Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909

Sylvester-Bradley, R., Semenov, M. A., Lawless, C., Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Foulkes, M. J. 2005. Assessing predictive skill of models to optimise crop management and design. Final report on Defra project AR0909.

Authors	Sylvester-Bradley, R., Semenov, M. A., Lawless, C., Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Foulkes, M. J.
Type	D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential
Year of Publication	2005
Page range	23pp
Funder	Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
Funder project or code	513
	515
	Application of non-linear mathematics and stochastic modelling to biological systems
	Project: 4441
File	6415_AR0909_3333_FRP.DOC
Output status	Published

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Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Porter, J. R., Challinor, A. J., Muller, C., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovič, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M, Rezaei, E. E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, A., Montesino San Martin, M., Kumar, S.N., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G. J., Paluoso, T., Priesack, E., Riposhe, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhue, Y. and Asseng, S. 2019. Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming. Global Change Biology. 25 (4), pp. 1428-1444. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14542

Drought tolerance during reproductive development is important for increasing wheat yield potential under climate change in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Stratonovitch, P., Paul, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Drought tolerance during reproductive development is important for increasing wheat yield potential under climate change in Europe. Journal of Experimental Botany. 70 (9), pp. 2549-2560. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/ery226

Assessing yield gap in high productive countries by designing wheat ideotypes

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Assessing yield gap in high productive countries by designing wheat ideotypes. Scientific Reports. 9 (1), p. 5516. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40981-0

Raising genetic yield potential in high productive countries: Designing wheat ideotypes under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Senapati, N., Brown, H. E. and Semenov, M. A. 2019. Raising genetic yield potential in high productive countries: Designing wheat ideotypes under climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 271, pp. 33-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.02.025

Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Palosuo, T., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Lorite, I. J., Ferrise, R., Pirttioja, N., Bindi, M., Baronowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka, F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R, Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., de Wit, A. and Rotter, R. P. 2019. Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 264, pp. 351-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018

Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rotter, R. P., O'Leary, G. J., Fitzgerald, G. J., Girousse, C., Motzo, R., Giunta, F., Babar, M. A., Reynolds, M. P., Kheir, A. M. S., Thorburn, P. J., Ruane, A. C., Waha, K, Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, D., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoggenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K-C., Klein, C., Koehler, A-K., Liu, B., Minoli, S., San Martin, M. M., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Porter, J., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y. and Ewert, F. 2019. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Global Change Biology. 25 (1), pp. 155-173. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14481

The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Maiorano, A., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jablou, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A.- K., Muller, C., Kumar, S. N., Liu, B., Lobell, D. B., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E,, Rezaei, E. E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P, Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Z. 2018. The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research (ODjAR). 4, pp. 28-34. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/M9ZT0F

Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wallach, D., Martre, P., Liu, B., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Thorburn, P. J., Van Ittersum, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Fereres, E., Fitzgerald, G. J., Gao, Y., Garcia-Vila, M., Galyer, S., Girousse, C., Hoogenboom, G., Horan, H., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, S., Muller,C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rotter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stockle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Wolf, J. and Zhang, Z 2018. Multi-model ensembles improve predictions of crop-environment-management interactions. Global Change Biology. 24 (11), pp. 5072-5083. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14411

Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Parent, B., Leclere, M., Lacube, S., Semenov, M. A., Welcker, C., Martre, P. and Tardieu, F. 2018. Maize yields over Europe may increase in spite of climate change, with an appropriate use of the genetic variability of flowering time. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (42), pp. 10642-10647. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1720716115

Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H, Ewert, F., Olesen, J. E., Müller, C., Fronzek, S., Ruane, A. C., Bourgault, M., Martre, P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M., Ferrise, R., Finger, R., Fodor, N., Gabaldón-Leal, C., Gaiser, T., Jabloun, M., Kersebaum, K.-C., Lizaso, J. I., Lorie, I. J., Manceau, L., Moriondo, M., Nendel, C., Rodriguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Semenov, M. A., Siebert, S., Stella, T., Stratonovitch, P., Trombi, G. and Wallach, D. 2018. Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe. Nature Communications. 9 (4249). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2

Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ruiz-Ramos, M., Ferrise, R, Rodriguez, A., Lorite, I. J., Bindi, M., Carter, T. R., Fronzek, S., Palosuo, T., Pirttioja, N., Baranowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffman, H., Hohn, J. G., Jurecka F., Kersebaum, K. C., Krzyszczak, J., Lana, M., Mechiche-Alami, A., Minet, J., Montesino, M., Nendel, C., Porter, J. R., Ruget, F., Semenov, M. A., Steinmetz, Z., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Tao, F., Trnka, M., De Wit, A. and Potter, R. P. 2018. Adaptation response surfaces for local management of wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 concentration in a Mediterranean environment. Agricultural Systems. 159 (January), pp. 260-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009

Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Tao, F., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Specka, X.., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambrevill, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D. and Schulman, A.H. 2018. Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Global Change Biology. 24 (3), pp. 1291-1307. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14019

Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change.

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Fronzek, S., Pirttioja, N., Carter, T. R., Bindi, M., Hoffman, H., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Tao, F., Trnka, M., Acutis, M., Asseng, S., Baranowski, P., Basso, B., Bodin, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Deligios, P., Destain, M-F., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Ferrise, R., Francois, L., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Jacquemin, I., Kersebaum, K. C., Kollas, C., Krzyszczak, J., Loriet, I. J., Minet, J., Minguez, M. I., Montesino, M., Moriondo, M., Muller, M., Nendel, C., Ozturk, I., Perego, A., Rodriguez, A., Ruane, A. C., Ruget, F., Sanna, M., Semenov, M. A., Slawinski, C., Stratonovitch, P., Supit, I., Waha, K., Wang, E., Wu, L., Zhao, Z. and Rotter, R. P. 2018. Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 209-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004

Grassland futures in Great Britain – productivity assessment and scenarios for land use change opportunities

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A., Holland, R.A., Taylor, G. and Richter, G. M. 2018. Grassland futures in Great Britain – productivity assessment and scenarios for land use change opportunities. Science of the Total Environment. 634, pp. 1108-1118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.395

Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Maiorano, A., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Muller, C., Rotter, R. P., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Wang, E. L., Alderman, P. D., Kassie, B. T., Biernath, C., Basso, B., Cammaran, D., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Gayler, S., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Liu, B., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Priesack, E., Reynolds, M., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Thorburn, P. J., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Zhao, Z. G. and Zhu, Y. 2017. Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles. Field Crops Research. 202, pp. 5-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.05.001

The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Wang, E., Martre, P., Zhao, Z., Ewert, F., Maiorano, A., Rötter, R. P., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., Reynolds, M. P., Alderman, P. D., Aggarwal, P. K., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Dumont, B., Fereres, E., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Koehler, A. K., Liu, L., Müller, C., Naresh Kumar, S., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Ripoche, D., Ruane, A. C., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wallach, D., Wang, Z., Wolf, J., Zhu, Y. and Asseng, S. 2017. The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions. Nature Plants. 3, p. 17102. https://doi.org/10.1038/nplants.2017.102

Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Slater, R., Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Semenov, M. A. and Denholm, I. 2017. Use of an individual-based simulation model to explore and evaluate potential insecticide resistance management strategies. Pest Management Science. 73 (7), pp. 1364-1372. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.4456

Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H., Martre, P., Asseng, S., Kimball, B. A., White, J., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Grant, R., Kassie, B., Maiorano, A., Olesen, J. E., Ripoche, D., Rezaei, E. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P. and Ewert, F. 2017. Canopy temperature for simulation of heat stress in irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment: A multi-model comparison. Field Crops Research. 202 (15 February), pp. 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2015.10.009

Assessing availability and environmental impacts of lignocellulosic biomass feedstock supply - case study for a catchment in England

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Ni, Y., Mwabonje, O., Richter, G. M., Qi, A., Yeung, M. and Woods, J. 2017. Assessing availability and environmental impacts of lignocellulosic biomass feedstock supply - case study for a catchment in England. IBSCE 2017 2nd International Bioenergy Conference and Exhibition, 19-21st April, Shanghai, China. IBSCE. pp. p5

Modelling productivity and resource use efficiency for grassland ecosystems in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A., Murray, P. J. and Richter, G. M. 2017. Modelling productivity and resource use efficiency for grassland ecosystems in the UK. European Journal of Agronomy. 89 (September), pp. 148-158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2017.05.002

Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barber, H. M., Lukac, M., Simmonds, J., Semenov, M. A. and Gooding, M. J. 2017. Temporally and genetically discrete periods of wheat sensitivity to high temperature. Frontiers in Plant Science. 8 (51), p. 9p. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2017.00051

Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Tao, F. L., Rotter, R. P., Palosuo, T., Diaz-Ambrona, C. G. H., Minguez, M. I., Semenov, M. A., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Cammarano, D., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambreville, A., Martre, P., Rodriguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Hohn, J. G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M. and Schulman, A. H. 2017. Designing future barley ideotypes using a crop model ensemble. European Journal of Agronomy. 82, pp. 144-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2016.10.012

Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lake, I. R, Jones, N. R., Agnew, M., Goodess, C. M., Giorgi, F., Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Semenov, M. A., Solmon, F., Storkey, J., Vautard, R. and Epstein, M. M. 2017. Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe. Environmental Health Perspectives. 125, pp. 385-391. https://doi.org/10.1289/ehp173

Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Webber, H., White, J. W., Kimball, B. A., Ewert, F., Asseng, S., Rezaei, E. E., Pinter, P. J., Hatfield, J., Reynolds, M. P., Ababaei, B., Bindi, M, Doltra, J., Ferrise, R., Kage, Henning, Kassie, B.T., Kersebaum, K.-C., Luig, A., Olesen, J. E., Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Ratjen, A. M., LaMorte, R. L., Leavitt, S. W., Hunsaker, D. J., Wall, G. W. and Martre, P. 2017. Physical robustness of canopy temperature models for crop heat stress simulation across environments and production conditions. Field Crops Research. 216, pp. 75-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.11.005

How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hoffmann, M. P., Haakana, M., Asseng, S., Hohn, J. G., Palosuo, T., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Fronzek, S., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Kassie, B. T., Paff, K., Razaei, E. E., Rodriguez, A., Semenov, M. A., Srivastava, A. K., Stratonovitch, P., Tao, F., Chen, Y. and Rotter, R. P. 2017. How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites. Agricultural Systems. 159, pp. 199-208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.03.012

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D. B., Martre, P., Ruane, A. C., Wallach, D., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P. K., Alderman, P. D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Fereres, E., Folberth, C., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Hoogenboom, G., Hunt, L. A., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kersebaum, K. C., Kimball, B. A., Koehler, A. K., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Ottman, M. J., Palosuo, T., Prasad, P. V. V., Priesack, E., Pugh, T. A. M., Reynolds, M., Rezaei, E. E., Rötter, R. P., Schmid, E., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Stehfest, E., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Thorburn, P., Waha, K., Wall, G. W., Wang, E., White, J. W., Wolf, J., Zhao, Z. and Zhu, Y. 2016. Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change. 6 (12), pp. 1130-1138. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3115

Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Cammarano, D., Rötter, R. P., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Wallach, D., Martre, P., Hatfield, J. L., Jones, J. W., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Kersebaum, K. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, K., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO2. Field Crops Research. 198, pp. 80-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.08.015

Modelling impacts of climate change on arable crop diseases: progress, challenges and applications

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Newbery, F., Qi, A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2016. Modelling impacts of climate change on arable crop diseases: progress, challenges and applications. Current Opinion in Plant Biology. 32, pp. 101-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pbi.2016.07.002

Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Clare, F. C., Halder, J. B., Daniel, O., Bielby, J., Semenov, M. A., Jombart, T., Loyau, A., Schmeller, D. S., Cunningham, A. A., Rowcliffe, M., Garner, T. W. J., Bosch, J. and Fisher, M. C. 2016. Climate forcing of an emerging pathogenic fungus across a montane multi-host community. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 371 (1709). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2015.0454

Assessing on-farm productivity of Miscanthus crops by combining soil mapping, yield modelling and remote sensing

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Richter, G. M., Agostini, F., Barker, A., Costomiris, D. and Qi, A. 2016. Assessing on-farm productivity of Miscanthus crops by combining soil mapping, yield modelling and remote sensing. Biomass & Bioenergy. 85, pp. 252-261. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.12.024

Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ruane, A. C., Hudson, N. L., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Cammarano, D., Martre, P., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Brisson, N., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grant, R. F., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Kersebaum, K. C., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T. M., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C. O., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F. L., Travasso, M., Waha, K., Wallach, D., White, J. W. and Wolf, J. 2016. Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability. Environmental Modelling and Software. 81, pp. 86-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.008

Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Bindi, M., Palosuo, T., Trnka, M. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security: introduction. Climate Research. 65, pp. 3-5. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01342

Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pirttioja, N., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces. Climate Research. 65, pp. 87-105. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01322

In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., He, J., Le Gouis, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. In silico system analysis of physiological traits determining grain yield and protein concentration for wheat as influenced by climate and crop management. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66, pp. 3581-3598. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv049

Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Bassu, S., Durand, J., Martre, P., Adam, M., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Baron, C., Basso, B., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Boogard, H., Boote, K. J., Brisson, N., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., Conijn, S., Corbeels, M., Deryng, D., De Sanctis, G., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grassini, P., Hatfield, J. L., Heng, L., Hoek, S., Hooker, J., Hunt, T., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Jongschaap, R., Jones, J., Kersebaum, K. C., Kim, S., Lizaso, J., Müller, C., Kumar, N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G., Olsen, J., Osborne, T., Palosuo, T., Pravia, M., Priesack, E., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects. in: Hillel, D. and Rosenzweig, C. (ed.) Handbook of climate change and agroecosystems: the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Imperial College Press, London. pp. 279-295

Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ewert, F., Rotter, R. P., Bindi, M., Webber, H., Trnka, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Van Ittersum, M. K., Janssen, S., Rivington, M., Semenov, M. A., Wallach, D., Porter, J. R., Stewart, D., Verhagen, J., Gaiser, T., Palosuo, T., Tao, F., Nendel, C., Roggero, P. P., Bartosova, L. and Asseng, S. 2015. Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software. 72, pp. 287-303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.12.003

Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Martre, P., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Rötter, R. P., Cammarano, D., Brisson, N., Basso, B., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations. Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research. 1, pp. 1-5. https://doi.org/10.18174/odjar.v1i1

Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ferrise, R., Toscano, P., Pasqui, M., Moriondo, M., Primicerio, J., Semenov, M. A. and Bindi, M. 2015. Monthly-to-seasonal predictions of durum wheat yield over the Mediterranean Basin. Climate Research. 65, pp. 7-21. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01325

Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Hlavinka, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 12 (112), p. 20150721. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721

A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 214-215, pp. 483-493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013

Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections. Climate Research. 65, pp. 123-139. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01297

Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2015. Heat tolerance around flowering in wheat identified as a key trait for increased yield potential in Europe under climate change. Journal of Experimental Botany. 66 (12), pp. 3599-3609. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erv070

Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Vautard, R., Liu, L., Solmon, F., Viovy, N., Khvorosthyanov, D., Essl, F., Chuine, I., Colette, A., Semenov, M. A., Schaffhauser, A., Storkey, J., Thibaudon, M. and Epstein, M. M. 2015. Effects of climate change and seed dispersal on airborne ragweed pollen loads in Europe. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 766-771. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2652

Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change. 5, pp. 143-147. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470

Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2015. Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one. Global Change Biology. 21 (2), pp. 911-925. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12768

Developing and using the AB Sugar BeetGro model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jarvis, P J. and Qi, A. 2014. Developing and using the AB Sugar BeetGro model. British Sugar Beet Review. 82 (2), pp. 45-48.

Can Crop Disease Control Cope with Climate Change?

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2014. Can Crop Disease Control Cope with Climate Change? Outlooks on Pest Management. 25 (6), pp. 364-368. https://doi.org/10.1564/v25_dec_05

Estimating on-farm biomass supply of Miscanthus combining soil mapping, yield modelling and remote sensing

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Richter, G. M., Agostini, F., Barker, A., Costomiris, D. and Qi, A. 2014. Estimating on-farm biomass supply of Miscanthus combining soil mapping, yield modelling and remote sensing. Abstracts 22nd European Biomass Conference and Ehibition (EUBCE), Hamburg, 23-26 June 2014 .

An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P., Elias, J., Denholm, I., Slater, R. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An individual-based model of the evolution of pesticide resistance in heterogeneous environments: control of Meligethes aeneus population in oilseed rape crops. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e115631. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115631

Assessing quantitative resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans (phoma stem canker) in Brassica napus (oilseed rape) in young plants

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Huang, Y-J., Qi, A., King, G. J. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2014. Assessing quantitative resistance against Leptosphaeria maculans (phoma stem canker) in Brassica napus (oilseed rape) in young plants. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e84924. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0084924

Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Vanuytracht, E., Raes, D., Willems, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Comparing climate change impacts on cereals based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES climate scenarios. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 195-196, pp. 12-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.04.017

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Trnka, M., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Zalud, Z. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change. Nature Climate Change. 4, pp. 637-643. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242

Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M. J. 2014. Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science. 59 (3), pp. 245-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcs.2014.01.006

A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Storkey, J., Stratonovitch, P., Chapman, D. S., Vidotto, F. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. A process-based approach to predicting the effect of climate change on the distribution of an invasive allergenic plant in Europe. PLOS ONE. 9, p. e88156. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0088156

An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Crout, N. M. J., Craigon, J., Cox, G. M., Jao, Y., Tarsitano, D., Wood, A. T. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2014. An objective approach to model reduction: application to the Sirius wheat model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 189-190, pp. 211-219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.01.010

Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate. Food and Energy Security. 2 (3), pp. 185-196. https://doi.org/10.1002/fes3.34

Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Asseng, S., Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2013. Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change. 3, pp. 827-832. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1916

Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Pilkington-Bennett, S. and Calanca, P. 2013. Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set. Climate Research. 57, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01164

Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P. M., Semenov, M. A., Stenseth, N. C. and Boddy, L. 2013. Reply to Gange et al: Climate-driven changes in the fungal fruiting season in the United Kingdom. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 110, p. E335. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1221131110

Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Hoglind, M., Thorsen, S. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Assessing uncertainties in impact of climate change on grass production in Northern Europe using ensembles of global climate models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 170 (15 March), pp. 103-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.010

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Calanca, P. and Semenov, M. A. 2013. Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database. Theoretical And Applied Climatology. 113, pp. 445-455. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Development of new quantitative physiological and molecular breeding parameters based on the sugar-beet vernalization intensity model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Chiurugwi, T., Holmes, H. F., Qi, A., Chia, T. Y. P., Hedden, P. and Mutasa-Göttgens, E. S. 2013. Development of new quantitative physiological and molecular breeding parameters based on the sugar-beet vernalization intensity model. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 151, pp. 492-505. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859612000573

Comparative pathogenicity and virulence of Fusarium species on sugar beet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pragyan Burlakoti, V. R., Secor, G. A., Qi, A., Del Rio-Mendoza, L. E. and Khan, M. F. R. 2012. Comparative pathogenicity and virulence of Fusarium species on sugar beet. Plant Disease. 96, pp. 1291-1296. https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-10-11-0908-RE

A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stratonovitch, P., Storkey, J. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed. Global Change Biology. 18 (6), pp. 2071-2080. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02650.x

Benchmarking sugar beet yields and growers' performance

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A., Ober, E. S. and Jaggard, K. W. 2012. Benchmarking sugar beet yields and growers' performance. British Sugar Beet Review. 80(3), pp. 3-6.

Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Buntgen, U., Halvorsen, R., Egli, S., Senn-Irlet, B., Krisai-Greilhuber, I., Damon, W., Sparks, T., Norden, J., Hoiland, K., Kirk, P., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L. and Stenseth, N. C. 2012. Warming-induced shift in European mushroom fruiting phenology. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 109, pp. 14488-14493. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1200789109

Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Iizumi, T., Takayabu, I., Dairaku, K., Kusaka, H., Nishimori, M., Sakurai, G., Ishizaki, M. N., Adachi, S. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2012. Future change of daily precipitation indices in Japan: a stochastic weather generator-based bootstrap approach to provide probabilistic climate information. Journal of Geophysical Research. 117, p. D11114. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD017197

Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

He, J., Le Gouis, J., Stratonovitch, P., Allard, V., Gaju, O., Heumez, E., Orford, S., Griffiths, S., Snape, J. W., Foulkes, M. J., Semenov, M. A. and Martre, P. 2012. Simulation of environmental and genotypic variations of final leaf number and anthesis date for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 42, pp. 22-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2011.11.002

Sugar beet yield in England under an extreme climate change scenario

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2012. Sugar beet yield in England under an extreme climate change scenario. Proceedings 73rd IIRB Congress on Efficiency and Sustainable Development in Sugar Beet Production, Brussels, 14-15 February 2012 . pp. 73-80

How the sugar beet crop grew in 2011

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2012. How the sugar beet crop grew in 2011. British Sugar Beet Review. 80(1), pp. 3-7.

Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Whitmore, A. P., Hawkesford, M. J., Parry, M. A. J. and Shewry, P. R. 2012. Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions. Nature Climate Change. 2, pp. 380-382. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1511

ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Iizumi, T., Semenov, M. A., Nishimori, M., Ishigooka, Y. and Kuwagata, T. 2012. ELPIS-JP: a dataset of local-scale daily climate change scenarios for Japan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences. 370, pp. 1121-1139. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0305

Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Shewry, P. R. 2011. Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe. Scientific Reports. 1, p. 66. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00066

Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Luedeling, E., Girvetz, E. H., Semenov, M. A. and Brown, P. H. 2011. Climate change affects winter chill for temperate fruit and nut trees. PLOS ONE. 6, p. e20155 (13pp). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0020155

English beet crops in 2010

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2011. English beet crops in 2010. British Sugar Beet Review. 79(1), pp. 3-5.

Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Erratum: The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 3 (1), pp. 117-120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0105-0

Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Madgwick, J. W., West, J. S., Wright, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Townsend, J. A., Turner, J. A. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2011. Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology. 130 (1), pp. 117-131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10658-010-9739-1

Determining the optimal population density of sugarbeet crops in England

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A., Milford, G. F. J., Clark, C. J. A., Ober, E. S., Walters, C. and Burks, E. 2011. Determining the optimal population density of sugarbeet crops in England. International Sugar Journal. 113, pp. 114-119.

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of inputs

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A., Pettitt, I. R. and May, M. J. 2010. Assessing the cost-effectiveness of inputs. British Sugar Beet Review. 78(4), pp. 17-21.

Optimum seed rates and plant populations for English sugar beet crops

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Jaggard, K. W., Milford, G. F. J., Qi, A., Clark, C. J. A., Ober, E. S., Walters, C. and Burks, E. 2010. Optimum seed rates and plant populations for English sugar beet crops. Proceedings 72nd IIRB Congress, Copenhagen, 22-24 June 2010 . pp. 82-89

Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research)

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Tarquis, A. M., Gobin, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2010. Preface (to Agriculture in a changing climate: special issue of Climate Research). Climate Research. 44, pp. 1-2. https://doi.org/10.3354//cr00942

ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Donatelli, M., Stratonovitch, P., Chatzidaki, E. and Baruth, B. 2010. ELPIS: a dataset of local-scale daily climate scenarios for Europe. Climate Research. 44 (1), pp. 3-15. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00865

Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Barnes, A. P., Wreford, A., Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Moran, D., Evans, N. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 148, pp. 683-694. https://doi.org/10.1017/S002185961000064X

Sugarbeet yield estimates based on a crop simulator - lessons learned in England

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2010. Sugarbeet yield estimates based on a crop simulator - lessons learned in England. Abstracts Agro 2010: the 11th ESA Congress, Montpellier, 29 August-3 September 2010 . pp. 365-366

Bolting and flowering control in sugar beet: relationships and effects of gibberellin, the bolting gene B and vernalization

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mutasa-Gottgens, E. S., Qi, A., Zhang, W., Schulze-Buxloh, G., Jennings, A., Hohmann, U., Muller, A. E. and Hedden, P. 2010. Bolting and flowering control in sugar beet: relationships and effects of gibberellin, the bolting gene B and vernalization. AoB Plants. 2010, p. plq012. https://doi.org/10.1093/aobpla/plq012

Possible changes to arable crop yields by 2050

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Ober, E. S. 2010. Possible changes to arable crop yields by 2050. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 365, pp. 2835-2851. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0153

Why a bumper beet crop in 2009?

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2010. Why a bumper beet crop in 2009? British Sugar Beet Review. 78(1), pp. 3-6.

Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lazzarotto, P., Calanca, P., Semenov, M. A. and Fuhrer, J. 2010. Transient responses to increasing CO2 and climate change in an unfertilized grass-clover sward. Climate Research. 41, pp. 221-232. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00847

The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security. 2 (2), pp. 143-156. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0058-3

Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L., Halvorsen, R., Stige, L. C., Sparks, T. H., Gange, A. C. and Stenseth, N. C. 2010. Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 277, pp. 1169-1177. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.1537

Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P. 2010. Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts. Climate Research. 41, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00836

North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2010. North-South divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7, pp. 123-130. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0111

Fluctuations in number of Cercospora beticola conidia in relationship to environment and disease severity in sugar beet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Khan, J., Qi, A. and Khan, M. F. R. 2009. Fluctuations in number of Cercospora beticola conidia in relationship to environment and disease severity in sugar beet. Phytopathology. 99, pp. 796-801. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-99-7-0796

Sugarbeet yield response to and its economic need for nitrogen fertilizer in England

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2009. Sugarbeet yield response to and its economic need for nitrogen fertilizer in England. Abstracts 16th Nitrogen Workshop, Turin, 28 June-1 July 2009 .

North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2009. North-south divide: contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/7/372051

Capture and use of solar radiation, water and nitrogen by sugar beet (Beta vulgaris L.)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Ober, E. S. 2009. Capture and use of solar radiation, water and nitrogen by sugar beet (Beta vulgaris L.). Journal of Experimental Botany. 60, pp. 1919-1925. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp110

Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Halford, N. G. 2009. Identifying target traits and molecular mechanisms for wheat breeding under a changing climate. Journal of Experimental Botany. 60, pp. 2791-2804. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp164

Beet yield response to fertilizer nitrogen supply and its optimal requirements in the sugar beet crop

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2009. Beet yield response to fertilizer nitrogen supply and its optimal requirements in the sugar beet crop.

Why was 2008 such a good year for beet yields?

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Inskip, P. 2009. Why was 2008 such a good year for beet yields? British Sugar Beet Review. 77(1), pp. 14-16.

Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Martre, P. and Jamieson, P. D. 2009. Quantifying effects of simple wheat traits on yield in water-limited environments using a modelling approach. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 149 (6-7), pp. 1095-1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2009.01.006

A meta-analysis of sugarbeet yield responses to nitrogen fertilizer measured in England since 1980

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Armstrong, M. J. 2009. A meta-analysis of sugarbeet yield responses to nitrogen fertilizer measured in England since 1980. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 147, pp. 287-301. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859609008478

Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2009. Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 6 (33), pp. 343-350. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2008.0285

Modification of gibberellin signalling (metabolism and signal transduction) in sugar beet: analysis of potential targets for crop improvement

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Mutasa-Göttgens, E. S., Qi, A., Mathews, A. M., Thomas, S. G., Phillips, A. L. and Hedden, P. 2009. Modification of gibberellin signalling (metabolism and signal transduction) in sugar beet: analysis of potential targets for crop improvement. Transgenic Research. 18, pp. 301-308. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11248-008-9211-6

Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Storkey, J., Semenov, M. A. and Neve, P. 2008. Assessing the impact of climate change on the assembly and function of weed communities. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 15-21

Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2008. Extreme impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 37-38

Assessing the impact of future climate change on the UK sugar beet production

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2008. Assessing the impact of future climate change on the UK sugar beet production. Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture. Aspects of Applied Biology 88 . Association of Applied Biologists (AAB) Wellesbourne Warwick . pp. 153-159

Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans ) of winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus) increased by global warming.

The action of three Beet yellows virus resistance QTLs depends on alleles at a novel genetic locus that controls symptom development

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Grimmer, M. K., Bean, K. M. R., Qi, A., Stevens, M. and Asher, M. J. C. 2008. The action of three Beet yellows virus resistance QTLs depends on alleles at a novel genetic locus that controls symptom development. Plant Breeding. 127, pp. 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1439-0523.2008.01515.x

Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Stenseth, N. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2008. Climate Research: a focal point for the climate and ecosystem-impact research communities. Climate Research. 37 (1), p. 1. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00756

Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2008. Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator. Climate Research. 35 (3), pp. 203-212. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00731

Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2008. Quantifying the effect of uncertainty in soil moisture characteristics on plant growth using a crop simulation model. Field Crops Research. 106, pp. 138-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.11.004

Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P. and Fitt, B. D. L. 2008. Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 5, pp. 525-531. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2007.1136

Cost-efficacy in measuring farmland biodiversity - lessons from the Farm Scale Evaluations of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant crops

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A., Perry, J. N., Pidgeon, J. D., Haylock, L. A. and Brooks, D. R. 2008. Cost-efficacy in measuring farmland biodiversity - lessons from the Farm Scale Evaluations of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant crops. Annals of Applied Biology - AAB. 152, pp. 93-101. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.2007.00193.x

Severity of plant disease increased by global warming

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Evans, N., Fitt, B. D. L., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A. and Gladders, P. 2007. Severity of plant disease increased by global warming. RRA Newsletter. Issue 25, p. 4.

The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2007. The impact of climate change on sugarbeet yield in the UK: 1976-2004. The Journal of Agricultural Science. 145 (4), pp. 367-375. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021859607006922

Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. 2007. Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield. Climate Research. 34 (1), pp. 71-81. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr034071

Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D., Brooking, I. R., Semenov, M. A., Mcmaster, G. S., White, J. W. and Porter, J. R. 2007. Reconciling alternative models of phenological development in winter wheat. Field Crops Research. 103, pp. 36-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.04.009

Beet growth in 2006

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W., Qi, A. and Clark, C. 2007. Beet growth in 2006. British Sugar Beet Review. 75(1), pp. 26-28.

Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. 2007. Development of high-resolution UKCIP02-based climate change scenarios in the UK. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 144 (1-2), pp. 127-138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.02.003

Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A., Jamieson, P. D. and Martre, P. 2007. Deconvoluting nitrogen use efficiency in wheat: a simulation study. European Journal of Agronomy. 26, pp. 283-294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.10.009

UK sugar yield trends and climate changes since 1976

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2006. UK sugar yield trends and climate changes since 1976.

A model-based sugar yield forecasting system

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. A model-based sugar yield forecasting system. British Sugar Beet Review. 74(3), pp. 20-23.

Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y. H., Conrad, K. F. and Semenov, M. A. 2006. Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK. Global Change Biology. 12 (9), pp. 1643-1657. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01201.x

Using weather generators in crop modelling

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2006. Using weather generators in crop modelling. International Society of Horticultural Science (ISHS).

Partitioning climatic drought into effects of water stress and hot temperature in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. Partitioning climatic drought into effects of water stress and hot temperature in the UK.

Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Martre, P., Jamieson, P. D., Semenov, M. A., Zyskowski, R. F., Porter, J. R. and Triboi, E. 2006. Modelling protein content and composition in relation to crop nitrogen dynamics for wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 25, pp. 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2006.04.007

Growth of beet crops in 2005

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2006. Growth of beet crops in 2005. British Sugar Beet Review. 74(1), pp. 6-8.

Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Richter, G. M., Qi, A., Semenov, M. A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. Modelling the variability of UK sugar beet yields under climate change and husbandry adaptations. Soil Use and Management. 22 (1), pp. 39-47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-2743.2006.00018.x

Using multi-environment sugar beet variety trials to screen for drought tolerance

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Pidgeon, J. D., Ober, E. S., Qi, A., Clark, C. J. A., Royal, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2006. Using multi-environment sugar beet variety trials to screen for drought tolerance. Field Crops Research. 95, pp. 268-279. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2005.04.010

Agronomy

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2006. Agronomy. in: Draycott, A. P. (ed.) Sugar beet Blackwell Publishing Oxford. pp. 134-168

Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Potting, R. P. J., Semenov, M. A. and Glen, D. M. 2006. Individual based model of slug population and spatial dynamics. Ecological Modelling. 190, pp. 336-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.04.019

Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Assessing lead-time for predicting wheat growth using a crop simulation model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 135 (1-4), pp. 302-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.01.002

Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Hanley, N., Aftab, A., Black, A. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Climate change, non-point pollution and land use: modelling interactions (End of Award report to ESRC on Rural Economy and Land Use Programme project RES 224 25 0002).

Benchmarking growers' performance using a crop growth model

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Qi, A., Jaggard, K. W., Jarvis, P. J. and Prince, J. W. F. 2005. Benchmarking growers' performance using a crop growth model. Production and Protection of Sugar Beet and Potatoes. Aspects of Applied Biology 76 . pp. 95-101

Forecasting virus yellows incidence in sugar beet - the post-Gaucho era

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Qi, A., Dewar, A. M. and Harrington, R. 2005. Forecasting virus yellows incidence in sugar beet - the post-Gaucho era. Production and Protection of Sugar Beet and Potatoes. Aspects of Applied Biology 76 . pp. 87-94

Management of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant sugar beet for spring and autumn environmental benefit (Previously published in Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (2005) 273, 111-119)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

May, M. J., Champion, G. T., Dewar, A. M., Qi, A. and Pidgeon, J. D. 2005. Management of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant sugar beet for spring and autumn environmental benefit (Previously published in Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (2005) 273, 111-119). Advances in Sugar Beet Research. 6, pp. 139-152.

A novel approach to the use of genetically modified herbicide tolerant crops for environmental benefit (Reprinted from Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (2003) 270, 335-340)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Dewar, A. M., May, M. J., Woiwod, I. P., Haylock, L. A., Champion, G. T., Garner, B. H., Sands, R. J. N., Qi, A. and Pidgeon, J. D. 2005. A novel approach to the use of genetically modified herbicide tolerant crops for environmental benefit (Reprinted from Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (2003) 270, 335-340). Advances in Sugar Beet Research. 6, pp. 127-138.

Crop responses to climatic variation

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Crop responses to climatic variation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. 360 (1463), pp. 2021-2035. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1752

The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. The effect of diverse climates on the forecasting lead-time of crop simulation models. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

The Broom's Barn sugar beet growth model and its adaptation to soils with varied available water content

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A., Kenter, C., Hoffman, C. and Jaggard, K. W. 2005. The Broom's Barn sugar beet growth model and its adaptation to soils with varied available water content. European Journal of Agronomy. 23, pp. 108-122.

Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Bohan, D. A. and Glen, D. M. 2005. Predicting a success of biological control of pest slugs using the slug-pathogenic nematode against pest slugs. Research grant report for grant MAF12241.

Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Richter, G. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2005. Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks. Agricultural Systems. 84 (1), pp. 77-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2004.06.011

Management of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant sugar beet for spring and autumn environmental benefit

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

May, M. J., Champion, G. T., Dewar, A. M., Qi, A. and Pidgeon, J. D. 2005. Management of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant sugar beet for spring and autumn environmental benefit. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 272, pp. 111-119.

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2005. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. European Journal of Agronomy. 22, pp. 19-32.

Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Individual based modelling of temporal and spatial slug dynamics. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Modelling protein content and composition in wheat

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Jamieson, P. D., Martre, P., Samoil, V., Porter, J. R., Zyskowski, R., Semenov, M. A. and Triboi, E. 2004. Modelling protein content and composition in wheat. Fischer, T. (ed.) New Directions for a Diverse Planet: Proceedings 4th International Crop Science Congress, Brisbane, 26-September-1 October 2002 . Regional Institute, Gosford. pp. www.cropscience.org.au

Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004)

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Welham, S. J. 2004. Comments on the use of statistical tests in the comparison of stochastic weather generators by Qian et al. (2004). Climate Research. 28 (1), pp. 83-84. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr028083

Modelling sugar beet growth and yield in soils with different water holding capacities

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Qi, A., Kenter, C., Hoffman, C. and Jaggard, K. W. 2004. Modelling sugar beet growth and yield in soils with different water holding capacities. Abstracts 8th ESA Congress: European Agriculture in a Global Context, Copenhagen, 11-15 July 2004 . pp. 323-324

Uses of mathematical models in sugar beet agriculture

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2004. Uses of mathematical models in sugar beet agriculture. International Sugar Journal. 106, pp. 36-41.

Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Powers, S. J., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2004. Modelling Deroceras reticulatum (Gastropoda) population dynamics based on daily temperature and rainfall. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 103, pp. 519-525.

Decision making in controlling virus yellows of sugar beet in the UK

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Qi, A., Dewar, A. M. and Harrington, R. 2004. Decision making in controlling virus yellows of sugar beet in the UK. Pest Management Science. 60 (7), pp. 727-732. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.871

Growth of beet in 2003

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W., Clark, C. J. A. and Qi, A. 2004. Growth of beet in 2003. British Sugar Beet Review. 72(1), pp. 2-4.

Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Hopkins, A., Richter, G. M., Coleman, K., Jaggard, K. W., Glendining, M. J., Semenov, M. A., Qi, A., Audsley, E., Hossell, J. E., Clemence, B., Fuller, M., Winter, D. M. and Butler, A. 2004. Impacts of climate change on the agricultural industry: a review of research outputs from DEFRA's CC03 and related research programmes.

Opportunities for weed manipulation using GMHT row crops

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

May, M. J., Champion, G. T. and Qi, A. 2003. Opportunities for weed manipulation using GMHT row crops. Proceedings 7th ICABR International Conference on Public Goods and Public Policy for Agricultural Biotechnology, Ravello, 29 June-3 July 2003 .

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

The Broom's Barn sugar beet growth model and its use to describe yield variability

B - Book chapters etc edited externally

Qi, A., Kenter, C., Hoffman, C. and Jaggard, K. W. 2003. The Broom's Barn sugar beet growth model and its use to describe yield variability. in: Sugar beet growth and modelling (Advances in Sugar Beet Research, Vol. 5) Institut International de Recherche Betteraviere, Brussels. pp. 107-124

Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2003. Comparison between deterministic and probabilistic algorithms of bounded Kolmogorov complexity. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, Chicago, 12-16 July 2003. pp. 260-263

Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y., Semenov, M. A., Brown, V. K. and Gussin, E. 2003. Comparison of slug population dynamics at five sites in the UK. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. BCPC Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 171-176

A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Parker, S., Semenov, M. A. and Lawless, C. 2003. A rational basis for design of wheat canopy ideotypes for UK environments. Final report for DEFRA project AR0906.

Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2003. Linking climate change predictions with crop simulation models. Proceedings BCPC International Congress - Crop Science and Technology 2003 . pp. 1181-1188

A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Lawless, C., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2003. A wheat canopy model linking leaf area and phenology. Cambridge University Press (CUP).

Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Semenov, M. A. and Terkel, D. A. 2003. Analysis of convergence of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Evolutionary Computation. 11, pp. 363-379.

Novel weed management options in GM herbicide tolerant sugar beet

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

May, M. J., Champion, G. T. and Qi, A. 2003. Novel weed management options in GM herbicide tolerant sugar beet. International Sugar Journal. 105, pp. 322-329.

Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Choi, Y. H., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Potting, R. P. J. and Glen, D. M. 2003. Slugs and nematodes in a fighting arena - individual based models of parasitism. Slugs and Snails: Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Perspectives. British Crop Protection Council Symposium Proceedings No. 80 . British Crop Protection Council (BCPC). pp. 177-182

Beet crop growth in 2002

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Jaggard, K. W. and Qi, A. 2003. Beet crop growth in 2002. British Sugar Beet Review. 71(1), pp. 2-4.

A novel approach to the use of genetically modified herbicide tolerant crops for environmental benefit

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Dewar, A. M., May, M. J., Woiwod, I. P., Haylock, L. A., Champion, G. T., Garner, B. H., Sands, R. J. N., Qi, A. and Pidgeon, J. D. 2003. A novel approach to the use of genetically modified herbicide tolerant crops for environmental benefit. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B Biological Sciences. 270, pp. 335-340.

Using a crop/soil model and GIS technique to forecast sugar yield in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Qi, A., Jaggard, K. W., Clark, C. J. A. and Jarvis, P. 2003. Using a crop/soil model and GIS technique to forecast sugar yield in the UK. Proceedings 1st Joint IIRB-ASSBT Congress, San Antonio, 26 February-1 March 2003 . pp. 567-571

Novel weed management options in GM herbicide tolerant sugar beet

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

May, M. J., Champion, G. T. and Qi, A. 2003. Novel weed management options in GM herbicide tolerant sugar beet. Proceedings 1st Joint IIRB-ASSBT Congress, San Antonio, 26 February-1 March 2003 . pp. 77-89

Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Richter, G. M., Jaggard, K. W., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Modelling climatic impacts on yields of wheat and sugar beet in the UK. Knowledge transfer initiative on impacts and adaptation to climate change in agriculture. Project and workshop report . pp. 10-12

The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. The effect of timing of water availability on grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Abstracts 7th European Society of Agronomy Congress, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .

Model validation (Interim report to American Crystal)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2002. Model validation (Interim report to American Crystal).

Modelling sugarbeet growth and yield at Broom's Barn and its implications in developing yield forecasting for American Crystal Sugar (Initial report for American Crystal)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2002. Modelling sugarbeet growth and yield at Broom's Barn and its implications in developing yield forecasting for American Crystal Sugar (Initial report for American Crystal).

Calibrating Broom's Barn sugar beet growth and yield model for growing conditions in the USA (Interim report to American Crystal)

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2002. Calibrating Broom's Barn sugar beet growth and yield model for growing conditions in the USA (Interim report to American Crystal).

Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Ewert, E., Rodriguez, D., Jamieson, P., Semenov, M. A., Mitchell, R. A. C., Goudriaan, J., Porter, J. R., Kimball, B. A., Pinter, P. J. Jr, Manderscheid, R., Weigel, H-J., Fangmeier, A., Fereres, E. and Villalobos, F. 2002. Effects of elevated CO2 and drought on wheat: testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 93 (1-3), pp. 249-266. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00352-8

Uses of mathematical models in sugar beet agriculture

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A. and Jaggard, K. W. 2002. Uses of mathematical models in sugar beet agriculture.

Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2002. Convergence velocity of an evolutionary algorithm with self-adaptation. Proceedings Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference, GECCO 2002, New York, 9-13 July 2002 . pp. 210-214

Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Richter, G. M., Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2002. Drought risk assessment for UK winter wheat under climate change. ARIA newsletter. Issue 6.

Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England?

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2002. Drought - greater risk for future wheat production in England? Abstracts 7th Congress of the European Society for Agronomy, Cordoba, 15-18 July 2002 .

Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Semenov, M. A., Glen, D. M., Wiltshire, C. W. and Brain, P. 2001. Modelling the dynamics of slug and nematode interaction incorporating response to environmental variables. Abstracts IMA Conference on Mathematical Modelling and Statistical Analysis of Infectious Diseases, Cardiff, 11-13 September 2001 .

Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Semenov, M. A. 2001. Analysis of evolutionary search with mutators using a stochastic Lyapunov function. Proceedings Genetics and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2001), San Francisco, 8-11 July 2001 . pp. 372-376

Modelling a slug population using differential equations

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Choi, Y-H., Powers, S. J., Bohan, D. A., Wiltshire, C. W., Glen, D. M. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Modelling a slug population using differential equations. Abstracts Meeting of the OILB/IOBC Working Group on Integrated Control of Soil Pests, Subgroup on Integrated Control of Slugs and Snails, Lyons, 8-9 March 2001 .

Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Richter, G. M., Semenov, M. A. and Mitchell, R. A. C. 2001. Testing SIRIUS predictions against wheat data sets in the UK. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001. pp. 165-166

Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction

C2 - Non-edited contributions to conferences

Semenov, M. A., Brooks, R. J. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying SIRIUS: development of a metamodel for wheat yield prediction. Abstracts 2nd International Symposium on Modelling Cropping Systems, Florence, 16-18 July 2001.

Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496

D1 - Technical reports: non-confidential

Mitchell, R. A. C. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Improving wheat model accuracy and suitability for regional impact assessment. Final report of the IMPETUS European Commission Project ENV4-CT97-0496. IACR Rothamsted Experimental Station, Harpenden.

Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Jamieson, P. D., Stone, P. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. Towards modelling quality in wheat - from grain nitrogen concentration to protein composition. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 111-126

The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat

C1 - Edited contributions to conferences/learned societies

Clarke, M. P., Gooding, M. J. and Semenov, M. A. 2001. The effect of the timing of water availability on soil nitrogen, nitrogen uptake and grain protein concentration of winter wheat. Wheat Quality. Aspects of Applied Biology 64 . pp. 103-110

Virus yellows forecasting in sugar beet and the impact of Gaucho

G - Articles in popular magazines and other technical publications

Qi, A., Dewar, A. M., Werker, A. R. and Harrington, R. 2001. Virus yellows forecasting in sugar beet and the impact of Gaucho. British Sugar Beet Review. 69 (1), pp. 36-39.

Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Brooks, R. J., Semenov, M. A. and Jamieson, P. D. 2001. Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield prediction. European Journal of Agronomy. 14 (1), pp. 43-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(00)00089-7

Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D., Berntsen, J., Ewert, F., Kimball, B. A., Olesen, J. E., Pinter, P. J. Jr., Porter, J. R. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. 82, pp. 27-37.

Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Jamieson, P. D. and Semenov, M. A. 2000. Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat. Field Crops Research. 68, pp. 21-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4290(00)00103-9

Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat

A - Papers appearing in refereed journals

Porter, J. R., Leigh, R. A., Semenov, M. A. and Miglietta, F. 1995. Modelling the effects of climatic change and genetic modification on nitrogen use by wheat. European Journal of Agronomy. 4 (4), pp. 419-429. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(14)80094-4