., Atkinson, Peter, Milne, A. E. and Harris, P. 2021. A case study on the effects of data temporal resolution on the simulation of water flux extremes using a process-based model at the grassland field scale. Agricultural Water Management. 255, p. 107049. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107049

Long term simulations of macronutrients (C, N and P) in UK freshwaters

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bell, V. A., Naden, P. S., Tipping, E., Davies, H. N., Carnell, E., Davies, J. A. C., Dore, A. J., Dragosits, U., Lapworth, D. J., Muhammed, S. E., Quninton, J. N., Stuart, M., Tomilinson, S., Wang, L., Whitmore, A. P. and Wu, L. 2021. Long term simulations of macronutrients (C, N and P) in UK freshwaters. Science of the Total Environment. 776, p. 145813. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145813

The nutritional quality of cereals varies geospatially in Ethiopia and Malawi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Gashu, D., Nalivata, P. C., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Bailey, E. H., Botoman, L., Chagumaira, C., Gameda, S., Haefele, S. M., Hailu, K., Joy, E. J. M., Kalimbira, A. A., Kumssa, D. B., Lark, R. M., Ligowe, I. S., McGrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Mossa, A. W., Munthali, M., Towett, E. K., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., Young, S. D. and Broadley, M. R. 2021. The nutritional quality of cereals varies geospatially in Ethiopia and Malawi. Nature. 594, pp. 71-76. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03559-3

Defining Integrated Weed Management: A Novel Conceptual Framework for Models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Storkey, J., Helps, J., Hull, R. I., Milne, A. E. and Metcalfe, H. 2021. Defining Integrated Weed Management: A Novel Conceptual Framework for Models. Agronomy. 11 (4), p. 747. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11040747

Modelling the Interactions of Soils, Climate, and Management for Grass Production in England and Wales

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Giannitsopoulos, M. L., Burgess, P. J., Richter, G. M., Bell, M. J., Topp, C. F. E., Ingram, J. and Takahashi, T. 2021. Modelling the Interactions of Soils, Climate, and Management for Grass Production in England and Wales. Agronomy. 11 (4), p. 677. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11040677

Effects of grazing management on spatio-temporal heterogeneity of soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions of grasslands and rangelands: Monitoring, assessment and scaling-up

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wang, J., Li, Y., Bork, E. W., Richter, G. M., Chen, C., Hamid, S., Shah, H. and Mezbahuddin, S. 2021. Effects of grazing management on spatio-temporal heterogeneity of soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions of grasslands and rangelands: Monitoring, assessment and scaling-up. Journal of Cleaner Production. 288 (15 March), p. 125737. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125737

Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Putelat, T., Whitmore, A. P., Senapati, N. and Semenov, M. A. 2021. Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain. Royal Society Open Science. 8 (6), p. 201669. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201669

Relationship between soil carbon sequestration and the ability of soil aggregates to transport dissolved oxygen

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Zhang, X., Gregory, A. S., Whalley, W. R., Coleman, K., Neal, A. L., Bacq-Labreuil, A., Mooney, S. J., Crawford, J. W., Soga, K. and Illangasekare, T. H. 2021. Relationship between soil carbon sequestration and the ability of soil aggregates to transport dissolved oxygen. Geoderma. 403, p. 115370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2021.115370

The potential for soybean to diversify the production of plant-based protein in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Coleman, K., Whitmore, A. P., Hassall, K. L., Shield, I. F., Semenov, M. A., Dobermann, A., Bourhis, Y., Eskandary, A. and Milne, A. E. 2021. The potential for soybean to diversify the production of plant-based protein in the UK. Science of the Total Environment. 767, p. 144903. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144903

Artificial neural networks for monitoring network optimisation—a practical example using a national insect survey

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Milne, A. E. 2021. Artificial neural networks for monitoring network optimisation—a practical example using a national insect survey. Environmental Modelling and Software. 135, p. 104925. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104925

Predicting the growth of lettuce from soil infrared reflectance spectra: the potential for crop management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Breure, T. S., Milne, A. E., Webster, R., Haefele, S. M., Hannam, J. A., Moreno-Rojas, S. and Corstanje, R. 2021. Predicting the growth of lettuce from soil infrared reflectance spectra: the potential for crop management. Precision Agriculture. 22, p. 226–248. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11119-020-09739-x

Novel integrated agricultural land management approach provides sustainable biomass feedstocks for bioplastics and supports the UK’s ‘net-zero’ target.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Ni, Y., Richter, G. M., Mwabonje, O. N., Qi, A., Patel, M. K. and Woods, J. 2020. Novel integrated agricultural land management approach provides sustainable biomass feedstocks for bioplastics and supports the UK’s ‘net-zero’ target. Environmental Research Letters. 16 (1), p. 014023. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcf79

Geospatial and statistical interpretation of lineaments: salinity intrusion in the Kribi-Campo coastland of Cameroon

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Aretouyap, Z., Billa, L., Jones , M. and Richter, G. M. 2020. Geospatial and statistical interpretation of lineaments: salinity intrusion in the Kribi-Campo coastland of Cameroon. Advances in space research. 66 (4), pp. 844-853. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2020.05.002

Modelling spatio-temporal patterns of soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions in grazing lands: Current status and prospects

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Wang, J., Li, Y., Bork, E. W., Richter, G. M., Eum, H-I., Chen, C., Shah. S. H. H. and Mezbahiddin, S. 2020. Modelling spatio-temporal patterns of soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions in grazing lands: Current status and prospects. Science of the Total Environment. 739 (Article), p. 139092. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139092

Obtaining more benefits from crop residues as soil amendments by application as chemically heterogeneous mixtures

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Struijk, M., Whitmore, A. P., Mortimer, S. R. and Sizmur, T. 2020. Obtaining more benefits from crop residues as soil amendments by application as chemically heterogeneous mixtures. Soil. 6 (2), p. 467–481. https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-6-467-2020

Adjusting for conditional bias in process model simulations of hydrological extremes: an experiment using the North Wyke Farm Platform

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Curceac, S., Atkinson, P. M., Milne, A. E., Wu, L. and Harris, P. 2020. Adjusting for conditional bias in process model simulations of hydrological extremes: an experiment using the North Wyke Farm Platform. Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence. 3 (82). https://doi.org/10.3389/frai.2020.565859

Spatial prediction of the concentration of selenium (Se) in grain across part of Amhara Region, Ethiopia

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Milne, A. E., Gashu, D., Lark, R. M., Ameded, T., Bailey, E. H., Chagumaira, C., Dunham, S. J., Gameda, S., Kumssa, D. B., Mossa, A. W., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., Young, S. D., Ander, E. L., Joy, M. R. B. ., McGrath, S. P. and Broadley, M. 2020. Spatial prediction of the concentration of selenium (Se) in grain across part of Amhara Region, Ethiopia. Science of the Total Environment. 733, p. 139231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139231

Using Functional Traits to Model Annual Plant Community Dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Metcalfe, H., Milne, A. E., Deledalle, F. and Storkey, J. 2020. Using Functional Traits to Model Annual Plant Community Dynamics. Ecology. 101 (11), p. e03167. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3167

Spatial and Temporal Stability of Weed Patches in Cereal Fields under Direct Drilling and Harrow Tillage

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals
Izquierdo, J., Milne, A. E., Recasens, J., Royo-Esnal, A., Torra, J., Webster, R. and Baraibar, B. 2020. Spatial and Temporal Stability of Weed Patches in Cereal Fields under Direct Drilling and Harrow Tillage. Agronomy. 10 (4), p. 452. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy10040452

UK aphid migration percentiles, covariates and model outputs from the Rothamsted Insect Survey's 12.2 m suction-trap network: 1965 to 2018

N - Datasets
Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Milne, A. E. 2020. UK aphid migration percentiles, covariates and model outputs from the Rothamsted Insect Survey's 12.2 m suction-trap network: 1965 to 2018. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.979yv

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