SAS-H: Systems Modelling

Title	SAS-H: Systems Modelling
Type	Research cluster

Outputs

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An agrogeophysical modelling framework for the detection of soil compaction spatial variability due to grazing using field-scale electromagnetic induction data.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Romero-Ruiz, A., O'Leary, D., Daly, E., Tuohy, P., Milne, A. E., Coleman, K. and Whitmore, A. P. 2024. An agrogeophysical modelling framework for the detection of soil compaction spatial variability due to grazing using field-scale electromagnetic induction data. Soil Use and Management. 40 (2), p. e13039. https://doi.org/10.1111/sum.13039

Implications and impacts of aligning regional agriculture with a healthy diet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sharp, R., Bellamy, A. S., Clear, A., Finnigan, S. M., Furness, E., Meador, E., Metcalfe, H., Mills, S., Coleman, K., Whitmore, A. P. and Milne, A. E. 2024. Implications and impacts of aligning regional agriculture with a healthy diet. Journal of Cleaner Production. p. 141375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141375

Stepwise model parametrisation using satellite imagery and hemispherical photography: Tuning AquaCrop sensitive parameters for improved winter wheat yield predictions in semi-arid regions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Oulaid, B., Milne, A. E., Waine, T., Alami, R. E., Rafiqi, M. and Corstanje, R. 2024. Stepwise model parametrisation using satellite imagery and hemispherical photography: Tuning AquaCrop sensitive parameters for improved winter wheat yield predictions in semi-arid regions. Field Crops Research. 309, p. 109327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2024.109327

Soil Map of Rothamsted Estate

N - Datasets

Avery, B. W., Catt, J. A., Coleman, K., Pino-Chandia, L. and Ostler, R. 2024. Soil Map of Rothamsted Estate. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.98z89

Trade-offs constrain the success of glyphosate-free farming.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Metcalfe, H., Storkey, J., Hull, R. I., Bullock, J. M., Whitmore, A. P., Sharp, R. and Milne, A. E. 2023. Trade-offs constrain the success of glyphosate-free farming. Scientific Reports. 14, p. 8001. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58183-8

Host map of Ash trees in Great Britain

N - Datasets

Brown, N., Alonso Chavez, V., Milne, A. E. and Parnell, S. 2023. Host map of Ash trees in Great Britain. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.98y37

Grazing livestock move by Levy walks - Implications for soil health and environment

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Romero-Ruiz, A., Rivero, M. J., Milne, A. E., Morgan, S., De-Meo-Filho, P., Pulley, S., Segura, C., Harris, P., Lee, M. R. F., Coleman, K., Cardenas, L. M. and Whitmore, A. P. 2023. Grazing livestock move by Levy walks - Implications for soil health and environment. Journal of Environmental Management. 345 (1), p. 118835. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118835

Bioenergy crop production and carbon sequestration potential under changing climate and land use - A case study in the upper River Taw catchment in southwest England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Dixit, P. N., Richter, G. M., Coleman, K. and Collins, A. L. 2023. Bioenergy crop production and carbon sequestration potential under changing climate and land use - A case study in the upper River Taw catchment in southwest England. Science of the Total Environment. 900 (20 Nov), p. 166390. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166390

Promoting dietary changes for achieving health and sustainability targets

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bellamy, A. S., Furness, E., Mills, S., Clear, A., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, J. E., Milne, A. E. and Sharp, R. T. 2023. Promoting dietary changes for achieving health and sustainability targets. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems. 7, p. 1160627. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1160627

Explainable neural networks for trait-based multispecies distribution modelling—A case study with butterflies and moths

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Shortall, C. R., Kunin, W. and Milne, A. E. 2023. Explainable neural networks for trait-based multispecies distribution modelling—A case study with butterflies and moths. Methods in ecology and evolution. 14 (6), pp. 1531-1542. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14097

Evidence of collaborative opportunities to ensure long-term sustainability in African farming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

El-Fartassi, I., Milne, A. E., El Alami, R., Rafiqi, M., Hassall, K. L., Waine, T., Zawadzka, J., Diarra, A. and Corstanje, R. 2023. Evidence of collaborative opportunities to ensure long-term sustainability in African farming. Journal of Cleaner Production. 392, p. 136170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.136170

Effect of different organic amendments on actual and achievable yields in a cereal-based cropping system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Albano, X., Whitmore, A. P., Sakrabani, O., Thomas, C. L., Sizmur, T., Ritz, K., Harris, J., Pawlett, M., Watts, C. W. and Haefele, S. M. 2023. Effect of different organic amendments on actual and achievable yields in a cereal-based cropping system. Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition. 23, pp. 2122-2137. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42729-023-01167-w

Modelling changes in soil structure caused by livestock treading

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Romero-Ruiz, A., Monaghan. R, Milne, A. E., Coleman, K., Cardenas, L. M., Segura, C. and Whitmore, A. P. 2023. Modelling changes in soil structure caused by livestock treading. Geoderma. 431, p. 116331. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116331

Optimal control of organic matter applications

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Putelat, T. and Whitmore, A. P. 2023. Optimal control of organic matter applications . European Journal of Agronomy. 143, p. 126713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2022.126713

A loss function to evaluate agricultural decision‑making under uncertainty: a case study of soil spectroscopy

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Breure, T., Haefele, S. M., Hannam, J. A., Corstanje, R., Webster, R., Moreno-Rojas, S. and Milne, A. E. 2022. A loss function to evaluate agricultural decision‑making under uncertainty: a case study of soil spectroscopy. Precision Agriculture. 23, pp. 1333 - 1353. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11119-022-09887-2

Communication and building social capital in community supported agriculture

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Furness, E., Bellamy, A. S., Clear, A., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, J. E., Mills, S., Milne, A. E. and Sharp, R. T. 2022. Communication and building social capital in community supported agriculture. Journal of Agriculture, Food Systems, and Community Development. 12 (1), pp. 63-78. https://doi.org/10.5304/jafscd.2022.121.009

Early Detection and Spread of Tomato Powdery Mildew (TPM) in Commercial Greenhouses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sokolidi, A., Webster, R., Milne, A. E., Clark, S. J., Clarkson, J., Bielik M., Morley, P. and West, J. S. 2022. Early Detection and Spread of Tomato Powdery Mildew (TPM) in Commercial Greenhouses. Phytopathology. 112 (11), pp. 49-49.

Spatial characteristics of the fungus powdery mildew (Erysiphe neolycopersici) on tomatoes and its spread in industrial greenhouses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sokolidi, A., Webster, R., Milne, A. E., Bielik, M., Morley, P., Clarkson, J. P. and West, J. S. 2022. Spatial characteristics of the fungus powdery mildew (Erysiphe neolycopersici) on tomatoes and its spread in industrial greenhouses. Biostatistics. 1 (1), pp. 18-30.

Multi-tier archetypes to characterise British landscapes, farmland and farming practices

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Goodwin, C. E. D., Butikofer, L., Hatfield, J. H., Evans, P. M., Bullock, J. M., Storkey, J., Mead, A., Richter, G. M., Henrys, P. A., Pywell, R. F. and Redhead, J. W. 2022. Multi-tier archetypes to characterise British landscapes, farmland and farming practices. Environmental Research Letters. 17 (9), p. 095002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac810e

Translating and applying a simulation model to enhance understanding of grassland management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Giannitsopoulos, M. L., Burgess, P. J., Bell, M. J., Richter, G. M., Topp, C. F. E., Ingram, J. and Takahashi, T. 2022. Translating and applying a simulation model to enhance understanding of grassland management. Grass and Forage Science. https://doi.org/10.1111/gfs.12584

Early Detection and Spread of Tomato Powdery Mildew (TPM) in Commercial Greenhouses

Conference poster

Decisions, uncertainty and spatial information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lark, R. M., Chagumaira, C. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Decisions, uncertainty and spatial information. Spatial Statistics. 50, p. 100619. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2022.100619

Cereal grain mineral micronutrient and soil chemistry data from GeoNutrition surveys in Ethiopia and Malawi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kumssa, D. B., Mossa, A. W., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Botoman, E. H. B., Chagumaira, C., Chimungu, J. G., Davies, K. G., Gameda, S., Haefele, S. M., Hailu, K., Joy, E. J. M., Lark, R. M., Ligowe, I. S., McGrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Muleya, P., Munthal, M., Towett, E., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., D.Young, S., Haji, I. R., Broadley, M., Gashu, D. and Nalivata, P. C. 2022. Cereal grain mineral micronutrient and soil chemistry data from GeoNutrition surveys in Ethiopia and Malawi. Scientific Data. 9 (1), p. 443. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01500-5

An overlooked mechanism underlying the attenuated temperature response of soil heterotrophic respiration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Zhang, X., Whalley, P. A., Gregory, A. S., Whalley, W. R., Coleman, K., Neal, A. L., Mooney, S. J., Soga, K. and Illangasekare, T. H. 2022. An overlooked mechanism underlying the attenuated temperature response of soil heterotrophic respiration. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 19 (192), p. 20220276. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2022.0276

Yearly occurrence of 544 species of moths (UK 1990-2019), with trait values and putative environmental drivers.

N - Datasets

Bourhis, Y., Bell, J. R., Shortall, C. R. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Yearly occurrence of 544 species of moths (UK 1990-2019), with trait values and putative environmental drivers. Rothamsted Research. https://doi.org/10.23637/rothamsted.988z5

Modelling the Persistence of Weed Populations

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Storkey, J., Gardarin, A., Colbach, N., Metcalfe, H. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Modelling the Persistence of Weed Populations. in: Upadhyaya, M. K., Clements, D. R. and Shrestha, A. (ed.) Persistence Strategies of Weeds Wiley. pp. Chapter 9

Soil and landscape factors influence geospatial variation in maize grain zinc concentration in Malawi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Botoman, L., Chagumaira, C., Mossa, A. W., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Bailey, E. H., Chimungu, J. G., Gameda, S., Gashu, D., Haefele, S. M., Joy, E. J. M., Kumssa, D. B., Ligowe, I. S., McGrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Munthali, M., Towett, E., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., Young, S. D., Broadley, M. R., Lark, R. M. and Nalivata, P. C. 2022. Soil and landscape factors influence geospatial variation in maize grain zinc concentration in Malawi. Scientific Reports. 12, p. 7986. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12014-w

Absence of a home‑field advantage within a short‑rotation arable cropping system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Whitmore, A. P., Mortimer, S., Shu, X. and Sizmur, T. 2022. Absence of a home‑field advantage within a short‑rotation arable cropping system. Plant and Soil. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-022-05419-z

Stakeholder interpretation of probabilistic representations of uncertainty in spatial information an example on the nutritional quality of staple

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Chagumaira, C., Nalivata, P. C., Chimungu, J. G., Gashu, D., Broadley, M., Milne, A. E. and Lark, R. M. 2022. Stakeholder interpretation of probabilistic representations of uncertainty in spatial information an example on the nutritional quality of staple. International Journal Of Geographical Information Science. 36 (12), pp. 2446-2472. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2021.2020278

Communicating Carabids: Engaging farmers to encourage uptake of Integrated Pest Management.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jowett, K., Milne, A. E., Potts, S. G., Senapathi, D. and Storkey, J. 2022. Communicating Carabids: Engaging farmers to encourage uptake of Integrated Pest Management. Pest Management Science. 78 (6), pp. 2477-2491. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.6878

Exploring the effects of land management change on productivity, carbon and nutrient balance: Application of an Ensemble Modelling Approach to the upper River Taw observatory, UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hassall, K. L., Coleman, K., Dixit, P., Granger, S. J., Zhang, Y., Sharp, R., Wu, L., Whitmore, A. P., Richter, G. M., Collins, A. L. and Milne, A. E. 2022. Exploring the effects of land management change on productivity, carbon and nutrient balance: Application of an Ensemble Modelling Approach to the upper River Taw observatory, UK. Science of the Total Environment. 824, p. 153824. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153824

Dynamics of bacterial blight disease in resistant and susceptible rice varieties

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Niones, J. T., Sharp, R. T., Donayre, D. K. M., Oreiro, E. G. M., Milne, A. E. and Oliva, R. 2022. Dynamics of bacterial blight disease in resistant and susceptible rice varieties. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 163, pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-021-02452-z

Comparing the effect of different sample conditions and spectral libraries on the prediction accuracy of soil properties from near- and mid-infrared spectra at the field-scale

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Breure, T. S., Prout, J. M., Haefele, S. M., Milne, A. E., Hannam, J. A., Moreno-Rojas, S. and Corstanje, R. 2022. Comparing the effect of different sample conditions and spectral libraries on the prediction accuracy of soil properties from near- and mid-infrared spectra at the field-scale. Soil & Tillage Research. 215, p. 105196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2021.105196

The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mills, S., Furness, E., Clear, A. K., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, J. E., Milne, A. E., Sharp, R. T. and Bellamy, A. S. 2021. The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study. Lancet. 398 (Supplement 2), p. S68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02611-8

The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mills, S., Furness, E., Clear, A. K., Finnigan, S. M., Meador, E., Milne, A. E., Sharp, R. T. and Bellamy, A. S. 2021. The role of community-supported agriculture in building health and sustainability into UK diets: a mixed methods study. Lancet. 398 (1 Nov 21), pp. S68-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02611-8

Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Smith, J., Wright, P., Milne, A. E., Van Den Berg, F., Kock-Appelgren, P., Foulkes, J. and Paveley, N. 2021. Maximizing realized yield by breeding for disease tolerance: A case study for Septoria tritici blotch. Plant Pathology. https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.13509

High-yielding forage grass cultivars increase root biomass and soil organic carbon stocks compared with mixed-species permanent pasture in temperate soil

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gregory, A. S., Joynes, A., Dixon, E. R., Beaumont, D. A., Murray, P. J., Humphreys, M. W., Richter, G. M. and Dungait, J. A. J. 2021. High-yielding forage grass cultivars increase root biomass and soil organic carbon stocks compared with mixed-species permanent pasture in temperate soil. European Journal of Soil Science. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.13160

Elucidating the performance of hybrid models for predicting extreme water flow events through variography and wavelet analyses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Curceac, S., Milne, A. E., Atkinson, P. M., Wu, L. and Harris, P. 2021. Elucidating the performance of hybrid models for predicting extreme water flow events through variography and wavelet analyses. Journal of Hydrology. 598 (July), p. 126442. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126442

Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Alonso Chavez, V., Milne, A. E., Van Den Bosch, F., Pita, J. and Mcquaid, C. F. 2021. Modelling in cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints. Plant Molecular Biology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11103-021-01170-8

Simulating cropping sequences using earth observation data

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Sharp, R. T., Henrys, P. A., Jarvis, S. G., Whitmore, A. P., Milne, A. E., Coleman, K., Mohankumar, S. E. P. and Metcalfe, H. 2021. Simulating cropping sequences using earth observation data. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 188, p. 106330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2021.106330