Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Schroter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araujo, M. B., Arnell, N. W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., De La Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M. J., House, J. I., Kankaanpaa, S., Klein, R. J. T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabate, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P. and Tuck, G. 2005. Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science. 310 (5752), pp. 1333-1337.

AuthorsSchroter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araujo, M. B., Arnell, N. W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., De La Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M. J., House, J. I., Kankaanpaa, S., Klein, R. J. T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabate, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P. and Tuck, G.
Abstract

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, “surplus land” for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions. 

KeywordsRRES175; 175_Ecology; 175_Climatology
Year of Publication2005
JournalScience
Journal citation310 (5752), pp. 1333-1337
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)doi:10.1126/science.1115233
Open accessPublished as non-open access
Funder project or code511
Publication dates
Online27 Oct 2005
Publication process dates
Accepted18 Oct 2005
PublisherAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Washington DC
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
ISSN0036-8075

Permalink - https://repository.rothamsted.ac.uk/item/89835/ecosystem-service-supply-and-vulnerability-to-global-change-in-europe

Restricted files

Publisher's version

Under embargo indefinitely

3 total views
2 total downloads
0 views this month
0 downloads this month