Epidemiology: Past, Present, and Future Impacts on Understanding Disease Dynamics and Improving Plant Disease Management-A Summary of Focus Issue Articles

Ojiambo, P. S., Yuen, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2017. Epidemiology: Past, Present, and Future Impacts on Understanding Disease Dynamics and Improving Plant Disease Management-A Summary of Focus Issue Articles. Phytopathology. 107 (10), pp. 1092-1094. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-07-17-0248-FI

Authors	Ojiambo, P. S., Yuen, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V.
Year of Publication	2017
Journal	Phytopathology
Journal citation	107 (10), pp. 1092-1094
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-07-17-0248-FI
Open access	Published as ‘gold’ (paid) open access
Publisher's version	phyto-07-17-0248-fi.pdf
Output status	Published
Publication dates
Online	19 Sep 2017
Publisher	American Phytopathological Society (APS)
	American Phytopathological Society (APS)
Copyright license	CC BY
ISSN	0031-949X

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Alonso Chavez, V., Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2015. Designing strategies for epidemic control in a tree nursery: the case of ash dieback in the UK. Forests. 6 (11), pp. 4135-4145. https://doi.org/10.3390/f6114135

The use of mathematical models to guide fungicide resistance management decisions

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Evidence-based resistance management: a review of existing evidence

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Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Fraaije, B. A., Van Den Berg, F. and Oliver, R. 2015. Evidence-based resistance management: a review of existing evidence. in: Hollomon, D. W. and Ishii, H. (ed.) Fungicide resistance in plant pathogens Springer, Tokyo. pp. 63-76

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Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Mcroberts, N. 2015. Modelling transmission characteristics and epidemic development of the tospovirus-thrip interaction. Arthropod-Plant Interactions. 9, pp. 107-120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11829-015-9363-2

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Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Cunniffe, N. J., Alonso Chavez, V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2015. Early detection surveillance for an emerging plant pathogen: a rule of thumb to predict prevalence at first discovery. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 282, p. 20151478. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.1478

Fungicide resistance risk assessment based on traits associated with the rate of pathogen evolution

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Grimmer, M. K., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Paveley, N. D. 2015. Fungicide resistance risk assessment based on traits associated with the rate of pathogen evolution. Pest Management Science. 71 (2), pp. 207-215. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.3781

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Mixtures as a fungicide resistance management tactic

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Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Van Den Berg, F., Hobbelen, P. and Oliver, R. 2014. Mixtures as a fungicide resistance management tactic. Phytopathology. 104, pp. 1264-1273. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-04-14-0121-RVW

Surveillance for invading plant pathogens: the use of epidemic models to quantify performance and optimise survey design

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Grimmer, M. K., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Paveley, N. D. 2014. Evaluation of a matrix to calculate fungicide resistance risk. Pest Management Science. 70 (6), pp. 1008-1016. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.3646

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Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Riley, T. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. A generic risk-based surveying method for invading plant pathogens. Ecological Applications. 24 (4), pp. 779-790. https://doi.org/10.1890/13-0704.1

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Jeger, M. J., Salama, N. K. G., Shaw, M. W., Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. Effects of plant pathogens on population dynamics and community composition in grassland ecosystems: two case studies. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 138, pp. 513-527. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-013-0325-1

The emergence of resistance to fungicides

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Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2014. The emergence of resistance to fungicides. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e91910. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0091910

Accounting for the Economic Risk Caused by Variation in Disease Severity in Fungicide Dose Decisions, Exemplified for Mycosphaerella graminicola on Winter Wheat

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Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. D. 2013. Optimal fungicide application timings for disease control are also an effective anti-resistance strategy: a case study for Zymoseptoria tritici (Mycosphaerella graminicola) on wheat. Phytopathology. 103, pp. 1209-1219. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-03-13-0061-R

The usefulness of fungicide mixtures and alternation for delaying the selection for resistance in populations of Mycosphaerella graminicola on winter wheat: a modeling analysis

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Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D., Oliver, R. P. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2013. The usefulness of fungicide mixtures and alternation for delaying the selection for resistance in populations of Mycosphaerella graminicola on winter wheat: a modeling analysis. Phytopathology. 103, pp. 690-707. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-06-12-0142-R

Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty

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Lo Iacono, G., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2013. Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty. PLOS Computational Biology. 9, p. e1002870. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002870

The effect of Horsfall-Barratt category size on the accuracy and reliability of estimates of pecan scab severity

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Bock, C. H., Wood, B. W., Van Den Bosch, F., Parnell, S. and Gottwald, T. R. 2013. The effect of Horsfall-Barratt category size on the accuracy and reliability of estimates of pecan scab severity. Plant Disease. 97 (6), pp. 797-806. https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-08-12-0781-RE

High levels of auto-infection in plant pathogens favour short latent periods: a theoretical approach

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Van Den Berg, F., Gaucel, S., Lannou, C., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2013. High levels of auto-infection in plant pathogens favour short latent periods: a theoretical approach. Evolutionary Ecology. 27, pp. 409-428. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-012-9602-2

Shared influence of pathogen and host genetics on a trade-off between latent period and spore production capacity in the wheat pathogen, Puccinia triticina

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Pariaud, B., Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J., Kaltz, O. and Lannou, C. 2013. Shared influence of pathogen and host genetics on a trade-off between latent period and spore production capacity in the wheat pathogen, Puccinia triticina. Evolutionary Applications. 6 (2), pp. 303-312. https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12000

The effect of the dose rate of a fungicide on the emergence of resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2012. The effect of the dose rate of a fungicide on the emergence of resistance. American Phytopathological Society (APS).

The usefulness of concurrent, alternating, and mixture use of two high-risk fungicides as resistance management strategy

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Estimating the incidence of an epidemic when it is first discovered and the design of early detection monitoring

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Gilks, W. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2012. Estimating the incidence of an epidemic when it is first discovered and the design of early detection monitoring. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 305, pp. 30-36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.03.009

An improved regulatory sampling method for mapping and representing plant disease from a limited number of samples

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Luo, W., Pietravalle, S., Parnell, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S. and Parker, S. R. 2012. An improved regulatory sampling method for mapping and representing plant disease from a limited number of samples. Epidemics. 4 (2), pp. 68-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2012.02.001

The evolution of plant pathogens in response to host resistance: factors affecting the gain from deployment of qualitative and quantitative resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lo Iacono, G., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. 2012. The evolution of plant pathogens in response to host resistance: factors affecting the gain from deployment of qualitative and quantitative resistance. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 304, pp. 152-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.03.033

Time-dependent infectivity and flexible latent and infectious periods in compartmental models of plant disease

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Cunniffe, N. J., Stutt, R. O. J. H., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2012. Time-dependent infectivity and flexible latent and infectious periods in compartmental models of plant disease. Phytopathology. 102, pp. 365-380. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-12-10-0338

Controlling annual weeds in cereals by deploying crop rotation at the landscape scale: Avena sterilis as an example

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gonzalez-Diaz, L., Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gonzalez-Andujar, J. L. 2012. Controlling annual weeds in cereals by deploying crop rotation at the landscape scale: Avena sterilis as an example. Ecological Applications. 22 (3), pp. 982-992. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1079.1

A stochastic optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of a pathogen from a sample

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S., Luo, W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. A stochastic optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of a pathogen from a sample. Phytopathology. 101 (10), pp. 1184-1190. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-11-10-0311

Interactions in a host plant-virus-vector-parasitoid system: modelling the consequences for virus transmission and disease dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Chen, Z., Powell, G., Hodge, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Interactions in a host plant-virus-vector-parasitoid system: modelling the consequences for virus transmission and disease dynamics. Virus Research. 159, pp. 183-193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2011.04.027

Modelling virus- and host-limitation in vectored plant disease epidemics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2011. Modelling virus- and host-limitation in vectored plant disease epidemics. Virus Research. 159, pp. 215-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2011.05.012

Delaying selection for fungicide insensitivity by mixing fungicides at a low and high risk of resistance development: a modeling analysis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Delaying selection for fungicide insensitivity by mixing fungicides at a low and high risk of resistance development: a modeling analysis. Phytopathology. 101, pp. 1224-1233. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-10-10-0290

The dose rate debate: does the risk of fungicide resistance increase or decrease with dose?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Paveley, N., Shaw, M., Hobbelen, P. and Oliver, R. 2011. The dose rate debate: does the risk of fungicide resistance increase or decrease with dose? Plant Pathology. 60 (4), pp. 597-606. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2011.02439.x

Spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside of an eradication zone

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Demon, I., Cunniffe, N. J., Marchant, B. P., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside of an eradication zone. Phytopathology. 101 (6), pp. 725-731. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-05-09-0120

Derivation and testing of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hobbelen, P. H. F., Paveley, N. D., Fraaije, B. A., Lucas, J. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Derivation and testing of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance. Plant Pathology. 60 (2), pp. 304-313. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02380.x

Periodic host absence can select for higher or lower parasite transmission rates

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Bacaer, N., Metz, J. A. J., Lannou, C. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2011. Periodic host absence can select for higher or lower parasite transmission rates. Evolutionary Ecology. 25, pp. 121-137. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-010-9387-0

Periodicity in Host Availability Does Not Account for Evolutionary Branching as Observed in Many Plant Pathogens: An Application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici (take-all)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Gilligan, C. A., Bailey, D. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Periodicity in Host Availability Does Not Account for Evolutionary Branching as Observed in Many Plant Pathogens: An Application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici (take-all). Phytopathology. 100 (11), pp. 1169-1175. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-10-09-0282

The usefulness of mixtures of a single-site and a multi-site fungicide as resistance management strategy

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. The usefulness of mixtures of a single-site and a multi-site fungicide as resistance management strategy.

Derivation and validation of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Hobbelen, P. H., Paveley, N. D., Fraaije, B. A., Lucas, J. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Derivation and validation of a model to predict selection for fungicide resistance.

Optimal weed management in crop rotations: incorporating economics is crucial

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Gilligan, C. A., Gerdessen, J. C., Gregoire, L. A. H. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. Optimal weed management in crop rotations: incorporating economics is crucial. Weed Research. 50 (5), pp. 413-424. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3180.2010.00787.x

Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. 2010. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for hypothesis testing. Phytopathology. 100 (10), pp. 1030-1041. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-08-09-0220

The effect of landscape pattern on the optimal eradication zone of an invading epidemic

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2010. The effect of landscape pattern on the optimal eradication zone of an invading epidemic. Phytopathology. 100 (7), pp. 638-644. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-100-7-0638

Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., Van Den Berg, F. and Shaw, M. W. 2010. Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 277, pp. 1735-1742. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.2211

Discontinuous host growth and the evolution of plant pathogens

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Discontinuous host growth and the evolution of plant pathogens. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Theoretical evaluation of pyramided and sequential deployment of resistance genes using a yield-related measure of durability of cultivar resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Theoretical evaluation of pyramided and sequential deployment of resistance genes using a yield-related measure of durability of cultivar resistance. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Project summary for EU Cordis

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I. and Gladders, P. 2009. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Project summary for EU Cordis. pp. 4pp

Estimating the spatial distribution of a plant disease epidemic from a sample

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T., Irey, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Estimating the spatial distribution of a plant disease epidemic from a sample. Abstracts 10th International Epidemiology Workshop, Geneva, New York, 7-12 June 2009 .

Optimal strategies for the eradication of Asiatic citrus canker in heterogeneous host landscapes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2009. Optimal strategies for the eradication of Asiatic citrus canker in heterogeneous host landscapes. Phytopathology. 99 (12), pp. 1370-1376. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-99-12-1370

A numerical optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of an epidemic

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. A numerical optimization method to estimate the spatial distribution of an epidemic. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609990359

Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Ferrandino, F., Welham, S. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Parnell, S. R. 2009. Some consequences of using the Horsfall-Barratt scale for estimating disease severity compared to nearest percent estimation. Abstracts 10th International Epidemiological Workshop, Geneva, New York, 8-12 June 2009 .

Evaluation of a predictive model for Mycosphaerella graminicola for economic and environmental benefits

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Te Beest, D. E., Shaw, M. W., Paveley, N. D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Evaluation of a predictive model for Mycosphaerella graminicola for economic and environmental benefits. Plant Pathology. 58 (6), pp. 1001-1009. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2009.02142.x

Periodic host absence and the evolution of plant pathogens

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F., Bacaer, N., Metz, J. A. J., Lannou, C. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. Periodic host absence and the evolution of plant pathogens. Abstracts Mathematical Models in Ecology and Evolution, Bristol, 10-11 September 2009 . pp. 40

The Horsfall-Barratt scale and severity estimates of citrus canker

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bock, C. H., Gottwald, T. R., Parker, P. E., Cook, A. Z., Ferrandino, F., Parnell, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The Horsfall-Barratt scale and severity estimates of citrus canker. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 125, pp. 23-38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-009-9455-x

The effect of transmission route on plant virus epidemic development and disease control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The effect of transmission route on plant virus epidemic development and disease control. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 258, pp. 198-207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.01.012

The presence of generalist plant pathogens might not explain the long-term coexistence of plant species

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2009. The presence of generalist plant pathogens might not explain the long-term coexistence of plant species. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 257, pp. 446-453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.11.020

A model for the optimal control of citrus canker disease (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri) in a mixed-host landscape

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gottwald, T. R. 2008. A model for the optimal control of citrus canker disease (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri) in a mixed-host landscape. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859608008083

Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach.

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Final report on EU contract

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I., Gladders, P. and Other External Partners 2008. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Final report on EU contract.

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Fourth interim annual report on EU contract

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F., Demon, I., Gladders, P. and Other External Partners 2008. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Fourth interim annual report on EU contract.

Apical leaf necrosis as a defence mechanism against pathogen attack: effects of high nutrient availability on onset and rate of necrosis

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Van Den Bosch, F., Powers, S. J. and Shaw, M. W. 2008. Apical leaf necrosis as a defence mechanism against pathogen attack: effects of high nutrient availability on onset and rate of necrosis. Plant Pathology. 57 (6), pp. 1009-1016. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2008.01865.x

Fungicide application and the minimisation of risk

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Bosch, F. and Te Beest, D. 2008. Fungicide application and the minimisation of risk.

Evolutionary epidemiology of plant viruses

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Evolutionary epidemiology of plant viruses.

Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Construction of maps estimating plant disease distribution: an epidemiological simulation approach. Abstracts ICPP 2008 9th International Congress of Plant Pathology: Healthy and Safe Food for Everybody, Torino, 24-29 August 2008 .

Changes in fungicide sensitivity and relative species abundance in Oculimaculata yallundae and O. acuformis populations (eyespot disease of cereals) in Western Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gilligan, C. A., Lucas, J. A., Bock, C. H. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Changes in fungicide sensitivity and relative species abundance in Oculimaculata yallundae and O. acuformis populations (eyespot disease of cereals) in Western Europe. Plant Pathology. 57 (3), pp. 509-517. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2007.01786.x

Epidemiological models for invasion and persistence of pathogens

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Epidemiological models for invasion and persistence of pathogens. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46, pp. 385-418. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.45.062806.094357

Models of fungicide resistance dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2008. Models of fungicide resistance dynamics. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46, pp. 123-147. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.011108.135838

Disease-weather relationships for powdery mildew and yellow rust on winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Te Beest, D. E., Paveley, N. D., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2008. Disease-weather relationships for powdery mildew and yellow rust on winter wheat. Phytopathology. 98 (5), pp. 609-617. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-98-5-0609

The basic reproduction number of plant pathogens: matrix approaches to complex dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Mcroberts, N., Van Den Berg, F. and Madden, L. V. 2008. The basic reproduction number of plant pathogens: matrix approaches to complex dynamics. Phytopathology. 98 (2), pp. 239-249. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-98-2-0239

Epidemics and Crop Yield

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Epidemics and Crop Yield. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 353-388

Decision Making in the Practice of Plant Disease Management

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Decision Making in the Practice of Plant Disease Management. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 319-351

Estimating Plant Disease by Sampling

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Estimating Plant Disease by Sampling. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 279-318

Spatial Aspects of Epidemics III Patterns of Plant Disease

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemics III Patterns of Plant Disease. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 235-278

Spatial Aspects of Epidemic II A Theory of Spatio-Temporal Disease Dynamics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemic II A Theory of Spatio-Temporal Disease Dynamics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 211-233

Spatial Aspects of Epidemic I Pathogen Dispersal and Disease Gradients

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Spatial Aspects of Epidemic I Pathogen Dispersal and Disease Gradients. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 173-209

Temporal Analysis III Advanced Topics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis III Advanced Topics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 145-171

Temporal Analysis II The Components of Disease

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis II The Components of Disease. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 117-143

Temporal Analysis I Quantifying and Comparing Epidemics

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Temporal Analysis I Quantifying and Comparing Epidemics. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 63-116

Introduction to modelling in edpidemiology

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Introduction to modelling in edpidemiology. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 33-61

Measuring Plant Diseases

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Measuring Plant Diseases. in: The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics American Phytopathological Society (APS). pp. 11-31

The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics

E - Books edited/written by staff member, alone/with others

Madden, L. V., Hughes, G and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The Study of Plant Disease Epidemics.

The elasticity of the epidemic growth rate to observed weather patterns with an application to yellow rust

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The elasticity of the epidemic growth rate to observed weather patterns with an application to yellow rust. Phytopathology. 97, pp. 1512-1518. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-97-11-1512

Introgression of resistance genes between populations: a model study of insecticide resistance in Bemisia tabaci

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Demon, I. M., Haccou, P. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Introgression of resistance genes between populations: a model study of insecticide resistance in Bemisia tabaci. Theoretical Population Biology. 72, pp. 292-304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2007.06.005

Economic and environmental validation of disease risk prediction models

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Te Beest, D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Economic and environmental validation of disease risk prediction models.

Evolution within Bemisia tabaci and associated begomoviruses: a strategic modelling approach

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. and Demon, I. 2007. Evolution within Bemisia tabaci and associated begomoviruses: a strategic modelling approach. in: Sweetmore, A., Silverside, P. and Kimmins, F. (ed.) Perspectives on pests II: achievements of research under UK Department for International Development Crop Protection Programme 2000-2005 Natural Resources International, London. pp. 188-190

Apical leaf necrosis and leaf nitrogen dynamics in diseased leaves: a model study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F., Robert, C., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Apical leaf necrosis and leaf nitrogen dynamics in diseased leaves: a model study. Plant Pathology. 56 (3), pp. 424-436. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2007.01565.x

Development and validation of a model to describe the progress of phoma stem canker epidemics in England and France

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Pirie, E. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Papastamati, K., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. Development and validation of a model to describe the progress of phoma stem canker epidemics in England and France. Proceedings 12th International Rapeseed Congress. IV: Sustainable Development in Cruciferous Oilseed Crops Production, Wuhan, China, 26-30 March 2007 . Science Press, USA. pp. 161-164

The SECURE project - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Huang, Y-J., Eckert, M., Pietravalle, S., Demon, I., Papastamati, K., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Fudal, I., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Besnard, A. L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Irzykowski, W., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I. and Renard, M. 2007. The SECURE project - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance. Proceedings 12th International Rapeseed Congress. IV: Sustainable Development in Cruciferous Oilseed Crops Production, Wuhan, China, 26-30 March 2007 . Science Press, USA. pp. 187-189

Disease control and its selection for damaging plant virus strains in vegetatively propagated staple food crops: a theoretical assessment

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. J. and Gilligan, C. A. 2007. Disease control and its selection for damaging plant virus strains in vegetatively propagated staple food crops: a theoretical assessment. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 274, pp. 11-18. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2006.3715

The sensitivity of the epidemic growth rate to weather variables, with an application to yellow rust on wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2007. The sensitivity of the epidemic growth rate to weather variables, with an application to yellow rust on wheat. Phytopathology. 97 (2), pp. 202-210. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-97-2-0202

SECURE - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance (QLK5-CT-2002-01813)

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Eckert, M., Papastamati, K., Demon, I., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Fudal, I., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J. and Renard, M. 2006. SECURE - stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular methods and mathematical modeling to deploy durable resistance (QLK5-CT-2002-01813).

Formulating an early-warning model for Septoria tritici

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Te Beest, D. E., Pietravalle, S., Shaw, M. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Formulating an early-warning model for Septoria tritici. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859606006290

Establishing the risk of introgression of insecticide resistance for Bemisia tabaci

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. 2006. Establishing the risk of introgression of insecticide resistance for Bemisia tabaci. Cambridge University Press (CUP). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859606006290

Begomovirus evolution and disease management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Seal, S. E., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Begomovirus evolution and disease management. Advances in Virus Research. 67, pp. 297-316. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-3527(06)67008-5

Evolutionary epidemiology of plant virus disease

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Seal, S. E. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Evolutionary epidemiology of plant virus disease. Advances in Virus Research. 67, pp. 163-203. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-3527(06)67005-X

Transient population dynamics in periodic matrix models: methodology and effects of cyclic permutations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mertens, S. K., Yearsley, J. M., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2006. Transient population dynamics in periodic matrix models: methodology and effects of cyclic permutations. Ecology. 87 (9), pp. 2338-2348. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2006)87[2338:TPDIPM]2.0.CO;2

Coexistence of related pathogen species on arable crops in space and time

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F. and West, J. S. 2006. Coexistence of related pathogen species on arable crops in space and time. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 44, pp. 163-182. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.phyto.44.070505.143417

Host resistance and the evolutionary response of plant viruses

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F., Akudibilah, G., Seal, S. and Jeger, M. 2006. Host resistance and the evolutionary response of plant viruses. Journal of Applied Ecology. 43 (3), pp. 506-516. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01159.x

Large-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the regional spread of resistant pathogen strains

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2006. Large-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the regional spread of resistant pathogen strains. Phytopathology. 96 (5), pp. 549-555. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-96-0549

Pest and disease management system for supporting winter oilseed rape decisions (PASSWORD) - vaildation phase (HGCA Project Report No. 390)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gladders, P., Dyer, C., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Baierl, A., Turner, J., Walters, K., Northing, P., Sutherland, K., Oxley, S., Foster, V., Ellerton, D., Myers, N., Selley, A., Ashworth, M. and Hall, B. 2006. Pest and disease management system for supporting winter oilseed rape decisions (PASSWORD) - vaildation phase (HGCA Project Report No. 390). London Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA).

Factors influencing begomovirus evolution and their increasing global significance: implications for sustainable control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Seal, S. E., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. J. 2006. Factors influencing begomovirus evolution and their increasing global significance: implications for sustainable control. Critical reviews in plant sciences. 25, pp. 23-46. https://doi.org/10.1080/07352680500365257

Durability of resistance and cost of virulence

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Lamarie, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2006. Durability of resistance and cost of virulence. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 114, pp. 107-116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-005-3479-7

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Happstadius, I., Podlesna, A., Renard, M. and Karolewski, Z. 2005. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Abstracts 9th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology: Facing Challenges of the 21st Century, Landerneau, 11-15 April 2005 . pp. 28

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Third interim annual report for period 1 September 2004-31 August 2005 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2005. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Third interim annual report for period 1 September 2004-31 August 2005 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Welham, S. J., Baierl, A., Antoniw, J. F., Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L., Gladders, P., Turner, J. A. and Elcock, S. 2005. Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology, Glasgow, 31 October-2 November 2005 . pp. 649-654

Factors affecting co-existence of related pathogen species on arable crops

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

West, J. S., Huang, Y-J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2005. Factors affecting co-existence of related pathogen species on arable crops. Abstracts 15th Biennial Australasian Plant Pathology Society Conference, Geelong, Australia, 26-29 September 2005 . pp. 92

Small-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the coexistence of resistant and sensitive pathogen strains

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parnell, S., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Small-scale fungicide spray heterogeneity and the coexistence of resistant and sensitive pathogen strains. Phytopathology. 95 (6), pp. 632-639. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-95-0632

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 2: implications of metapopulation structure

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 2: implications of metapopulation structure. Oikos. 110 (1), pp. 30-42. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13668.x

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 1: implications of environmental stochasticity

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A., Lutman, P. J. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Part 1: implications of environmental stochasticity. Oikos. 110 (1), pp. 20-29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13667.x

Durability of resistance and optimum deployment strategies for resistant cultivars

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S., Evans, N. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Durability of resistance and optimum deployment strategies for resistant cultivars. Abstracts 9th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Rennes, 10-15 April 2005 . pp. 41

Adaptation to the cost of resistance: a model of compensation, recombination and selection in a haploid organism

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wijngaarden, P. J., Van Den Bosch, F., Jeger, M. J. and Hoekstra, R. F. 2005. Adaptation to the cost of resistance: a model of compensation, recombination and selection in a haploid organism. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 272, pp. 85-89.

Spatial and temporal dynamics of gene movements arising from deployment of transgenic crops

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Gilligan, C. A., Claessen, D. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2005. Spatial and temporal dynamics of gene movements arising from deployment of transgenic crops. in: Wesseler, J. H. H. (ed.) Environmental costs and benefits of transgenic crops Springer, Heidelberg. pp. 143-161

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Second interim report for period 1 September 2003-31 August 2004 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2004. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). Second interim report for period 1 September 2003-31 August 2004 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

The influence of spray heterogeneity on the dynamics of fungicide resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Parnell, S. R., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The influence of spray heterogeneity on the dynamics of fungicide resistance. Abstracts Discovery, Development and Delivery in Plant Pathology: 7th Conference of the European Foundation for Plant Pathology and BSPP Presidential Meeting 2004, Aberdeen, 5-10 September 2004 . pp. 13-14

Durability of resistance: a modelling approach

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Evans, N. 2004. Durability of resistance: a modelling approach.

SECURE - possibilities for durable resistance to stem canker?

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I. and Renard, M. 2004. SECURE - possibilities for durable resistance to stem canker?

Development of a decision support system for phoma and light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape ('PASSWORD' Project) (HGCA Project Report No. 357)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Gladders, P., Dyer, C., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N., Van Den Bosch, F., Steed, J. M., Baierl, A., Turner, J., Walters, K., Northing, P., Sutherland, K., Campbell, S., Ellerton, D., Selley, A., Hall, B., Naylor, D. and Parker, C. 2004. Development of a decision support system for phoma and light leaf spot in winter oilseed rape ('PASSWORD' Project) (HGCA Project Report No. 357). Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA) London.

A model for the evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shedding

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. A model for the evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shedding. Oikos. 107 (1), pp. 36-49. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2004.13238.x

Transmission rates and adaptive evolution of pathogens in sympatric heterogeneous plant populations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gudelj, I., Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2004. Transmission rates and adaptive evolution of pathogens in sympatric heterogeneous plant populations. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 271 (1553), pp. 2187-2194. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2004.2837

The effect of crop and pest management practices on the evolution within Bemisia tabaci

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Demon, I., Jeger, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The effect of crop and pest management practices on the evolution within Bemisia tabaci. Abstracts 2nd European Whitefly Symposium, Cavtat, Croatia, 5-9 October 2004 . pp. 43

The effect of spatial distributions of mycoparasites on biocontrol efficacy: a modelling approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Termorshuizen, A. J., Nagtzaam, M. P. M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. The effect of spatial distributions of mycoparasites on biocontrol efficacy: a modelling approach. Biocontrol Science and Technology. 14, pp. 359-373.

Modelling leaf wetness duration during the rosette stage of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., McCartney, H. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Modelling leaf wetness duration during the rosette stage of oilseed rape. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 123 (1-2), pp. 69-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2003.10.003

Evolution of sibling fungal plant pathogens in relation to host specialization

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Gudelj, I., Fitt, B. D. L. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Evolution of sibling fungal plant pathogens in relation to host specialization. Phytopathology. 94 (7), pp. 789-795. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2004.94.7.789

Effect of temperature on latent period of septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat under outdoor conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lovell, D. J., Hunter, T., Powers, S. J., Parker, S. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Effect of temperature on latent period of septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat under outdoor conditions. Plant Pathology. 53 (2), pp. 170-181. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2004.00983.x

Epidemiology of insect-transmitted plant viruses: modelling disease dynamics and control interventions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Holt, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Madden, L. V. 2004. Epidemiology of insect-transmitted plant viruses: modelling disease dynamics and control interventions. Physiological Entomology. 29 (3), pp. 291-304. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0307-6962.2004.00394.x

Double-jump migration and diffusive instability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Huang, Y., Diekmann, O. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Double-jump migration and diffusive instability. Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology. 66, pp. 487-504.

Strategies optimales pour le deploiement de varietes resistantes: modelisation analytique de la durabilite de la resistance

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2004. Strategies optimales pour le deploiement de varietes resistantes: modelisation analytique de la durabilite de la resistance. Abstracts Journees Jean Chevaugeon 5e Rencontres de Phytopathologie/Mycologie, Aussois, 18-22 January 2004 .

StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). First interim annual report for period 1 September 2002-31 August 2003 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Evans, N., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Papastamati, K. 2003. StEm Canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy dUrable Resistance (SECURE). First interim annual report for period 1 September 2002-31 August 2003 on EU contract QLK5-CT-2002-01813.

A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Parker, S. R., Berry, P. M., Paveley, N. D., Van Den Bosch, F. and Lovell, D. J. 2003. A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology, Glasgow, 10-12 November 2003 . pp. 1101-1106

Co-existence between Leptosphaeria maculans and L. biglibosa in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Fitt, B. D. L., Huang, Y-J., Gudelj, I. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Co-existence between Leptosphaeria maculans and L. biglibosa in the UK.

Modelling stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Jeger, M. J. 2003. Modelling stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ).

A mechanistic model for stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus )

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Jeger, M. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. A mechanistic model for stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ). Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1160-1162

An environmental physics driven model for leaf wetness duration on winter oilseed rape

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Papastamati, K., McCartney, H. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. An environmental physics driven model for leaf wetness duration on winter oilseed rape. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 1163-1165

Effects of initial conditions on weed seedbank dynamics in crop rotations

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Mertens, S. K., Gilligan, C. A. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Effects of initial conditions on weed seedbank dynamics in crop rotations. Seedbanks: Determination, Dynamics and Management. Aspects of Applied Biology 69 . pp. 223-228

The evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shed

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Van Den Berg, F. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. The evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shed. Abstracts Alcala 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Ecology, Madrid, 5-9 September 2003 . pp. 10-Ber-a/b

Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops?

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A., Lutman, P. J. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Which traits promote persistence of feral GM crops? Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2003. Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Measures of durability of resistance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Van Den Bosch, F. and Gilligan, C. A. 2003. Measures of durability of resistance. Phytopathology. 93 (5), pp. 616-625. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.5.616

Modeling of relationships between weather and Septoria tritici epidemics on winter wheat: a critical approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Shaw, M. W., Parker, S. R. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. Modeling of relationships between weather and Septoria tritici epidemics on winter wheat: a critical approach. Phytopathology. 93 (10), pp. 1329-1339. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2003.93.10.1329

The dynamics of an eco-epidemic model with biological control

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Xiao, Y. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2003. The dynamics of an eco-epidemic model with biological control. Ecological Modelling. 168, pp. 203-214.

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Eckert, M., Huang, Y-J., Pietravalle, S., Karolewski, Z., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Ross, S., Gout, L., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Bousset, L., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Stachowiak, A., Olechnowicz, J., Podlesna, A., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J. and Renard, M. 2003. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. Proceedings 11th International Rapeseed Congress, Copenhagen, 6-10 July 2003 . pp. 36-38

Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Rouxel, T., Balesdent, M-H., Brun, H., Andrivon, D., Gladders, P., Pinochet, X., Penaud, A., Jedryczka, M., Kachlicki, P., Happstadius, I., Meyer, J., Karolewski, Z. and Renard, M. 2003. Stem canker of oilseed rape: molecular tools and mathematical modelling to deploy durable resistance. GCIRC Bulletin. 19, pp. 40-42.

A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Berry, P. M., Parker, S. R., Van Den Bosch, F. and Paveley, N. D. 2002. A rational basis for the design of wheat canopy ideotypes. Abstracts AAB Meeting Genotype-Phenotype: Narrowing the Gap, Cirencester, 16-18 December 2002 .

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Towards an early warning system for winter wheat disease severity

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Shaw, M. W. and Parker, S. R. 2002. Towards an early warning system for winter wheat disease severity. Proceedings Brighton Crop Protection Conference - Pests and Diseases, 2002 . pp. 897-902

Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2002. Weed populations and crop rotations: exploring dynamics of a structured periodic system. Ecological Applications. 12 (4), pp. 1125-1141. https://doi.org/10.2307/3061041

Dynamical behavior for a stage-structured SIR infectious disease model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Xiao, Y., Chen, L. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2002. Dynamical behavior for a stage-structured SIR infectious disease model. Nonlinear Analysis-Real World Applications. 3, pp. 175-190.

Quasi-steady state approximation to a fungal growth model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lamour, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Termorshuizen, A. J. and Jeger, M. J. 2002. Quasi-steady state approximation to a fungal growth model. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology. 19, pp. 163-183.

Modelling plant virus epidemics in a plantation-nursery system

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jeger, M. J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Dutmer, M. Y. 2002. Modelling plant virus epidemics in a plantation-nursery system. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology. 19, pp. 75-94.

Window Pane, la redecouverte d'une ancienne methode: quel avenir? Etude de l'exemple de la Septoriose (Mycosphaerella graminocola ) du ble d'hiver

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F. and Shaw, M. 2002. Window Pane, la redecouverte d'une ancienne methode: quel avenir? Etude de l'exemple de la Septoriose (Mycosphaerella graminocola ) du ble d'hiver. Abstracts Journees Jean Chevaugeon, 4iemes Rencontres de Phytopathologie/Mycologie, Aussois, 13-17 March 2002 .

Simulation of vertical spread of plant diseases in a crop canopy by stem extension and splash dispersal

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pielaat, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Fitt, B. D. L. and Jeger, M. J. 2002. Simulation of vertical spread of plant diseases in a crop canopy by stem extension and splash dispersal. Ecological Modelling. 151, pp. 195-212.

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2002. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ), in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Ecological Modelling. 148, pp. 169-189.

Time lags in metapopulation responses to landscape change

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Nagelkerke, K. C. J., Verboom, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Van De Wolfshaar, K. 2002. Time lags in metapopulation responses to landscape change. in: Gutzwiller, K. J. (ed.) Applying landscape ecology in biological conservation Springer, New York. pp. 330-354

Weed population dynamics and crop rotations: exploring effects of event sequence in a structured periodic system

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Mertens, S. K., Van Den Bosch, F. and Heesterbeek, J. A. P. 2002. Weed population dynamics and crop rotations: exploring effects of event sequence in a structured periodic system. Abstracts 87th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Tucson, 4-9 August 2002 . pp. MER-1014-799580

Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bierman, S. M., Fitt, B. D. L., Van Den Bosch, F., Bateman, G. L., Jenkyn, J. F. and Welham, S. J. 2002. Changes in populations of the eyespot fungi Tapesia yallundae and T. acuformis under different fungicide regimes in successive crops of winter wheat, 1984-2000. Plant Pathology. 51 (2), pp. 191-201. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2002.00673.x

A population-dynamics approach to assess the threat of plant pathogens as biological weapons against annual crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2002. A population-dynamics approach to assess the threat of plant pathogens as biological weapons against annual crops. Bioscience. 52, pp. 65-74.

Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Papastamati, K., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., Evans, N. and Steed, J. M. 2001. Modelling the daily progress of light leaf spot epidemics on winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus ) in relation to Pyrenopeziza brassicae inoculum concentrations and weather factors. Abstracts 8th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Ouro Preto, Brazil, 6-11 May 2001 .

Theoretical epidemiology and modeling with practical applications

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Madden, L. V. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Theoretical epidemiology and modeling with practical applications. Abstracts 8th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology, Ouro Preto, Brazil, 6-11 May 2001 .

Vegetation pattern formation in semi-arid grazing systems

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hillerislambers, R., Rietkerk, M., Van Den Bosch, F., Prins, H. H. T. and De Kroon, H. 2001. Vegetation pattern formation in semi-arid grazing systems. Ecology. 82 (1), pp. 50-61. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2001)082[0050:VPFISA]2.0.CO;2

Mathematical conservation ecology: a one-predator-two-prey system as a case study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Grasman, J., Van Den Bosch, F. and Van Herwaarden, O. A. 2001. Mathematical conservation ecology: a one-predator-two-prey system as a case study. Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology. 63, pp. 259-269.

Epidemic dynamics and patterns of plant diseases

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Segarra, J., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Epidemic dynamics and patterns of plant diseases. Phytopathology. 91 (10), pp. 1001-1010. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2001.91.10.1001

Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pietravalle, S., Van Den Bosch, F., Welham, S. J., Parker, S. R. and Lovell, D. J. 2001. Modelling of rain splash trajectories and prediction of rain splash height. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 109, pp. 171-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00267-2

Effect of temperature on epidemiological parameters of Puccinia lagenophorae

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kolnaar, R. W. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2001. Effect of temperature on epidemiological parameters of Puccinia lagenophorae. Plant Pathology. 50 (3), pp. 363-370. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3059.2001.00533.x

Spread of organisms: can travelling and dispersive waves be distinguished?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Frantzen, J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2000. Spread of organisms: can travelling and dispersive waves be distinguished? Basic and Applied Ecology. 1, pp. 83-91.

A theoretical assessment of the effects of vector-virus transmission mechanism on plant virus epidemics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madden, L. V., Jeger, M. J. and Van Den Bosch, F. 2000. A theoretical assessment of the effects of vector-virus transmission mechanism on plant virus epidemics. Phytopathology. 90 (6), pp. 576-594. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO.2000.90.6.576

Implementation of results from rain tower experiments into a simulation model for vertical spore distribution

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Pielaat, A., Van Den Bosch, F., Marshall, D. C. A., Fitt, B. D. L., McCartney, H. A. and Jeger, M. J. 1999. Implementation of results from rain tower experiments into a simulation model for vertical spore distribution. Information Technology for Crop Protection. Aspects of Applied Biology 55 . pp. 15-20