AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations on climate change impact and adaptation for global wheat, SDATA-20-01059

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Cao, W., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M., Rezaei, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise,. R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler ,A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli. S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Olesen, J.E ., Palosuo, T., Porter, J.R., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2023. AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations on climate change impact and adaptation for global wheat, SDATA-20-01059. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 9, pp. 10-25. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v9i0.18092

AuthorsLiu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Cao, W., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M., Rezaei, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise,. R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler ,A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli. S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Olesen, J.E ., Palosuo, T., Porter, J.R., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S.
Abstract

The climate change impact and adaptation simulations from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) for wheat provide a unique dataset of multi-model ensemble simulations for 60 representative global locations covering all global wheat mega environments. The multi-model ensemble reported here has been thoroughly benchmarked against a large number of experimental data, including different locations, growing season temperatures, atmospheric CO2 concentration, heat stress scenarios, and their interactions. In this paper, we describe the main characteristics of this global simulation dataset. Detailed cultivar, crop management, and soil datasets were compiled for all locations to drive 32 wheat growth models. The dataset consists of 30-year simulated data including 25 output variables for nine climate scenarios, including Baseline (1980-2010) with 360 or 550 ppm CO2, Baseline +2oC or +4oC with 360 or 550 ppm CO2, a mid-century climate change scenario (RCP8.5, 571 ppm CO2), and 1.5°C (423 ppm CO2) and 2.0oC (487 ppm CO2) warming above the pre-industrial period (HAPPI). This global simulation dataset can be used as a benchmark from a well-tested multi-model ensemble in future analyses of global wheat. Also, resource use efficiency (e.g., for radiation, water, and nitrogen use) and uncertainty analyses under different climate scenarios can be explored at different scales. The DOI for the dataset is 10.5281/zenodo.4027033 (AgMIP-Wheat, 2020), and all the data are available on the data repository of Zenodo (doi: 10.5281/zenodo.4027033).Two scientific publications have been published based on some of these data here.

KeywordsWheat; CO2; Carbon dioxide; Climate change; Climate change scenario; Multi-model ensemble; Future crop yields; Crop growth modeling
Year of Publication2023
JournalOpen Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR)
Journal citation9, pp. 10-25
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v9i0.18092
Open accessPublished as bronze (free) open access
FunderBiotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
Funder project or codeDesigning Future Wheat (DFW) [ISPG]
Publisher's version
Output statusPublished
Publication dates
Online28 Jun 2023
PublisherWageningen Academic Publishers

Permalink - https://repository.rothamsted.ac.uk/item/98y49/agmip-wheat-multi-model-simulations-on-climate-change-impact-and-adaptation-for-global-wheat-sdata-20-01059

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